Severe weather May 19-21? Plains/Miss Valley

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CrazyC83
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Severe weather May 19-21? Plains/Miss Valley

#1 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 1:54 pm

I was thinking bust, but the SPC seems to think differently. High-number watch out (awaiting probs/PDS? Something like 80/40 at least):

SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 309
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF KANSAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILL
CITY KANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 307...WW 308...

DISCUSSION...AIR MASS HAS WARMED SUFFICIENTLY SOUTH OF WARM
FRONT...NEAR A ICT-RSL LINE...AND EAST OF A DRYLINE IN WRN KS FOR
STORMS TO INITIATE. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD NWD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS DUE TO THE STRONG SLY FLOW ALOFT. THE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR AND STRONG INSTABILITY ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS...
WITH THE LARGER HAIL NEAR OR BIGGER THAN BASEBALL SIZE. ALSO...THE
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
TORNADOES...ONE OR TWO WHICH COULD BE STRONG. THE TORNADOES ARE MOST
LIKELY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT WHERE ELY BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS WILL RESULT IN ENHANCED SHEAR.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.


...IMY
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Thu May 19, 2011 2:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 1:56 pm

From earlier (50/30):

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 308
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALVA
OKLAHOMA TO 100 MILES SOUTH OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 307...

DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR THE DRYLINE AND
LIKELY WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN UNCAPPED
AND WARMING AIR MASS. THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE
WITH MLCAPES NEAR 3000 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...THOUGH THE
RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
LEVEL WINDS NEAR AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE ARE EXPECTED TO BACK AND
INCREASE IN SPEED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21020.


...IMY
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 1:58 pm

On Watch 309, the probs are 80/50. Almost worthy of PDS. Seems a bit generous to me, given the moisture return issue.

Moderate Risk at 2000Z?
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#4 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 2:29 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0813
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN/E-CNTRL CO...SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 191924Z - 192030Z

THE POTENTIAL MAY EXIST FOR A FEW STORMS PRODUCING HAIL /SOME
POSSIBLY APPROACHING SVR LIMITS/ ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN/E-CNTRL CO
AND INTO FAR SWRN KS. DUE TO THE EXPECTED MARGINAL NATURE OF THE
THREAT...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

RECENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT A FEW SMALL/LOW-TOPPED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF SERN CO. THESE
STORMS HAVE LIKELY FORMED IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING MIDLEVEL ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE-SCALE WRN CONUS UPPER TROUGH. A RESERVOIR OF
RELATIVELY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR IS BEING MAINTAINED AS SFC
PRESSURE FALLS HAVE OCCURRED IN THE LEE OF THE FRONT RANGE...EWD
ACROSS E-CNTRL CO AND BACK INTO SWRN KS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE
SOMEWHAT COOL FARTHER W /50-60S/...MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7 DEG
C/KM WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO YIELD MLCAPE VALUES BETWEEN 250-500
J/KG...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS. FARTHER E ACROSS SWRN KS...THE THREAT REMAINS MORE
CONDITIONAL AS CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO INITIATE...BUT IF STORMS
DEVELOP THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND PERHAPS GUSTY DOWNBURST
WINDS /OWING TO A WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER AND GREATER DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS/ MAY EXIST.

..ROGERS.. 05/19/2011


ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 38030226 37930331 37770454 38020518 38870511 39200460
39400385 39420256 39370156 38280074 37100071 37030106
37130166 37730193 38030226
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 3:03 pm

Update: Upgraded to Moderate Risk.
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Re: Severe weather May 19-21? Plains/Miss Valley

#6 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 3:09 pm

SPC AC 192000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AND A
PORTION OF NORTHWEST AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...


...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA
FROM WEST TX TO SRN NEB...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST
FROM SERN NY AND ERN PA AND NJ TO DELMARVA...

...OK/KS...
INTENSE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE IN WRN OK OVER THE
PAST TWO HOURS...AND HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS
ACROSS CENTRAL KS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN
HAIL AND TORNADO PROBABILITIES ACROSS THESE AREAS...AND THE
INTRODUCTION OF A MDT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.


SUPERCELLS IN OK WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AS
WELL AS SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL AS THEY TRACK NNEWD ACROSS WRN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A MORE
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING NEAR TRIPLE-POINT LOW
INVOF WRN AND CNTRL KS. STORM INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT ALONG THE
WARM FRONT TO THE WEST OF ICT TO HLC. AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION
CONTINUES ACROSS THIS AREA AND SHOULD FUEL INTENSE STORM UPDRAFTS.
LOCALLY BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW TOPPED BY CLASSIC DIFFLUENT EXIT
REGION OF MID/UPPER JET WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS GIVEN EFFECTIVE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 40-60KT. IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE
HAIL...EFFECTIVE SRH ON THE ORDER OF 200 M2/S2 ALONG THE WARM FRONT
SHOULD ALSO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE TO A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES
. GIVEN THE SUPPORTIVE INGREDIENTS IN PLACE...BUT STILL
SOME QUESTIONS ABOUT STORM EVOLUTION/COVERAGE
...SUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR AN UPGRADE TO MDT RISK WITH THIS OUTLOOK.

..CARBIN.. 05/19/2011
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#7 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 19, 2011 3:15 pm

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 192012
KSZ000-OKZ000-200200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS
OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...TEXAS TO
NEBRASKA...AND WELL AS OVER PART OF THE NORTHEAST U.S.

RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS NEAR AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN CENTRAL KANSAS. ADDITIONAL
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IN KANSAS INTO
WESTERN OKLAHOMA. A WARM FRONT ALSO EXTENDS EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM THE
SURFACE LOW IN KANSAS AND WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT

WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE RISK AREA WILL LIKELY
CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERAL TO NUMEROUS ROTATING STORMS
THROUGH THE EVENING. IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF 1
INCH IN DIAMETER...STORMS NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE LOW WILL
HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE LOW LEVEL UPDRAFT
ROTATION...WHICH COULD SUPPORT STRONG TORNADOES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING WITH ONE OR MORE STORM CLUSTERS PERHAPS
GROWING UPSCALE AND SPREADING EAST OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY DECREASE WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNSET.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
TODAY.

..CARBIN.. 05/19/2011

$$
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Re: Severe weather May 19-21? Plains/Miss Valley

#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2011 3:50 pm

Image
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#9 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:08 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0814
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0344 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN OK...SRN/CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 308...309...

VALID 192044Z - 192145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 308...309...CONTINUES.

...WW 308...NW TX AND WRN OK...
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REGENERATE ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY DRYLINE
/CURRENTLY POSITIONED 60 NNW ABI TO 40 NNE GAG/...WITH SEVERAL OF
THE STORMS EXHIBITING SIGNIFICANT MIDLEVEL ROTATION AND MULTIPLE
REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL RECEIVED. NUMEROUS STORM INTERACTIONS HAVE
ALSO OCCURRED...OWING PRIMARILY TO A SIGNIFICANT ALONG-BOUNDARY
COMPONENT TO THE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTOR...AND ALSO SEVERAL LEFT
SPLITTING STORMS QUICKLY ADVANCING NWD. THIS HAS AFFECTED THE
MAINTENANCE/EVOLUTION OF INDIVIDUAL STORMS...BUT CONTINUED MOIST
SSELY INFLOW CONTINUES TO ALLOW GENERATION OF NEW STORMS ALONG THE
DRYLINE. TCU FIELD HAS BECOME MORE AGITATED ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF
THE WW AREA IN NW TX IN MORE RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES...WITH
AN UNPERTURBED ENVIRONMENT REMAINING FAVORABLE FOR NEW CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.

VWP DATA INDICATE SHEARED VERTICAL WIND PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL STORM/OUTFLOW INTERACTIONS. THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT
WILL LIKELY EXIST WITH ANY RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS THAT CAN MAINTAIN
INTENSITY E OF THE DRYLINE. THE INSTABILITY AXIS REMAINS RELATIVELY
NARROW AS WELL...WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING OFF INTO THE UPPER 70S
ACROSS CNTRL OK AND ANY ADDITIONAL WARMING SOMEWHAT INHIBITED BY
ANVIL CIRRUS SPREADING EWD. THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DMGG DOWNBURST WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE.

...WW 309...SRN/CNTRL KS...
DEEP CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP THUS FAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE
WATCH AREA...WITH MOST TCU FORMING NEAR AND TO THE S OF A NWD
ADVANCING WARM FRONT. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE A
NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS REMAINS POSITIONED ACROSS S-CNTRL KS...WITH
LITTLE TO NO CINH. THE ENVIRONMENT STILL REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS /GIVEN EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES AROUND 50 KTS/...AND WITH
ADDITIONAL HEATING...AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS
ANTICIPATED. THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT IS STILL FORECAST TO EXIST
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT /WHERE 0-1 KM SRH IS MAXIMIZED/.
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER NWRN OK ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL SOON
ENTER S-CNTRL KS AS WELL.

..ROGERS.. 05/19/2011


ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...SJT...GLD...
LUB...
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#10 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:15 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
414 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN OSBORNE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 411 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LURAY...OR 51 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BELOIT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL OSBORNE COUNTY.
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#11 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:15 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
413 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 409 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF RUSSELL...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LURAY...PARADISE AND WALDO.
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#12 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:28 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
425 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 426 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR COOPERTON...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE COOPERTON AND NORTHWESTERN WICHITA
MOUNTAINS WILDLIFE REFUGE.
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#13 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:46 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
445 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 441 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUNKER HILL...OR 11 MILES EAST OF
RUSSELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LUCAS...SYLVAN GROVE...WILSON LAKE AND ASH GROVE.
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#14 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 4:59 pm

RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-
456 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 451 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES
NORTH OF DORRANCE.
THIS TORNADO IS NOW LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF
DORRANCE...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LUCAS...SYLVAN GROVE AND ASH GROVE.
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#15 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:13 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
511 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 509 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
SYLVAN GROVE...OR 16 MILES WEST OF LINCOLN. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...SYLVAN GROVE...BARNARD...BEVERLY AND ASH GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW.
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#16 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:32 pm

Lve chase video from Jeffery Gonzales

http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/pl ... es&uid=270
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#17 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:38 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
435 PM MDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

* UNTIL 515 PM MDT

* AT 430 PM MDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR COLORADO
SPRINGS. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO SPRINGS...SCHRIEVER AFB...FALCON AND PEYTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
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#18 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:38 pm

CADDO OK-
534 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CADDO COUNTY...

AT 532 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BOONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION HAS
WEAKENED A BIT OVER SOUTHWEST CADDO COUNTY...THE STORM MAY INTENSIFY
AGAIN AND THE TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE APACHE...BOONE AND EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN LAKE ELLSWORTH.
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#19 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:39 pm

RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-
535 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LINCOLN AND NORTHEASTERN
RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 532 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SYLVAN GROVE...OR 10 MILES WEST OF
LINCOLN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...BARNARD...BEVERLY AND ASH GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
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Dave
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#20 Postby Dave » Thu May 19, 2011 5:44 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
542 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 536 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SYLVAN GROVE...OR 8 MILES WEST OF LINCOLN. DOPPLER
RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS REPLACES
TORNADO WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...BARNARD AND BEVERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
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