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- cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Carib - C A Weather=More active weather for NE Carib today
Things have started early here so we can expect a long afternoon.I will keep you informed about news of flooding etc.


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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Carib - C A Weather=More active weather for NE Carib today
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
201 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
PRC003-005-071-099-152000-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0097.110515T1801Z-110515T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ISABELA PR-MOCA PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
201 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
ISABELA...MOCA...AGUADILLA AND AGUADA
* UNTIL 400 PM AST
* AT 159 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 4:00 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1840 6721 1853 6711 1850 6695 1844 6695
1832 6705
$$
MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
116 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
PRC015-057-095-109-129-151-151915-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0096.110515T1716Z-110515T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN LORENZO PR-ARROYO PR-PATILLAS PR-MAUNABO PR-GUAYAMA PR-YABUCOA
116 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
SAN LORENZO...ARROYO...PATILLAS...MAUNABO...GUAYAMA AND YABUCOA
* UNTIL 315 PM AST
* AT 114 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 3:15 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1803 6620 1813 6607 1815 6600 1806 6580
1795 6603 1793 6620
$$
MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
201 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
PRC003-005-071-099-152000-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0097.110515T1801Z-110515T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ISABELA PR-MOCA PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-
201 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
ISABELA...MOCA...AGUADILLA AND AGUADA
* UNTIL 400 PM AST
* AT 159 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 4:00 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1840 6721 1853 6711 1850 6695 1844 6695
1832 6705
$$
MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
116 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
PRC015-057-095-109-129-151-151915-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0096.110515T1716Z-110515T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN LORENZO PR-ARROYO PR-PATILLAS PR-MAUNABO PR-GUAYAMA PR-YABUCOA
116 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
SAN LORENZO...ARROYO...PATILLAS...MAUNABO...GUAYAMA AND YABUCOA
* UNTIL 315 PM AST
* AT 114 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 3:15 PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1803 6620 1813 6607 1815 6600 1806 6580
1795 6603 1793 6620
$$
MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Carib - C A Weather=More active weather for NE Carib today
More days of this kind of weather are expected this week,so let's be aware of that and be on alert.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
302 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA.
&&
.DISCUSSION...VARIABLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE
EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VI DURING THE MORNING HOURS
WHILE THE WESTERN PORTIONS ENJOYED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. BY THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THE WEATHER SCENARIO CHANGED DUE TO
DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. AS
A RESULT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WERE NOTED OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY
THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
THIS EVENING. FOR THE LATE EVENING HOURS...VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED MAINLY OVER THE
EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...THE VI AND REGIONAL WATERS.
DEEP MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND FROM NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA TO
PUERTO RICO/LESSER ANTILLES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS TO CONCENTRATE
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES AND CARIBBEAN WATERS. THEREFORE...WET WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. WEATHER
ACTIVITY SHOULD CONCENTRATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SLOPES ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO EACH AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING AS WELL AS MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE LOCAL AND LIMITED TO A FEW
HOURS OF THE DAY...BUT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
AREA SPREADING INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE A GIVEN AND ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST BEYOND
17/00Z. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT WESTERN PUERTO RICO WILL HOLD
THE BEST CONDITIONS.
&&
.MARINE...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 33 KNOTS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE. AT LEAST UNTIL 600 PM
AST...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ANEGADA PASSAGE. THE NORTHERN SWELL WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 75 87 75 / 80 20 60 40
STT 84 76 85 76 / 70 30 40 40
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
302 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA.
&&
.DISCUSSION...VARIABLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE
EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VI DURING THE MORNING HOURS
WHILE THE WESTERN PORTIONS ENJOYED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. BY THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THE WEATHER SCENARIO CHANGED DUE TO
DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. AS
A RESULT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WERE NOTED OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY
THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
THIS EVENING. FOR THE LATE EVENING HOURS...VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED MAINLY OVER THE
EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...THE VI AND REGIONAL WATERS.
DEEP MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND FROM NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA TO
PUERTO RICO/LESSER ANTILLES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS TO CONCENTRATE
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES AND CARIBBEAN WATERS. THEREFORE...WET WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. WEATHER
ACTIVITY SHOULD CONCENTRATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SLOPES ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO EACH AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING AS WELL AS MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE LOCAL AND LIMITED TO A FEW
HOURS OF THE DAY...BUT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
AREA SPREADING INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE A GIVEN AND ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST BEYOND
17/00Z. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT WESTERN PUERTO RICO WILL HOLD
THE BEST CONDITIONS.
&&
.MARINE...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 33 KNOTS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE. AT LEAST UNTIL 600 PM
AST...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ANEGADA PASSAGE. THE NORTHERN SWELL WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 75 87 75 / 80 20 60 40
STT 84 76 85 76 / 70 30 40 40
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C A =More Active weather for NE Carib this week
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
327 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
AMZ715-722-725-732-160330-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT
10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
327 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THESE WATERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE GENERALLY TO
THE EAST NORTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...GUSTS UP TO 33
KNOTS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
327 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
AMZ715-722-725-732-160330-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT
10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
327 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THESE WATERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE GENERALLY TO
THE EAST NORTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...GUSTS UP TO 33
KNOTS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- tropicana
- Category 5
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Re: Caribbean - C A =More active weather for NE Carib this week
Regional Highs and rainfall (rain is 8pmET Sat-8pmET Sun) for
Sun May 15 2011
Piarco Airport, Trinidad 32.1C 90F trace
Maraval, NW Trinidad 30.6C 87F 4.6mm (afternoon thunderstorm)
Crown Point, Tobago 31.1C 88F 2.0mm
Point Salines, Grenada 29.9C 86F 1.2mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 30.3C 86F trace
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.3C 86F
Hewannora Airport, St Lucia 30.3C 86F trace
Melville Hall, Dominica 30.0C 86F 3.0mm
Golden Rock, St Kitts 29.4C 85F 10.4mm
VC Bird, Antigua 28.7C 84F 2.9mm
San Juan, PR 31.1C 88F 0.5mm
Owen ROberts, Grand Cayman 29.3C 85F
Havana, Cuba 31.4C 88F
Miami, FL 30.0C 86F 1.8mm
Nassau, Bahamas 31.1C 88F
Hamilton, Bermuda 23.1C 74F 1.5mm
-justin-
Sun May 15 2011
Piarco Airport, Trinidad 32.1C 90F trace
Maraval, NW Trinidad 30.6C 87F 4.6mm (afternoon thunderstorm)
Crown Point, Tobago 31.1C 88F 2.0mm
Point Salines, Grenada 29.9C 86F 1.2mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 30.3C 86F trace
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.3C 86F
Hewannora Airport, St Lucia 30.3C 86F trace
Melville Hall, Dominica 30.0C 86F 3.0mm
Golden Rock, St Kitts 29.4C 85F 10.4mm
VC Bird, Antigua 28.7C 84F 2.9mm
San Juan, PR 31.1C 88F 0.5mm
Owen ROberts, Grand Cayman 29.3C 85F
Havana, Cuba 31.4C 88F
Miami, FL 30.0C 86F 1.8mm
Nassau, Bahamas 31.1C 88F
Hamilton, Bermuda 23.1C 74F 1.5mm
-justin-
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- cycloneye
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- Posts: 143863
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C A =More active weather for E Carib this week
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
931 PM AST SUN MAY 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS...MID-UPPER LEVEL TROF ACROSS THE ERN US WILL AMPLIFY
OVR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND LEAD TO AMPLIFICATION AND BUILDING
OF SUBEQUATORIAL RIDGE FROM THE TROP ATLC INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN.
A SOUTH SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL MANTAIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS OVR THE REGION.
&&
.DISCUSSION...00Z JSJ RAOB SHOWED SIG LOW LVL WARMING OVR THE PAST
TWELVE HOURS WITH A MODERATE SSE FLOW. FOR OVERNIGHT...THINGS LOOK
TO STAY QUIET WITH SIG CINH IN PLACE. CONCERN FOR TOMORROW HOW
MUCH CLOUD CVR WILL BE IN THE MORNING TO ALLOW SUFFICIENT
DESTABILIZATION OF ATMS. EVEN WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS...IT LOOKS LIKE
MODERATE SSE FLOW SHOULD BOOST TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 80S LIKE IT
DID TODAY. 0-3KM SRH IS PRETTY DECENT SIMILAR TO SATURDAY IN THE
50-100 M^2/S^2 SO CAN`T RULED OUT BRIEF SPINUPS AND
TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS LIKE SATURDAY. FCST STORM MOTION IS A
LITTLE SLOWER THAN PAST TWO DAYS LESS THAN 10 KT WHICH COULD POSE
A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING.
REGION WILL REMAIN IN A SOUTH SOUTHEAST FLOW FOR THE FOREESABLE
FUTURE WITH CHANCES OF CONVECTION PRETTY MUCH EVERYDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST TAF SITES
UNTIL 16/16Z WITH VCSH POSSIBLE. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BETWEEN 15/16Z
THROUGH AT LEAST 17/21Z IN TSRA OVER TJBQ AND TJMZ. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT THE SURFACE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 74 87 74 87 / 40 70 40 40
STT 75 85 75 84 / 60 50 40 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
In Central America some countries are showing a trend of decreasing maximum temperatures, those countries are El Salvador, Nicaragua and Panama. In the rest of the region the maximum temps have not changed significantly on the last couple of weeks and they are still pretty warm. The minimum temps are a different story and they have been pretty warm without experiencing any significant cooling in the last couple of weeks, only in Belize and Costa Rica they have cooled down a little in the last few days.
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 25°C (77°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 19.1°C (66.4°F) Coolest since April 17.
Guatemala city, Guatemala 19°C (66°F) Warmest for 2011, tied yesterday.
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.7°C (49.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 21.8°C (71.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.6°C (56.5°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 25.1°C (77.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 10°C (50°F) Coolest since April 18.
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.2°C (61.2°F) Coolest since April 16.
Liberia, Costa Rica 23.7°C (74.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.1°C (75.4°F)
Boquete, Panama 17.1°C (62.8°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge 31.9°C (89.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 29°C (84°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 25.4°C (77.7°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 35°C (95°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.1°C (86.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 22.0°C (71.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.1°C (95.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 31°C (88°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 29°C (84°F) Coolest since January, thanks to a very cloudy day.
Jinotega, Nicaragua 28°C (82°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.1°C (80.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 29.5°C (85.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.9°C (87.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.7°C (72.9°F)
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 25°C (77°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 19.1°C (66.4°F) Coolest since April 17.
Guatemala city, Guatemala 19°C (66°F) Warmest for 2011, tied yesterday.
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.7°C (49.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 21.8°C (71.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.6°C (56.5°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 25.1°C (77.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 10°C (50°F) Coolest since April 18.
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.2°C (61.2°F) Coolest since April 16.
Liberia, Costa Rica 23.7°C (74.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.1°C (75.4°F)
Boquete, Panama 17.1°C (62.8°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge 31.9°C (89.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 29°C (84°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 25.4°C (77.7°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 35°C (95°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.1°C (86.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 22.0°C (71.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.1°C (95.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 31°C (88°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 29°C (84°F) Coolest since January, thanks to a very cloudy day.
Jinotega, Nicaragua 28°C (82°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.1°C (80.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 29.5°C (85.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.9°C (87.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.7°C (72.9°F)
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- cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Good morning.More rain is expected today for most of the Eastern Caribbean.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
546 AM AST MON MAY 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN LOCATED TO THE
WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
MAINTAINING GENERALLY FAVORABLE DYNAMICS TO AID IN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD SLOWLY TOWARD AND INTO THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST...RESULTING IN A SOMEWHAT LESS UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN LOCALLY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH
LOCAL EFFECTS AND AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS...TO PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...BUT
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND NORTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...IN
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT
LEAST SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW
LOCATIONS...WITH LOCALIZED FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...IF DEVELOPING CONVECTION CAN OVERCOME EARLY MORNING
CAPPING AND LOW LEVEL STABLE ENVIRONMENT...THEN COULD BE A COUPLE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AS EARLY MORNING VWP STILL SHOWING
DECENT MID LEVEL WIND FLOW OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. ALSO...VWP PROFILE
INDICATING MORE VEERING WITH HEIGHT DEVELOPING...AS WE HAVE
PROGRESSED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS (SINCE 00Z SOUNDING). THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL IN A
COUPLE OF LOCATIONS. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH MID
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND AIR MASS IS
FORECAST TO BECOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AND MORE STABLE...FEEL THE
OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED...WITH AT LEAST
DIURNALLY AND NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER DIURNAL INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHWRS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH...
CENTRAL AND WEST SECTIONS OF PR. THIS SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY WILL
PRODUCE TEMPO PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ FROM 16/17-22Z. LATEST TJSJ
SOUNDING AT 16/00Z INDICATED SSE TO SE WINDS AT 10 TO 25 KTS BTWN
SFC TO 5 KFT...BACKING WITH HEIGHT UP TO 12 KFT AND THEN STRONGER
SWLY ABOVE 12 KFT.
&&
.MARINE...GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF
5 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 73 86 75 / 70 40 50 20
STT 85 77 86 77 / 50 40 50 30
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
546 AM AST MON MAY 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN LOCATED TO THE
WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
MAINTAINING GENERALLY FAVORABLE DYNAMICS TO AID IN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD SLOWLY TOWARD AND INTO THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST...RESULTING IN A SOMEWHAT LESS UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN LOCALLY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH
LOCAL EFFECTS AND AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS...TO PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...BUT
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND NORTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...IN
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT
LEAST SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW
LOCATIONS...WITH LOCALIZED FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...IF DEVELOPING CONVECTION CAN OVERCOME EARLY MORNING
CAPPING AND LOW LEVEL STABLE ENVIRONMENT...THEN COULD BE A COUPLE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AS EARLY MORNING VWP STILL SHOWING
DECENT MID LEVEL WIND FLOW OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. ALSO...VWP PROFILE
INDICATING MORE VEERING WITH HEIGHT DEVELOPING...AS WE HAVE
PROGRESSED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS (SINCE 00Z SOUNDING). THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL IN A
COUPLE OF LOCATIONS. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH MID
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND AIR MASS IS
FORECAST TO BECOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AND MORE STABLE...FEEL THE
OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED...WITH AT LEAST
DIURNALLY AND NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER DIURNAL INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHWRS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH...
CENTRAL AND WEST SECTIONS OF PR. THIS SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY WILL
PRODUCE TEMPO PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ FROM 16/17-22Z. LATEST TJSJ
SOUNDING AT 16/00Z INDICATED SSE TO SE WINDS AT 10 TO 25 KTS BTWN
SFC TO 5 KFT...BACKING WITH HEIGHT UP TO 12 KFT AND THEN STRONGER
SWLY ABOVE 12 KFT.
&&
.MARINE...GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF
5 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 73 86 75 / 70 40 50 20
STT 85 77 86 77 / 50 40 50 30
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
258 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...THE CORE OF THE SUB TROPICAL JET WILL REMAIN
TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK. FLOW WILL CONTINUE
TO BE WEST SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH RIDGING TO THE EAST AND
TROUGHING TO THE WEST.
AT MID LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES DURING THE WORK WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC NOSING INTO THE CARIBBEAN. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
FIRM IN THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
AT LOWER LEVELS...SOUTH FLOW WILL SLOWLY TURN TO THE EAST DURING
THE NEXT 7 DAYS...BUT WILL KEEP THE LOWER LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
WET THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...AFRICAN DUST WAS VISIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO TODAY AND
CUT VISIBILITIES DOWN FROM WELL OVER 30 MILES TO JUST BARELY 10
MILES. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES HAVE REMAINED MODERATE...
SHOWER ACTIVITY FOUND IT DIFFICULT TO GET ESTABLISHED OVER LAND
AREAS BEFORE 3 PM AST. NEVERTHELESS NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVED NORTH FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND BECAME ISOLATED
ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO. EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
CARRY MOISTURE NOW THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THAT WILL KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE USUAL DIURNAL PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT 5 DAYS. THE GFS IS DEPICTING THE LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE ATLANTIC. HENCE LITTLE CHANGE IN THE BASIC
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NOT WITHSTANDING THE USUAL
VARIATIONS IN LOCAL MOISTURE FIELDS. EVEN AFTER THE LOW MOVES
OFFSHORE INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST
INTO FLORIDA...MOISTURE PERSISTS WITH NO LESS THAN 1.75 INCHES AND
OFTEN ABOVE 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITABLE WATER DURING THE NEXT 10
DAYS. THIS WILL KEEP DAILY SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE A LITTLE BIT MID WEEK FOR THE
SAN JUAN AREA...WHICH SAW AT LEAST 91 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.AVIATION...SHWRS AND TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NORTH...CENTRAL AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.
AS A RESULT...BRIEF MVFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE STILL
EXPECTED ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ THROUGH ABOUT 17/00Z.
LATEST TJSJ SOUNDING AT 16/12Z INDICATED S WINDS AT 10 TO 25 KTS
BTWN SFC TO 5 KFT. MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS TNCM
TONIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...MODEST WINDS WILL KEEP SEAS BELOW 7 FEET FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS...BUT THEY MAY BE LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 75 88 76 85 / 30 40 20 30
STT 77 87 78 86 / 40 40 30 30
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Despite cloud cover and some showers,the temperature was 90+ in parts of Puerto Rico.There is also some haze as skies are semigray.
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
PRZ001-004-161900-
PUERTO RICO
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM PTSUNNY 90 72 55 SE8 29.85F HX 96
MAYAGUEZ PTSUNNY 91 72 52 SW9 29.87 HX 98
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
200 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
PRZ001-004-161900-
PUERTO RICO
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM PTSUNNY 90 72 55 SE8 29.85F HX 96
MAYAGUEZ PTSUNNY 91 72 52 SW9 29.87 HX 98
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ725-732-735-162115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0021.110516T1949Z-110516T2115Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
349 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
SOUTH OF PUNTA VIENTO IN PATILLAS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AND FOR WATERS SOUTH OF VIEQUES.
* UNTIL 515 PM AST
* AT 341 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SHOWERS WITH STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER ABOUT 25 NM
SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA VIENTO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...AND INCREASING WAVES.
BOATERS..ESPECIALLY THOSE UNDER SAIL...SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THE HIGH WINDS SUBSIDE.
&&
LAT...LON 1758 6605 1750 6636 1794 6621 1801 6613
1802 6592 1813 6584 1816 6575 1808 6558
1786 6556 1734 6586
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 218DEG 19KT 1764 6620 1774 6594
1760 6579
$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AMZ725-732-735-162115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0021.110516T1949Z-110516T2115Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
349 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
SOUTH OF PUNTA VIENTO IN PATILLAS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AND FOR WATERS SOUTH OF VIEQUES.
* UNTIL 515 PM AST
* AT 341 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SHOWERS WITH STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER ABOUT 25 NM
SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA VIENTO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...AND INCREASING WAVES.
BOATERS..ESPECIALLY THOSE UNDER SAIL...SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THE HIGH WINDS SUBSIDE.
&&
LAT...LON 1758 6605 1750 6636 1794 6621 1801 6613
1802 6592 1813 6584 1816 6575 1808 6558
1786 6556 1734 6586
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 218DEG 19KT 1764 6620 1774 6594
1760 6579
$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- cycloneye
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- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
PRC007-015-025-029-031-063-069-077-085-095-103-109-119-127-129-139-
151-162145-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
414 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...AGUAS BUENAS...JUNCOS...GURABO...SAN LORENZO...TRUJILLO
ALTO...LAS PIEDRAS...ARROYO...PATILLAS...MAUNABO...NAGUABO...
CANOVANAS...CAROLINA...HUMACAO...SAN JUAN...RIO GRANDE AND
YABUCOA
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ANTON RUIZ...ARROYO...BAIROA...BUENA VISTA...CAGUAS...CAMPO
RICO...CANOVANAS...CAROLINA...GURABO...CELADA...MAUNABO...
EMAJAGUA...HATO CANDAL...HUMACAO...JUNCOS...LA DOLORES...LAS
PIEDRAS...LA FERMINA...MARTORELL...PALMAS...PATILLAS...
PLAYITA...RIO GRANDE...SAN ISIDRO...SAN JUAN...SAN LORENZO...
SANTA BARBARA...TRUJILLO ALTO AND YABUCOA
AT 407 PM AST A THUNDERSTORM ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTH OF SAN
LORENZO...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTH AND MAY CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 40 MPH. A SECOND CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF MAUNABO IS ALSO MOVING NORTH AND IS EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS.
$$
JJA/LFR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRC007-015-025-029-031-063-069-077-085-095-103-109-119-127-129-139-
151-162145-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
414 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...AGUAS BUENAS...JUNCOS...GURABO...SAN LORENZO...TRUJILLO
ALTO...LAS PIEDRAS...ARROYO...PATILLAS...MAUNABO...NAGUABO...
CANOVANAS...CAROLINA...HUMACAO...SAN JUAN...RIO GRANDE AND
YABUCOA
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ANTON RUIZ...ARROYO...BAIROA...BUENA VISTA...CAGUAS...CAMPO
RICO...CANOVANAS...CAROLINA...GURABO...CELADA...MAUNABO...
EMAJAGUA...HATO CANDAL...HUMACAO...JUNCOS...LA DOLORES...LAS
PIEDRAS...LA FERMINA...MARTORELL...PALMAS...PATILLAS...
PLAYITA...RIO GRANDE...SAN ISIDRO...SAN JUAN...SAN LORENZO...
SANTA BARBARA...TRUJILLO ALTO AND YABUCOA
AT 407 PM AST A THUNDERSTORM ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTH OF SAN
LORENZO...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTH AND MAY CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 40 MPH. A SECOND CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF MAUNABO IS ALSO MOVING NORTH AND IS EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS.
$$
JJA/LFR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Hi! Yesterday was a very wet day in the central coast of El Salvador, El Salvador International Airport registered 122.5 mm (4.82 inches) that is the highest 24 hours rainfall in the country since September 29, 2010. None of the other stations in the country experienced more than 50 mm (2 inches) yesterday.
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- cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
958 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS...MID LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE TROP ATLC WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD ACROSS THE ERN CARIBBEAN MID WEEK. TRADE WINDS WILL RETURN
BY MID WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...REGION REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN ANOMALOUS
UPPER LEVEL TROF ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. WITH TIME
THIS TROF WILL PULL TO THE NORTH WITH MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING
FROM THE TROP ATLC INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN. WHILE MODELS DO NOT
SHOW A SIG DRYING TREND OVR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS LATEST NESDIS
BLENDED TPW IMAGERY SHOWS VERY DRY AIR EAST OF 50W THAT COULD
EVENTUALLY MAKE IT INTO THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK. LAST VIS
IMAGES BEFORE SUNSET SHOWED SOME HAZY SKIES EAST OF 50W BUT NO
SIGNS OF SAHARAN DUST. IN ADDITION...NAAPS ANALYSIS DOES NOT
INDICATE ANY SAHARAN DUST ACROSS THAT PART OF THE ATLC WITH DUST
MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WEST AFRICAN COAST AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ERN PORTION OF PR AND
THE USVI OVERNIGHT WITH ACTIVITY REDEVELOPING ACROSS NW PR IN THE
AFTERNOON UNDER A SOUTHEAST FLOW. MORE STABLE AND DRIER AIR WILL
WORK WWD INTO THE LEEWARDS AND THE USVI TOMORROW GREATLY LIMITING
SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THOSE ISLANDS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF SITES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER DIURNAL INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHWRS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PR. THIS SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE TEMPO
PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ACROSS TJBQ...
TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ FROM 17/17-22Z. LATEST TJSJ SOUNDING AT
17/00Z INDICATED S WINDS AT 5-10 KTS AT THE SFC.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS WILL REMAIN TRANQUIL IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE FOR THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS WITH EASTERLY WIND WAVES DOMINATING THE WAVE
SPECTRUM. NORTH SWELLS THAT AFFECTED THE ATLC WATERS THIS PAST
WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 90 76 90 / 50 30 20 30
STT 76 85 76 85 / 60 30 30 30
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
The maximum temperatures in El Salvador and Panama remain significantly cooler than two weeks ago, in the rest of the region they are still very similar to those of late April and early May. And as usual for this time of year the minimum temperatures are very warm in most of the region.
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.2°C (72.0°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.5°C (49.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 22.0°C (72°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.2°C (52.2°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 24.2°C (75.6°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 11°C (52°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.0°C (75.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 16.1°C (61.0°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge 33.6°C (92.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 28°C (82°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 24.2°C (75.6°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 37°C (99°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.0°C (86.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 23.1°C (73.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.4°C (95.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 35°C (95°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 29°C (84°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.6°C (85.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 33.5°C (92.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.7°C (87.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 19.3°C (66.7°F) Coolest since March 1.
Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.2°C (72.0°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.5°C (49.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 22.0°C (72°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.2°C (52.2°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 24.2°C (75.6°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 11°C (52°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.0°C (75.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 16.1°C (61.0°F)
Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge 33.6°C (92.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 28°C (82°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 24.2°C (75.6°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 37°C (99°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.0°C (86.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 23.1°C (73.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.4°C (95.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 35°C (95°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 29°C (84°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.6°C (85.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 33.5°C (92.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.7°C (87.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 19.3°C (66.7°F) Coolest since March 1.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC109-170615-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0012.110517T0318Z-110517T0615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1118 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY
IN PUERTO RICO
PATILLAS
* UNTIL 215 AM AST
* AT 1110 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED
TO INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING
THIS MUNICIPALITY. ALSO...U.S.G.S. RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT THE
LEVELS OF RIO MARIN IN PATILLAS WERE RISING RAPIDLY AND WILL GO PAST
FLOOD STAGE WITHING THE NEXT 15 MINUTES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 1806 6606 1808 6602 1798 6593 1798 6602
$$
ER
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRC109-170615-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0012.110517T0318Z-110517T0615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1118 PM AST MON MAY 16 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY
IN PUERTO RICO
PATILLAS
* UNTIL 215 AM AST
* AT 1110 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED
TO INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING
THIS MUNICIPALITY. ALSO...U.S.G.S. RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT THE
LEVELS OF RIO MARIN IN PATILLAS WERE RISING RAPIDLY AND WILL GO PAST
FLOOD STAGE WITHING THE NEXT 15 MINUTES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 1806 6606 1808 6602 1798 6593 1798 6602
$$
ER
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
Good morning.I woke up to see this flood advisory.That tells me,it's going to be a wet day here.
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
613 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
PRC029-037-053-069-077-085-089-095-103-109-119-129-147-151-171315-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0102.110517T1013Z-110517T1315Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JUNCOS PR-SAN LORENZO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-LUQUILLO PR-PATILLAS PR-
MAUNABO PR-NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-HUMACAO PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-YABUCOA PR-VIEQUES PR-
613 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...SAN LORENZO...LAS PIEDRAS...LUQUILLO...PATILLAS...
MAUNABO...NAGUABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...RIO
GRANDE...YABUCOA AND VIEQUES
* UNTIL 915 AM AST
* AT 608 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER RADAR SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH
VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THE ADVISORY AREA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
AND RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THESE AREAS AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM CURRENT AND PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER
IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1812 6523 1804 6557 1817 6564 1799 6581
1797 6601 1801 6604 1845 6587 1838 6561
1833 6553 1829 6557
$$
ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
613 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
PRC029-037-053-069-077-085-089-095-103-109-119-129-147-151-171315-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0102.110517T1013Z-110517T1315Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JUNCOS PR-SAN LORENZO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-LUQUILLO PR-PATILLAS PR-
MAUNABO PR-NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-HUMACAO PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-YABUCOA PR-VIEQUES PR-
613 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...SAN LORENZO...LAS PIEDRAS...LUQUILLO...PATILLAS...
MAUNABO...NAGUABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...RIO
GRANDE...YABUCOA AND VIEQUES
* UNTIL 915 AM AST
* AT 608 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER RADAR SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH
VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THE ADVISORY AREA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
AND RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THESE AREAS AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM CURRENT AND PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER
IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1812 6523 1804 6557 1817 6564 1799 6581
1797 6601 1801 6604 1845 6587 1838 6561
1833 6553 1829 6557
$$
ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
543 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN LOCATED TO
THE WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY...MAINTAINING GENERALLY FAVORABLE DYNAMICS TO AID
IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FOR LATER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD SLOWLY TOWARD AND
THEN INTO THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...RESULTING
IN A SOMEWHAT LESS UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN LOCALLY...ALBEIT
WITH UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES STILL ACROSS THE FA.
&&
.DISCUSSION...HAVE HAD A FAIRLY BUSY OVERNIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STILL AFFECTING THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
AND EARLIER ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HAD SOME
FLOODING PROBLEMS EARLIER...SPECIFICALLY IN PATILLAS AND RIO MARIN
AND ALTHOUGH WE HAD A BRIEF BREAK IN ACTIVITY...AN ONGOING AND
EXPANDING NEW ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY MAKE THE NEXT FEW HOURS RATHER ACTIVE AND POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS ACROSS SOME OF THESE AREAS.
ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DO INDICATE SOME DRYING AT LEAST CLIPPING THE
EASTERN PART OF THE FA THIS AFTERNOON...FEEL THIS WILL BE LIMITED
AND THAT A FAIRLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS AND AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS...TO PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...BUT ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR...NORTH AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DURING
THE AFTERNOONS...IN A MAINLY SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. STILL
EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT LEAST SOME URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING IN A FEW LOCATIONS...WITH LOCALIZED FLASH AND
RIVER FLOODING AGAIN POSSIBLE.
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND AIR MASS IS FORECAST
TO BECOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AND MORE STABLE OVERALL...FEEL THAT THE
GENERAL PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER UNSETTLED...WITH AT LEAST
DIURNALLY AND NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH ONLY A FEW PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDS EXPECTED OVER TIST...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJPS IN PASSING
SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS. AFTERNOON SHWR ACTIVITY AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF PR FROM
17/17-21Z. MDCRS SOUNDING AT 17/08Z INDICATED MAINLY SLY WINDS AT
10 TO 20 KTS JUST ABOVE THE SFC TO 15 KFT.
&&
.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED HAZARDOUS
WEATHER ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 75 88 76 / 40 20 30 30
STT 84 75 86 77 / 50 30 30 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
543 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN LOCATED TO
THE WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY...MAINTAINING GENERALLY FAVORABLE DYNAMICS TO AID
IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FOR LATER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD SLOWLY TOWARD AND
THEN INTO THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...RESULTING
IN A SOMEWHAT LESS UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN LOCALLY...ALBEIT
WITH UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES STILL ACROSS THE FA.
&&
.DISCUSSION...HAVE HAD A FAIRLY BUSY OVERNIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STILL AFFECTING THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
AND EARLIER ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HAD SOME
FLOODING PROBLEMS EARLIER...SPECIFICALLY IN PATILLAS AND RIO MARIN
AND ALTHOUGH WE HAD A BRIEF BREAK IN ACTIVITY...AN ONGOING AND
EXPANDING NEW ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY MAKE THE NEXT FEW HOURS RATHER ACTIVE AND POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS ACROSS SOME OF THESE AREAS.
ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DO INDICATE SOME DRYING AT LEAST CLIPPING THE
EASTERN PART OF THE FA THIS AFTERNOON...FEEL THIS WILL BE LIMITED
AND THAT A FAIRLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS AND AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS...TO PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...BUT ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR...NORTH AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DURING
THE AFTERNOONS...IN A MAINLY SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. STILL
EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT LEAST SOME URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING IN A FEW LOCATIONS...WITH LOCALIZED FLASH AND
RIVER FLOODING AGAIN POSSIBLE.
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND AIR MASS IS FORECAST
TO BECOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AND MORE STABLE OVERALL...FEEL THAT THE
GENERAL PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER UNSETTLED...WITH AT LEAST
DIURNALLY AND NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION EACH DAY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH ONLY A FEW PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDS EXPECTED OVER TIST...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJPS IN PASSING
SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS. AFTERNOON SHWR ACTIVITY AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF PR FROM
17/17-21Z. MDCRS SOUNDING AT 17/08Z INDICATED MAINLY SLY WINDS AT
10 TO 20 KTS JUST ABOVE THE SFC TO 15 KFT.
&&
.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED HAZARDOUS
WEATHER ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 75 88 76 / 40 20 30 30
STT 84 75 86 77 / 50 30 30 50
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC147-171430-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0013.110517T1127Z-110517T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
727 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY
IN PUERTO RICO
VIEQUES
* UNTIL 1030 AM AST
* AT 722 AM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS VIEQUES...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND. RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED
ROADWAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1814 6559 1816 6529 1811 6528 1805 6556
$$
MARTINEZ
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRC147-171430-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0013.110517T1127Z-110517T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
727 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY
IN PUERTO RICO
VIEQUES
* UNTIL 1030 AM AST
* AT 722 AM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS VIEQUES...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND. RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED
ROADWAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1814 6559 1816 6529 1811 6528 1805 6556
$$
MARTINEZ
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143863
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
751 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
PRC009-015-025-035-041-043-057-123-133-171345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0103.110517T1151Z-110517T1345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-CIDRA PR-COAMO PR-CAYEY PR-AIBONITO PR-ARROYO PR-
GUAYAMA PR-SALINAS PR-SANTA ISABEL PR-
751 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...CIDRA...COAMO...CAYEY...AIBONITO...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...
SALINAS AND SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 945 AM AST
* AT 747 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 9:45 AM AST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL STILL EXPECTED DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1797 6645 1817 6622 1819 6601 1814 6602
1805 6610 1804 6606 1797 6602 1793 6620
$$
MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
751 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
PRC009-015-025-035-041-043-057-123-133-171345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0103.110517T1151Z-110517T1345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-CIDRA PR-COAMO PR-CAYEY PR-AIBONITO PR-ARROYO PR-
GUAYAMA PR-SALINAS PR-SANTA ISABEL PR-
751 AM AST TUE MAY 17 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...CIDRA...COAMO...CAYEY...AIBONITO...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...
SALINAS AND SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 945 AM AST
* AT 747 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST
THOUGH 9:45 AM AST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL STILL EXPECTED DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1797 6645 1817 6622 1819 6601 1814 6602
1805 6610 1804 6606 1797 6602 1793 6620
$$
MARTINEZ
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