Stay safe everyone in the path.
Severe Storms OK & KS 4/14/11. South 4/15/11. EC 4/16/2011
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Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
Looks like S MS and the SE portion of LA including NOLA will be under the gun for significant tornadoes in the upcoming few hours.
Stay safe everyone in the path.
Stay safe everyone in the path.
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Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
5 dead
April 15, 2011 – TUSHKA, Okla. (AP)
A powerful storm system produced a tornado that killed two people in southeastern Oklahoma and three more in Arkansas before moving into the Deep South early Friday. The system produced a large tornado that cut through the tiny southeastern Oklahoma town of Tushka late Thursday, killing at least two people and injuring dozens more as it tore up roofs, shattered windows and tossed power lines and trees. Two people were killed in western Arkansas early Friday when a tree fell on a house, and a man died in central Arkansas when a tree was blown onto his recreational vehicle. The tornado that ripped through Tushka left the town of about 350 people some 120 miles southeast of Oklahoma City without a public school and forced many people to seek shelter with relatives, friends or churches serving as shelters. Semi-trailers and trees were scattered on the main highway, U.S. 69, and authorities closed off some roads because of downed power lines and trees. “It felt like a bomb,” said Jennifer Buffington, who fled to a storm’s cellar with her husband, Tony Stiles, and their seven children when the tornado sirens sounded. When the family emerged, they found the windows blown out of their house. The family sought shelter at First Baptist Church in nearby Atoka. “Everything in my house looks like shambles,” said Buffington, 36, whose children range in age from 1 to 20.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/art ... d64ca187f5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TI7Sk1b4 ... r_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OMyTJbHp ... r_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJp1BsH6 ... r_embedded
April 15, 2011 – TUSHKA, Okla. (AP)
A powerful storm system produced a tornado that killed two people in southeastern Oklahoma and three more in Arkansas before moving into the Deep South early Friday. The system produced a large tornado that cut through the tiny southeastern Oklahoma town of Tushka late Thursday, killing at least two people and injuring dozens more as it tore up roofs, shattered windows and tossed power lines and trees. Two people were killed in western Arkansas early Friday when a tree fell on a house, and a man died in central Arkansas when a tree was blown onto his recreational vehicle. The tornado that ripped through Tushka left the town of about 350 people some 120 miles southeast of Oklahoma City without a public school and forced many people to seek shelter with relatives, friends or churches serving as shelters. Semi-trailers and trees were scattered on the main highway, U.S. 69, and authorities closed off some roads because of downed power lines and trees. “It felt like a bomb,” said Jennifer Buffington, who fled to a storm’s cellar with her husband, Tony Stiles, and their seven children when the tornado sirens sounded. When the family emerged, they found the windows blown out of their house. The family sought shelter at First Baptist Church in nearby Atoka. “Everything in my house looks like shambles,” said Buffington, 36, whose children range in age from 1 to 20.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/art ... d64ca187f5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TI7Sk1b4 ... r_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OMyTJbHp ... r_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJp1BsH6 ... r_embedded
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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL YAZOO...EAST CENTRAL HUMPHREYS AND HOLMES COUNTIES...
AT 1014 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR THORNTON MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
COXBURG...TOLARVILLE...HOWARD...TCHULA...BROZVILLE...LEXINGTON...
MCMILLAN...BOWLING GREEN...EMORY AND WEST
Fortunately north of Yazoo City.
CENTRAL YAZOO...EAST CENTRAL HUMPHREYS AND HOLMES COUNTIES...
AT 1014 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR THORNTON MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
COXBURG...TOLARVILLE...HOWARD...TCHULA...BROZVILLE...LEXINGTON...
MCMILLAN...BOWLING GREEN...EMORY AND WEST
Fortunately north of Yazoo City.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS MS...NERN LA...CENTRAL/SRN AL.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 140...
VALID 151528Z - 151730Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 140 CONTINUES.
CONTINUE WW ALONG AND S OF QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM DELINEATED
BELOW. PER COORD W/MOB...PERRY/GEORGE/GREENE COUNTIES MS ARE BEING
ADDED TO WW AND MOBILE/WASHINGTON/CLARKE COUNTIES AL. ADDITIONAL WW
MAY BE REQUIRED DURING NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN AL
AS WELL.
15Z SFC MESOANALYSIS AND CLOUD LINES IN VIS IMAGERY EACH INDICATE
COLD FRONT FROM MO OZARKS SSEWD TO NEAR MLU...THEN SWWD TO NEAR HOU.
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS LA AND INTO NWRN
MS...PRECEDED BY CONFLUENCE ZONE ANALYZED INITIALLY NEAR
TVR...HEZ...BTR...PTN LINE. CONFLUENCE LINE ALSO IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT EWD ACROSS SERN LA AND SRN MS. RELATIVELY VEERED SFC FLOW
BETWEEN CONFLUENCE LINE AND COLD FRONT SHOULD MAKE WIND PROFILES
MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WITH HEIGHT AND FOSTER MORE LINEAR MODE FOR
CONVECTION FORMING ALONG COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE...SLY/SSELY WINDS
BETWEEN CONFLUENCE LINE AND WARM FRONT WILL CONTRIBUTE MORE ENLARGED
HODOGRAPHS AND 300-500 J/KG EFFECTIVE SRH...FAVORING MORE DISCRETE
SUPERCELL/TORNADO POTENTIAL IN THAT SECTOR. THIS INCLUDES CELLS
OVER SERN MS/SWRN AL...AS WELL AS PRE COLD-FRONTAL CONVECTION NEAR
MS RIVER MOVING E OF CONFLUENCE LINE. THIS SECTOR WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED ALSO BY MLCAPE INCREASING TO NEAR 2000 J/KG THROUGH
18Z. VIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY
SHOULD BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED ALONG SRN FRINGE OF CLOUD PLUME
EMANATING FROM MCS...I.E. FROM TALLADEGA AREA WSWWD TO NEAR MEI.
THIS COULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR EVENTUAL INSTABILITY GRADIENT AND
VORTICITY ENHANCEMENT FOR ANY SUPERCELLS TRACKING NEAR IT.
PRIMARY QLCS...AS OF 15Z...WAS LOCATED FROM SHARKEY COUNTY MS OVER
CBM...WHERE IT INTERSECTED SFC WARM FRONT...THEN NEWD OVER
PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER NWRN AL AND MARSHALL
COUNTY TN. THAT SEGMENT OF QLCS SW OF WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH
EMBEDDED MESOCIRCULATIONS/SUPERCELLS. MS SEGMENT MIGHT RETREAT
SLIGHTLY NWD. SVR POTENTIAL IS FCST TO DIMINISH WITH NEWD EXTENT
FROM WARM FRONT AS FOREGOING LAYER OF NEAR-SFC STATIC STABILITY
DEEPENS...LESSENING POTENTIAL FOR SVR GUSTS TO PENETRATE TO SFC.
HOWEVER...WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL
AL...COMBINING WITH SFC DIABATIC HEATING S OF DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING
ZONE TO DESTABILIZE AIR MASS SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED E OF WW 140.
..EDWARDS.. 04/15/2011
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 32059244 32559189 33268986 33818809 34968725 34908581
33288639 32318613 31348625 30418670 30258795 30488839
30759030 31049193 32059244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS MS...NERN LA...CENTRAL/SRN AL.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 140...
VALID 151528Z - 151730Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 140 CONTINUES.
CONTINUE WW ALONG AND S OF QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM DELINEATED
BELOW. PER COORD W/MOB...PERRY/GEORGE/GREENE COUNTIES MS ARE BEING
ADDED TO WW AND MOBILE/WASHINGTON/CLARKE COUNTIES AL. ADDITIONAL WW
MAY BE REQUIRED DURING NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN AL
AS WELL.
15Z SFC MESOANALYSIS AND CLOUD LINES IN VIS IMAGERY EACH INDICATE
COLD FRONT FROM MO OZARKS SSEWD TO NEAR MLU...THEN SWWD TO NEAR HOU.
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS LA AND INTO NWRN
MS...PRECEDED BY CONFLUENCE ZONE ANALYZED INITIALLY NEAR
TVR...HEZ...BTR...PTN LINE. CONFLUENCE LINE ALSO IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT EWD ACROSS SERN LA AND SRN MS. RELATIVELY VEERED SFC FLOW
BETWEEN CONFLUENCE LINE AND COLD FRONT SHOULD MAKE WIND PROFILES
MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WITH HEIGHT AND FOSTER MORE LINEAR MODE FOR
CONVECTION FORMING ALONG COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE...SLY/SSELY WINDS
BETWEEN CONFLUENCE LINE AND WARM FRONT WILL CONTRIBUTE MORE ENLARGED
HODOGRAPHS AND 300-500 J/KG EFFECTIVE SRH...FAVORING MORE DISCRETE
SUPERCELL/TORNADO POTENTIAL IN THAT SECTOR. THIS INCLUDES CELLS
OVER SERN MS/SWRN AL...AS WELL AS PRE COLD-FRONTAL CONVECTION NEAR
MS RIVER MOVING E OF CONFLUENCE LINE. THIS SECTOR WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED ALSO BY MLCAPE INCREASING TO NEAR 2000 J/KG THROUGH
18Z. VIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY
SHOULD BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED ALONG SRN FRINGE OF CLOUD PLUME
EMANATING FROM MCS...I.E. FROM TALLADEGA AREA WSWWD TO NEAR MEI.
THIS COULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR EVENTUAL INSTABILITY GRADIENT AND
VORTICITY ENHANCEMENT FOR ANY SUPERCELLS TRACKING NEAR IT.
PRIMARY QLCS...AS OF 15Z...WAS LOCATED FROM SHARKEY COUNTY MS OVER
CBM...WHERE IT INTERSECTED SFC WARM FRONT...THEN NEWD OVER
PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER NWRN AL AND MARSHALL
COUNTY TN. THAT SEGMENT OF QLCS SW OF WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH
EMBEDDED MESOCIRCULATIONS/SUPERCELLS. MS SEGMENT MIGHT RETREAT
SLIGHTLY NWD. SVR POTENTIAL IS FCST TO DIMINISH WITH NEWD EXTENT
FROM WARM FRONT AS FOREGOING LAYER OF NEAR-SFC STATIC STABILITY
DEEPENS...LESSENING POTENTIAL FOR SVR GUSTS TO PENETRATE TO SFC.
HOWEVER...WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL
AL...COMBINING WITH SFC DIABATIC HEATING S OF DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING
ZONE TO DESTABILIZE AIR MASS SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED E OF WW 140.
..EDWARDS.. 04/15/2011
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 32059244 32559189 33268986 33818809 34968725 34908581
33288639 32318613 31348625 30418670 30258795 30488839
30759030 31049193 32059244
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
WUS54 KMOB 151523
SVSMOB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1023 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC153-151600-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110415T1600Z/
WAYNE MS-
1023 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR NORTHERN
WAYNE COUNTY...
AT 1019 AM CDT...COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS NEAR WHISTLER...OR ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF
WAYNESBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WEST KING...WOODWARDS AND WAYNESBORO AROUND 1035 AM CDT...
HIWANNEE AND BOICE AROUND 1040 AM CDT...
GRETNA AROUND 1055 AM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS
A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY
AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF YOU ARE IN MOBILE HOME...EVACUATE IT AND GET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A NEARBY STURDY BUILDING OR IN AN UNDERGROUND STORM SHELTER. IF NO
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER IS AVAILABLE AND A TORNADO IS FAST APPROACHING...
SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...OR LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER
LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3162 8889 3176 8891 3188 8854 3189 8848
3169 8847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 233DEG 29KT 3171 8881
$$
SVSMOB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1023 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC153-151600-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110415T1600Z/
WAYNE MS-
1023 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR NORTHERN
WAYNE COUNTY...
AT 1019 AM CDT...COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS NEAR WHISTLER...OR ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF
WAYNESBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WEST KING...WOODWARDS AND WAYNESBORO AROUND 1035 AM CDT...
HIWANNEE AND BOICE AROUND 1040 AM CDT...
GRETNA AROUND 1055 AM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS
A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY
AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF YOU ARE IN MOBILE HOME...EVACUATE IT AND GET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A NEARBY STURDY BUILDING OR IN AN UNDERGROUND STORM SHELTER. IF NO
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER IS AVAILABLE AND A TORNADO IS FAST APPROACHING...
SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...OR LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER
LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3162 8889 3176 8891 3188 8854 3189 8848
3169 8847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 233DEG 29KT 3171 8881
$$
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
$$
MSC051-151600-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110415T1600Z/
HOLMES MS-
1025 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
HOLMES COUNTY...
AT 1024 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A STRONG TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TOLARVILLE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HOWARD...TCHULA...BROZVILLE...LEXINGTON...MCMILLAN...BOWLING GREEN...
EMORY AND WEST
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3329 8999 3322 8976 3318 8979 3315 8979
3310 8982 3298 9022 3301 9031 3317 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1524Z 244DEG 37KT 3310 9022
$$
GRG
MSC051-151600-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110415T1600Z/
HOLMES MS-
1025 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
HOLMES COUNTY...
AT 1024 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A STRONG TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TOLARVILLE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HOWARD...TCHULA...BROZVILLE...LEXINGTON...MCMILLAN...BOWLING GREEN...
EMORY AND WEST
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3329 8999 3322 8976 3318 8979 3315 8979
3310 8982 3298 9022 3301 9031 3317 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1524Z 244DEG 37KT 3310 9022
$$
GRG
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
Tornado on the ground in a populated suburban area.
WUS54 KJAN 151559
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1059 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC049-089-151630-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110415T1630Z/
HINDS MS-MADISON MS-
1059 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MADISON AND CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES...
AT 1059 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CLINTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM!
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JACKSON...RIDGELAND AND MADISON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
&&
LAT...LON 3220 9059 3233 9057 3252 9007 3244 9005
3232 9016 3226 9020
TIME...MOT...LOC 1559Z 254DEG 33KT 3234 9028
$$
BYB
WUS54 KJAN 151559
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1059 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC049-089-151630-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110415T1630Z/
HINDS MS-MADISON MS-
1059 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MADISON AND CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES...
AT 1059 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CLINTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM!
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JACKSON...RIDGELAND AND MADISON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
&&
LAT...LON 3220 9059 3233 9057 3252 9007 3244 9005
3232 9016 3226 9020
TIME...MOT...LOC 1559Z 254DEG 33KT 3234 9028
$$
BYB
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
BREAKING NEWS - TORNADO EMERGENCY for northern Jackson area
US54 KJAN 151603
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1103 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC049-089-151630-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110415T1630Z/
HINDS MS-MADISON MS-
1103 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MADISON AND EAST CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1103 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CLINTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JACKSON...RIDGELAND AND MADISON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3232 9018 3230 9018 3227 9037 3240 9040
3252 9007 3244 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1603Z 254DEG 33KT 3234 9026
$$
BYB
US54 KJAN 151603
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1103 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC049-089-151630-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110415T1630Z/
HINDS MS-MADISON MS-
1103 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MADISON AND EAST CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1103 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CLINTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JACKSON...RIDGELAND AND MADISON
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3232 9018 3230 9018 3227 9037 3240 9040
3252 9007 3244 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1603Z 254DEG 33KT 3234 9026
$$
BYB
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SPC AC 151617
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
VALID 151630Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PARTS OF MS AND AL...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDDLE MS AND LOWER OH
VALLEYS INTO SOUTHEAST US...
...WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
COLD UPPER LOW OVER ERN KS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD
REACHING THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY LATER TONIGHT...AS A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH SPREADS EWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
AN INTENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WITH 80-100 KT WINDS AT 500 MB IS
EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY THIS
EVENING...INCREASING DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE REGION.
AT THE SURFACE...A DEEP LOW OVER NEAR MKC IS FORECAST TO MOVE ENEWD
TO NEAR UIN BY 00Z BEFORE TURNING NEWD TONIGHT ACROSS NRN IL. A COLD
FRONT ARCING SWD FROM THE LOW WILL MOVE EWD REACHING THE MS RIVER BY
THIS EVENING...THEN ACCELERATING EWD TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACHING JET STREAM ALOFT...REACHING A SWRN OH/NERN GA/NWRN FL
LINE BY 16/12Z. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD FROM THE LOW INTO THE
EXTREME NERN GULF OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL FL WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NEWD
DURING THE PERIOD.
...SERN STATES...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED COMMA CLOUD STRUCTURE
ARCING TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS
VALLEY...WITH RADAR SHOWING THE STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN A LINE FROM
NRN AL SWWD INTO CENTRAL MS. ADDITIONAL DISCRETE STORMS HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING OVER SRN MS INTO EXTREME SWRN AL...WITHIN LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENT ZONE WHERE STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING AND NWD MOISTURE
RETURN FROM THE GULF HAS BEEN OCCURRING. 12Z AREA SOUNDINGS AT JAN
AND SIL SHOW AMPLE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG WITH
WINDS VEERING/INCREASING WITH HEIGHT...RESULTING IN CLOCKWISE
TURNING HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL STORMS.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A THICK MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CONVECTIVE LINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL MS INTO NRN
AL...SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT OF A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY
BECOMING ESTABLISHED FROM SRN MS NEWD INTO EAST CENTRAL AL. THIS
AREA SHOULD UNDERGO STRONGER DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS
EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A FOCUSED BOUNDARY FOR STORMS TO TRACK ALONG.
THIS BOUNDARY MAY FURTHER AUGMENT FAVORABLE SHEAR/SRH ENVIRONMENT
...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS TO TRACK ENEWD FROM SRN MS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SRN AL. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 436
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS OF THE NEAR-TERM CONVECTIVE ASSESSMENT.
THE STORMS AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EWD TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING LATER TONIGHT AFTER 06Z.
...MIDDLE MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF
THE COLD FRONT FROM SERN MO ACROSS SRN IL INTO THE MID-SOUTH AND
LOWER OH VALLEY. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD
COVER OVER SERN MO AND NERN AR...WITH WEAK CONVECTION APPARENT ALONG
THE COLD FRONT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MO. COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
/NEAR -20C/ ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW WILL PROVIDE STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES...AND AS LOCAL AREAS OF ENHANCED DIABATIC HEATING OCCURS
THIS AFTERNOON...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE WITH SBCAPE
REACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. HIGH-RESOLUTION WRF MODELS INDICATE STORMS
WILL DEVELOP BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON OVER SERN MO AND EXTREME NERN
AR...WITH ACTIVITY SPREADING EWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY AND
MID-SOUTH THIS EVENING. WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERAL TORNADOES AND VERY
LARGE HAIL TO DEVELOP...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE
DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.
..WEISS/SMITH.. 04/15/2011
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1624Z (12:24PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
VALID 151630Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PARTS OF MS AND AL...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDDLE MS AND LOWER OH
VALLEYS INTO SOUTHEAST US...
...WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
COLD UPPER LOW OVER ERN KS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD
REACHING THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY LATER TONIGHT...AS A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH SPREADS EWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
AN INTENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WITH 80-100 KT WINDS AT 500 MB IS
EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY THIS
EVENING...INCREASING DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE REGION.
AT THE SURFACE...A DEEP LOW OVER NEAR MKC IS FORECAST TO MOVE ENEWD
TO NEAR UIN BY 00Z BEFORE TURNING NEWD TONIGHT ACROSS NRN IL. A COLD
FRONT ARCING SWD FROM THE LOW WILL MOVE EWD REACHING THE MS RIVER BY
THIS EVENING...THEN ACCELERATING EWD TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACHING JET STREAM ALOFT...REACHING A SWRN OH/NERN GA/NWRN FL
LINE BY 16/12Z. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD FROM THE LOW INTO THE
EXTREME NERN GULF OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL FL WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NEWD
DURING THE PERIOD.
...SERN STATES...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED COMMA CLOUD STRUCTURE
ARCING TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS
VALLEY...WITH RADAR SHOWING THE STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN A LINE FROM
NRN AL SWWD INTO CENTRAL MS. ADDITIONAL DISCRETE STORMS HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING OVER SRN MS INTO EXTREME SWRN AL...WITHIN LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENT ZONE WHERE STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING AND NWD MOISTURE
RETURN FROM THE GULF HAS BEEN OCCURRING. 12Z AREA SOUNDINGS AT JAN
AND SIL SHOW AMPLE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG WITH
WINDS VEERING/INCREASING WITH HEIGHT...RESULTING IN CLOCKWISE
TURNING HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL STORMS.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A THICK MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CONVECTIVE LINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL MS INTO NRN
AL...SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT OF A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY
BECOMING ESTABLISHED FROM SRN MS NEWD INTO EAST CENTRAL AL. THIS
AREA SHOULD UNDERGO STRONGER DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS
EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A FOCUSED BOUNDARY FOR STORMS TO TRACK ALONG.
THIS BOUNDARY MAY FURTHER AUGMENT FAVORABLE SHEAR/SRH ENVIRONMENT
...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS TO TRACK ENEWD FROM SRN MS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SRN AL. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 436
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS OF THE NEAR-TERM CONVECTIVE ASSESSMENT.
THE STORMS AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EWD TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING LATER TONIGHT AFTER 06Z.
...MIDDLE MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF
THE COLD FRONT FROM SERN MO ACROSS SRN IL INTO THE MID-SOUTH AND
LOWER OH VALLEY. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD
COVER OVER SERN MO AND NERN AR...WITH WEAK CONVECTION APPARENT ALONG
THE COLD FRONT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MO. COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
/NEAR -20C/ ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW WILL PROVIDE STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES...AND AS LOCAL AREAS OF ENHANCED DIABATIC HEATING OCCURS
THIS AFTERNOON...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE WITH SBCAPE
REACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. HIGH-RESOLUTION WRF MODELS INDICATE STORMS
WILL DEVELOP BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON OVER SERN MO AND EXTREME NERN
AR...WITH ACTIVITY SPREADING EWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY AND
MID-SOUTH THIS EVENING. WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERAL TORNADOES AND VERY
LARGE HAIL TO DEVELOP...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE
DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.
..WEISS/SMITH.. 04/15/2011
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1624Z (12:24PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
New watch. Since the sig-tor probs are 60%, it should be PDS (but isn't currently - that might get updated).
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1120 AM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH OF MONTGOMERY
ALABAMA TO 145 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS OVER SERN MS/SWRN AL ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS WW AREA WITHIN A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY
LAYER IN WAKE OF RETREATING WARM FRONT. HERE...THE COMBINATION OF
DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE 60S AND DIABATIC HEATING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO
1000-2000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH RATHER STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /I.E. EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 200-400 M2 PER S2/
WILL RESULT IN AN ENVIRONMENT QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF TORNADOES /SOME SIGNIFICANT/...LARGE HAIL APPROACHING 2.0-2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...MEAD
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1120 AM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH OF MONTGOMERY
ALABAMA TO 145 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS OVER SERN MS/SWRN AL ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS WW AREA WITHIN A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY
LAYER IN WAKE OF RETREATING WARM FRONT. HERE...THE COMBINATION OF
DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE 60S AND DIABATIC HEATING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO
1000-2000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH RATHER STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /I.E. EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 200-400 M2 PER S2/
WILL RESULT IN AN ENVIRONMENT QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF TORNADOES /SOME SIGNIFICANT/...LARGE HAIL APPROACHING 2.0-2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...MEAD
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-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6151
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
TV from Jackson reports damage in Clinton.
Tornado still being observed on the ground, currently crossing Ross Barnett Reservoir.
Tornado still being observed on the ground, currently crossing Ross Barnett Reservoir.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
US54 KMOB 151625
SVSMOB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1125 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
ALC023-MSC153-151645-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-110415T1645Z/
CHOCTAW AL-WAYNE MS-
1125 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WAYNE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES...
AT 1119 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS RECEIVED A
CONFIRMED REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE AT THE HUNT OIL REFINERY 2 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF MELVIN IN CHOCTAW COUNTY. THE STORM THAT PRODUCED
THIS TORNADO CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OKATUPPA AND EILER AROUND 1130 AM CDT...
BOGUELOOSA...NEEDHAM...JACKSON SPUR AND TURNER AROUND 1135 AM
CDT...
RED SPRINGS...LAND AND WEST BUTLER AROUND 1140 AM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS
A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY
AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3223 8807 3187 8818 3164 8868 3182 8883
3184 8881 3185 8863 3189 8848 3223 8844
3230 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 1622Z 233DEG 37KT 3190 8846
$$
SVSMOB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1125 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
ALC023-MSC153-151645-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-110415T1645Z/
CHOCTAW AL-WAYNE MS-
1125 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WAYNE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES...
AT 1119 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS RECEIVED A
CONFIRMED REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE AT THE HUNT OIL REFINERY 2 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF MELVIN IN CHOCTAW COUNTY. THE STORM THAT PRODUCED
THIS TORNADO CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OKATUPPA AND EILER AROUND 1130 AM CDT...
BOGUELOOSA...NEEDHAM...JACKSON SPUR AND TURNER AROUND 1135 AM
CDT...
RED SPRINGS...LAND AND WEST BUTLER AROUND 1140 AM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS
A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY
AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3223 8807 3187 8818 3164 8868 3182 8883
3184 8881 3185 8863 3189 8848 3223 8844
3230 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 1622Z 233DEG 37KT 3190 8846
$$
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
WUS54 KJAN 151628
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1128 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC089-121-151715-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110415T1715Z/
RANKIN MS-MADISON MS-
1128 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON AND NORTHERN RANKIN COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1128 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS CROSSING THE LOWER END OF THE ROSS BARNETT RESERVIOR AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GOSHEN SPRINGS BY 1135 AM CDT...
PISGAH BY 1140 AM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3263 8974 3261 8974 3259 8978 3244 8975
3237 9009 3238 9009 3240 9007 3241 9010
3248 9013 3268 8973 3265 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 1628Z 243DEG 34KT 3245 9001
$$
BYB
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1128 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC089-121-151715-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110415T1715Z/
RANKIN MS-MADISON MS-
1128 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON AND NORTHERN RANKIN COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1128 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS CROSSING THE LOWER END OF THE ROSS BARNETT RESERVIOR AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GOSHEN SPRINGS BY 1135 AM CDT...
PISGAH BY 1140 AM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3263 8974 3261 8974 3259 8978 3244 8975
3237 9009 3238 9009 3240 9007 3241 9010
3248 9013 3268 8973 3265 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 1628Z 243DEG 34KT 3245 9001
$$
BYB
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This guy currently is approaching the scene, it seems.
http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/pl ... bb&uid=496
http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/pl ... bb&uid=496
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe Storms Forecast OK & KS 4/14/11. Deep South 4/15/11.
Still really strong.
WUS54 KJAN 151639
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1139 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC089-121-151715-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110415T1715Z/
RANKIN MS-MADISON MS-
1139 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
MADISON AND NORTH CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1139 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GOSHEN SPRINGS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PISGAH BY 1145 AM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3261 8974 3259 8978 3246 8975 3242 9001
3251 9006 3268 8973 3265 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 1639Z 239DEG 29KT 3249 8993
$$
BYB
WUS54 KJAN 151639
SVSJAN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1139 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
MSC089-121-151715-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-110415T1715Z/
RANKIN MS-MADISON MS-
1139 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
MADISON AND NORTH CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTIES...
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE WARNED AREA...
AT 1139 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GOSHEN SPRINGS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PISGAH BY 1145 AM CDT...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.
&&
LAT...LON 3261 8974 3259 8978 3246 8975 3242 9001
3251 9006 3268 8973 3265 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 1639Z 239DEG 29KT 3249 8993
$$
BYB
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