Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

Hail fell again in Puerto Rico today,after it did so last Saturday.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 69733.html

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
427 PM AST WED MAY 18 2011

PRC001-023-079-081-083-093-097-121-125-153-182330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0111.110518T2027Z-110518T2330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADJUNTAS PR-MARICAO PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-SAN GERMAN PR-YAUCO PR-
LAS MARIAS PR-LARES PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-LAJAS PR-
427 PM AST WED MAY 18 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ADJUNTAS...MARICAO...SABANA GRANDE...SAN GERMAN...YAUCO...LAS
MARIAS...LARES...CABO ROJO...MAYAGUEZ AND LAJAS

* UNTIL 730 PM AST

* AT 425 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE STORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY
OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS WELL AS FLOODING ALONG
ROADWAYS...AT LEAST THOUGH 7:30 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1819 6705 1822 6680 1806 6685 1800 6717

$$

JJA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Hi! High surf has been affecting Central America since yesterday. This is what the latest Pacific TWD says:

LARGE VERY LONG PERIOD CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELLS CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE THROUGH THE AREA WATERS AND BEYOND...HAVING BEGUN TO
REACH 35N THIS AFTERNOON PER COASTAL BUOY DATA...AND WILL PEAK
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA AND MEXICO TONIGHT TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE AND POWERFUL
SURF WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE
COASTLINES...WITH OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS PEAKING AT 10 TO 11
FT...BEFORE THE SW SWELL SUBSIDES STEADILY THU THROUGH FRI.

The SNET in El Salvador said this afternoon that the waves will peak tomorrow at 2.6 m (8.5 ft) with a speed of 50 km/h (31 mph), the average waves in El Salvador are 1.2 m (3.9 ft) high and have a speed of 35 km/h (22 mph).

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1003 PM AST WED MAY 18 2011

.UPDATE...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH BASE OF TROUGH EXTENDING
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AND SLOWLY LIFT
FURTHER NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS WEAKLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN
THROUGH FRIDAY. SURFACE TROUGH/EASTERLY PERTURBATION NOW CROSSING
THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY. EXPECT THIS FEATURE TO BRING ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
TO THE REGION ALONG ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY AND TRAILING EDGE
BEGINNING LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROXIMITY OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL HELP ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED
TROUGH AS IS MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
ALSO SUGGEST THAT OVERALL PWAT VALUES WHICH WERE AROUND 1.75
INCHES TODAY...SHOULD INCREASE ONCE AGAIN TO NEAR 2.0 INCHES BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS ADDITIONAL MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVELS...AND LOCAL AND DIURNAL
EFFECTS...WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION IN ISOLATED
AREAS... ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEST INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO...WHERE FORCING AND LIFT WILL BE GREATEST. ONLY MINOR CHANGES
MADE TO INHERITED FORECAST WHICH HAD A FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE ON THE
EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN ADDITION...
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN ISOLATED AREAS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOONS ON THURSDAY AND ALSO ON FRIDAY. NO
OTHER CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST
OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 19/16Z. AFTER
19/16Z SHRA AND TSRA ARE FORECAST TO START DEVELOPING. VCTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL TAF SITES AFTER 19/18Z...PARTICULARLY
AFFECTING TJMZ AND TJBQ. AS A RESULT...MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES...AS WELL AS MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS.
WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FROM THE SFC-15K FT.

[Macrocane]

The maximum temperatures were well above normal in Belize and northern Guatemala, the rest of the region experienced near normal or cooler than normal highs. The minimum temps were near normal in all the region.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.3°C (70.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.6°C (51.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 27°C (81°F) Warmest for 2011
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.3°C (52.3°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.4°C (74.1°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66.2°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.4°C (61.5°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.3°C (72.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.4°C (72.3°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 35°C (95°F) Warmest for 2011.
Mountain Pine Ridge 34.6°C (94.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 27°C (81°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.7°C (71.1°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 38°C (100°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 29.0°C (84.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 23.2°C (73.8°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.3°C (95.5°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 28°C (82°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.4°C (84.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 31.9°C (89.4°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning. It looks like another round of rain for Puerto Rico and adyacent islands as a new surface trough moves thru.

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
545 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC025-063-069-077-085-103-129-151-191145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0112.110519T0945Z-110519T1145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-JUNCOS PR-GURABO PR-SAN LORENZO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-
NAGUABO PR-HUMACAO PR-YABUCOA PR-
545 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...JUNCOS...GURABO...SAN LORENZO...LAS PIEDRAS...
NAGUABO...HUMACAO AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 745 AM AST

* AT 542 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING SOME OF
THESE MUNICIPALITIES AND POISED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE ADVISORY
AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES AND U.S.G.S. GAGES INDICATE THAT ONE TO ONE
AND ONE-HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE
ADVISORY AREA AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF AT
LEAST ONE INCH IS EXPECTED THROUGH 745 AM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS...ROADSIDE CULVERTS AND URBAN AREAS AS
WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. THE HEAVY
RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1810 6590 1816 6604 1826 6597 1819 6572
1807 6578

$$

BCS

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
547 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS...THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CARIBBEAN WILL
DISSIPATE THROUGH TODAY GIVING THE WAY TO A NEAR ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN/TROPICAL ATLANTIC. AS A RESULT...THE
SUBTROPICAL JET MEANDERS JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...FAVORING AN
UPPER CONVERGENT PATTERN ALOFT. A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
NORTH ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EASTERLY
TRADES ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES TO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH
AT LEAST SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELITTE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE AXIS OF THE SURFACE TROUGH IS NOW CROSSING THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
PERTURBATION HAVE BEEN AFFECTING PARTS OF THE ISLANDS SINCE EARLY
THIS MORNING. SHOWERS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY INTENSITY WERE
OBSERVED ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A FEW PASSING SHOWERS WERE ALSO NOTED
ACROSS THE USVI...ESPECIALLY ST CROIX. AREAS OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR...
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF PR RECEIVED BETWEEN A HALF-INCH TO AN INCH
OF RAIN SO FAR THIS MORNING.

SATELLITE DERIVED TPW IMAGERY INDICATES A MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS JUST UPSTREAM OF THE ISLANDS WITH VALUES AROUND 2.1 INCHES
BETWEEN PR AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS. ALL OF THIS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY ADD UP TO WET WEATHER FOR THE ISLANDS WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINS...THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY. BOTH MODELS...GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE THAT THIS AREA OF DEEP
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD...MOVING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE A
LITTLE ON SUNDAY AS A SUBEQUATORIAL MID LEVEL RIDGE REESTABLISHES
JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO A RAPID EROSION OF
MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION AS THE SUBSIDENCE CAP ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN STRENGTHENS.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW
LOCATIONS...INCLUDING TJSJ AND TJPS THROUGH ABOUT 19/12Z...IN
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.
BY 19/14Z OR 15Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH ABOUT 19/22Z OR 23Z...
EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
AFFECT THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR...NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL OVER PARTS OF THE SAN JUAN
METRO AREA...RESULTING IN MVFR OR EVEN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS...AND POTENTIALLY AFFECTING TJBQ...TJSJ AND
POSSIBLY TJMZ.


&&

.MARINE...SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS DUE TO THE LOCALLY FRESH
TRADES AND SEAS UP TO 6 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE
SURFACE TROUGH THAT IS NOW CROSSING THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA TODAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY
OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 74 86 75 / 30 40 40 30
STT 84 76 84 76 / 50 50 50 40

[cycloneye]

Three flood advisories.

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1137 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

VIC010-191610-
/O.EXP.TJSJ.FA.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-110519T1545Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
1137 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 AM AST FOR SAINT CROIX
ISLAND...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ABATED OVER SAINT CROIX AND HEAVY
RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER TWO HOURS...THEREFORE THE
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

&&

LAT...LON 1769 6462 1766 6465 1764 6479 1768 6483
1778 6487 1781 6471 1780 6457 1772 6453

$$

SNELL

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1108 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC029-031-037-049-053-063-077-085-089-103-119-139-191800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0115.110519T1508Z-110519T1800Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JUNCOS PR-GURABO PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-LUQUILLO PR-
NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-CULEBRA PR-CAROLINA PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-
1108 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...GURABO...TRUJILLO ALTO...LAS PIEDRAS...LUQUILLO...
NAGUABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...CULEBRA...CAROLINA AND
RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 200 PM AST

* AT 1107 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1825 6535 1834 6550 1829 6557 1819 6555
1814 6570 1828 6605 1848 6583 1841 6570
1841 6551 1834 6550 1838 6539 1832 6514

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1105 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC015-025-035-041-057-069-095-109-129-151-191800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0114.110519T1505Z-110519T1800Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-CIDRA PR-CAYEY PR-SAN LORENZO PR-ARROYO PR-PATILLAS PR-
MAUNABO PR-GUAYAMA PR-HUMACAO PR-YABUCOA PR-
1105 AM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...CIDRA...CAYEY...SAN LORENZO...ARROYO...PATILLAS...
MAUNABO...GUAYAMA...HUMACAO AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 200 PM AST

* AT 1105 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY
AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1809 6619 1824 6602 1817 6592 1812 6592
1812 6586 1806 6578 1824 6558 1791 6595
1791 6603

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

For those in the Caribbean and Central America that may not have the link to NOAA,here is the forecast by them for the 2011 hurricane season. They are forecasting an active Atlantic season,that means,we have to prepare for the worse,but hope for the best and we escape landfalls.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/o ... cane.shtml

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
128 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC023-067-079-097-125-191930-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0117.110519T1728Z-110519T1930Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-SAN GERMAN PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-LAJAS PR-
128 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
HORMIGUEROS...SAN GERMAN...CABO ROJO...MAYAGUEZ AND LAJAS

* UNTIL 330 PM AST

* AT 125 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. THE RAIN WAS MOST CONCENTRATED BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF
CABO ROJO AND HORMIGUEROS.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1802 6722 1820 6719 1817 6703 1805 6702

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC053-192045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0018.110519T1742Z-110519T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
142 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY

IN PUERTO RICO
FAJARDO

* UNTIL 445 PM AST

* AT 134 PM AST...THE RIVER GAGE ON THE FAJARDO RIVER INDICATED A
RIVER LEVEL OF 9.85 FEET. ALTHOUGH IT IS FALLING FOR THE
MOMENT...THIS WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF THE
INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 3 AND HIGHWAY 53.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6571 1834 6562 1830 6563 1827 6567
1826 6572

$$

SNELL

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
203 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC029-031-037-049-053-063-069-077-085-089-103-119-139-191900-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0118.110519T1803Z-110519T1900Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JUNCOS PR-GURABO PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-LUQUILLO PR-
NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-CULEBRA PR-CAROLINA PR-
HUMACAO PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
203 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...GURABO...TRUJILLO ALTO...LAS PIEDRAS...LUQUILLO...
NAGUABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...CULEBRA...CAROLINA...
HUMACAO AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 300 PM AST

* ALTHOUGH ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING IN THE ADVISORY
AREA...WITH LESS THAN ONE ADDITIONAL INCH EXPECTED...SOME SMALL
STREAMS ARE RUNNING BANKFULL OR HIGHER DUE TO RUNOFF OUT OF THE
STEEP TERRAIN WHERE EVEN HEAVIER RAIN FELL EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AST.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1825 6534 1834 6550 1829 6557 1821 6554
1814 6567 1829 6604 1849 6583 1841 6572
1841 6553 1834 6550 1838 6534 1831 6518

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
251 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC
WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS AT LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SURFACE TROUGH NOW
CROSSING THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE LOCAL
WATERS TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS ASSOCIATED TO THE LOW LEVEL DISTURBANCE...
NOW LOCATED OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...CONTINUED TO MOVE ON SHORE
AND AFFECT THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA. THE COMBINATION OF SEA BREEZE AND DIURNAL HEATING ALSO
DEVELOPED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO

ON FRIDAY...ONCE AGAIN THE DIURNAL HEATING WILL BE THE IGNITING
FACTOR. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. IT WILL
RAIN OVER SATURATED SOILS THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL FOR URBAN AND
SMALL RIVER FLOODING REMAIN HIGH.

THIS WEEKEND MOST ACTIVE WEATHER WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE INTERIOR
AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...BUT GENERAL TENDENCY IS FOR
ACTIVITY TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE SPARSE ACROSS THE
ISLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. IFR CONDITIONS OR LESS WILL BE SEEN IN INTERIOR PUERTO
RICO THROUGH AT LEAST 19/22Z ASSOCIATED WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT COASTAL TAF SITES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY VFR.
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH 20/08Z AS MORE
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT.


&&

.MARINE...FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE OF
HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL... GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 74 86 75 86 / 40 40 30 30
STT 76 84 76 85 / 50 50 40 40

[cycloneye]

The flood advisories keep popping up.

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
354 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC001-013-017-019-039-047-054-065-073-091-101-107-141-143-145-
192145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0120.110519T1954Z-110519T2145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-BARRANQUITAS PR-JAYUYA PR-ADJUNTAS
PR-OROCOVIS PR-MOROVIS PR-UTUADO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-BARCELONETA
PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-ARECIBO PR-
354 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...COROZAL...FLORIDA...BARRANQUITAS...JAYUYA...ADJUNTAS...
OROCOVIS...MOROVIS...UTUADO...VEGA ALTA...BARCELONETA...
HATILLO...MANATI...VEGA BAJA AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 545 PM AST

* AT 351 PM AST...ALTHOUGH ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...SOME SMALL STREAMS ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO
RUNOFF OUT OF THE STEEP TERRAIN WHERE EVEN HEAVIER RAIN FELL EARLIER
THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO MUDSLIDES HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS UTUADO.
THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 545 PM AST

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6683 1839 6650 1836 6630 1818 6634
1819 6681

$$

CASTRO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC023-067-079-097-125-192330-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-110519T2330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-SAN GERMAN PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-LAJAS PR-
522 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
HORMIGUEROS...SAN GERMAN...CABO ROJO...MAYAGUEZ AND LAJAS

* UNTIL 730 PM AST

ALTHOUGH ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING IN THE ADVISORY
AREA...SOME SMALL STREAMS ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO RUNOFF OUT OF THE
STEEP TERRAIN WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED THE URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 730 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1802 6722 1820 6719 1817 6703 1805 6702

$$

CASTRO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
730 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC003-005-011-023-067-079-083-093-097-099-117-125-131-200130-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0121.110519T2330Z-110520T0130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-MARICAO PR-MOCA PR-SAN GERMAN PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-
AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LAS MARIAS PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
RINCON PR-LAJAS PR-ANASCO PR-
730 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED AND EXPANDED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
HORMIGUEROS...MARICAO...MOCA...SAN GERMAN...SAN SEBASTIAN...
AGUADILLA...AGUADA...LAS MARIAS...CABO ROJO...MAYAGUEZ...
RINCON...LAJAS AND ANASCO

* UNTIL 930 PM AST

MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING IN THE ADVISORY AREA ANS SOME SMALL STREAMS
ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO RUNOFF OUT OF THE STEEP TERRAIN WHERE HEAVY
RAIN FELL EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE HAS EXTENDED AND EXPANDED THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORY UNTIL 930 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1844 6719 1836 6704 1819 6694 1805 6702
1802 6722

$$

CASTRO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
917 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

PRC003-005-011-023-067-071-079-083-093-097-099-117-125-131-200615-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0122.110520T0117Z-110520T0615Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ISABELA PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-MARICAO PR-MOCA PR-SAN GERMAN PR-
SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LAS MARIAS PR-CABO ROJO PR-
MAYAGUEZ PR-RINCON PR-LAJAS PR-ANASCO PR-
917 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ISABELA...HORMIGUEROS...MARICAO...MOCA...SAN GERMAN...SAN
SEBASTIAN...AGUADILLA...AGUADA...LAS MARIAS...CABO ROJO...
MAYAGUEZ...RINCON...LAJAS AND ANASCO

* UNTIL 215 AM AST

MODERATE RAIN IS FALLING IN THE ADVISORY AREA AND SOME SMALL STREAMS
ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO RUNOFF OUT OF THE STEEP TERRAIN WHERE HEAVY
RAIN FELL EARLIER. THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS
EXTENDED AND EXPANDED THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
UNTIL 215 AM AST FRIDAY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1854 6719 1855 6696 1819 6694 1805 6702
1802 6722

$$

CASTRO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

Yikes!! More rain for the next few days on top of all that has fallen since last Saturday?

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
922 PM AST THU MAY 19 2011

.UPDATE...WEAK RIDGING IN THE UPPER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN AS UPPER TROUGH LIFTS SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH NORTHWEST
OF THE REGION. HOWEVER THE MID LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARDS
INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL LINGER ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE
AND JUST WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA WELL INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED WEST SOUTHWEST MID TO UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUED TO SUGGEST ADDITIONAL
SHORT WAVE PERTURBATIONS TO MOVE AROUND THE BASE OF THROUGH AND
EVENTUALLY CROSS JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND AN EASTERLY PERTURBATION WITH AXIS JUST SOUTH OF
PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING...WILL CONTINUE TO INJECT COPIOUS AMOUNTS
OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS
AS IT SLOWLY MOVED WEST NORTHWEST. THIS OVERALL PATTERN COMBINED
WITH THE LOCAL AND DIURNAL INFLUENCES ACROSS THE ISLANDS WILL
MAINTAIN A WET AND UNSTABLE WEATHER PATTERN WELL INTO THE WEEKEND.

ALTHOUGH OCCASIONAL BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE
DAYTIME...EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS MOST OF THE ISLANDS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
ON FRIDAY. DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...INTERVALS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MINOR CHANGES MADE
TO THE INHERITED SHORT TERM FORECAST AS THE REST OF THE LONG TERM
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD OR NOW. FORESEE NO REAL BREAK IN THE OVERALL
WET WEATHER PATTERN UNTIL MONDAY OR TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK WHEN
MODELS SUGGEST A SHIFT IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW...AS THEY BECOME
MORE EAST NORTHEAST AND SOME DRIER AIR FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH.
THIS IS STILL A WAY OUT SO WILL SEE HOW THIS UNFOLDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

MOST RIVERS AND STREAMS IN PUERTO RICO REMAIN AT HIGH LEVEL AND
SOIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLANDS REMAIN FAIRLY SATURATED...THEREFORE
ANY ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO QUICK RIVER
RISES. THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN WILL
ALSO REMAIN HIGH ACROSS MOST OF THE ISLANDS. THEREFORE RESIDENTS
AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS AND
MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM TIME TO TIME ACROSS
TKPK...TNCM...TJMZ...AND TJBQ THROUGH AT LEAST 20/10Z IN -SHRA/SHRA.
BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER TISX IN
-SHRA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH AT LEAST
20/12Z. WINDS WILL CONTINUE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT FROM THE
SURFACE UP TO 10K FEET...BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AND STRONGER ABOVE.

[Macrocane]

Belize and northern Guatemala experienced today their hottest highs in at least one month, the rest of the region experienced near normal temperatures.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.6°C (72.7°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.2°C (48.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.8°C (67.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.0°C (51.8°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.5°C (74.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 13°C (55°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 21°C (70°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 21.3°C (70.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.9°C (73.2°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 33°C (91°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge 35.9°C (96.6°F) 2nd warmest for 2011.
Guatemala city, Guatemala 27°C (81°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 24.9°C (76.8°F).
Zacapa, Guatemala 40°C (104°F) Warmest since April 19
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 22.4°C (72.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.5°C (95.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 30°C (86°C)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.4°C (84.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 33.7°C (92.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.3°C (90.1°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning.We wake up today with a flash flood watch for most of Puerto Rico.That means another rainy day is instore for us.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
344 AM AST FRI MAY 20 2011

PRZ001>006-012-013-VIZ001-002-201945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.110520T0744Z-110521T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...
ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...
FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
344 AM AST FRI MAY 20 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...
CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...
NORTHEAST...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST AND VIEQUES. IN
VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS INTO THE
REGION TODAY WHILE MID UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE BAHAMAS SOUTH
INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RECENT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO HAVE LEFT SOILS IN THAT AREA
NEAR SATURATION AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL TURN INTO RUNOFF.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WHICH COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS AMOUNT
OF RAIN WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS AS
WELL AS URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------