2011 North Atlantic Hurricane season is here!

[cycloneye]

Time is going very fast as we are less than two months for the season to start.

By the way,the experts are starting to release this month their forecasts and TSR did so,downgrading the numbers from December and now they have 14/8/4.

http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

[angelwing]

Yikes, this is coming on fast, I don't even have the plastic off my windows yet!

[cycloneye]

Florida1118, you can add the date when NOAA will release it's first 2011 forecast and that will be on May 19.

[Florida1118]

Changed it. Days going down quickly...Id like to thank the mods/admins who have changed the days in the title as I havent been doing a good job with that upkeep

[cycloneye]

Here is the itinerary for the National Hurricane Conference from April 18-22.

http://www.hurricanemeeting.com/schedule.asp

[Florida1118]

Less than 50 days until Hurricane Season. Start preparing now if you haven't already!

[Nimbus]

Its warm and humid in the gulf already with a heat wave in Texas and Florida. Should be a wet summer in Florida if the mid Atlantic high continues pumping heat energy into the gulf like this all summer.

We still don't know about shear but hopefully we get a persistent TUTT east of the conus to deflect storms. Of course that doesn't help much till the Cape Verde season starts.

[Extratropical94]

32.5 days left until the start of the Atlantic hurricane season,
15.5 days left until the start of the Pacific hurricane season,
and already so many fatalities due to severe weather in the US...

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Water temps in the gulf off the coast of Tampa already at 82 degrees.
Dry south florida.
Lots of bad tornado activity this spring.
...not good signs for the upcoming hurricane season.

stay safe all

[Florida1118]

I dont have a good feeling about this year...

[Tireman4]

I dont have a good feeling about this year...

I second that emotion.....not good......

[cycloneye]

IMO,the odds of something forming before June 1rst in the Atlantic Basin are fading as the models are not too bullish towards development.That may change in the comming days if the models turn bullish.

Here is the famous mountain chart.

[somethingfunny]

It's now officially the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season.

[plasticup]

High latitude troughs aren't descending as deeply. The Atlantic ridge is building. Sea surface temperatures are rising. The easterlies are strong. The familiar pattern is returning.

[Florida1118]

NOAA releases their 2011 outlook today...or well in 30 minutes it will be the 19th. Hopefully we don't get a huge range again like last year.

[Extratropical94]

Wait... 90 days?
Nice typo

Anyways... I'm waiting for the storms that bring the activity back to the board.

[AnnularCane]

Time warp!

[cycloneye]

The 0 is out!

[Florida1118]

I didnt do it And this week is the NHC's Hurricane week!

[cycloneye]

Doing search thru the net,I saw this UKMET hurricane forecast for the North Atlantic they released today. They round to 13 the number of named storms.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tro ... antic.html