East of the Islands

[chadtm80]

What does everyone think of the wave E. of the islands??

[DelStormLover]

looks rather disorganized.....

[chadtm80]

JB....

Pressures are falling nicely in the islands with the wave moving west northwest. They are down 2-3 mb since yesterday and a re-organization of the center is taking place near 15 north and 58 west. This is the system that could threaten the Carolinas for the Labor Day weekend.

[Stormsfury]

JB....

Pressures are falling nicely in the islands with the wave moving west northwest. They are down 2-3 mb since yesterday and a re-organization of the center is taking place near 15 north and 58 west. This is the system that could threaten the Carolinas for the Labor Day weekend.

I'm NOT changing my Labor Day Plans...anyways, in regards to JB, that's WAY WAY TOO early to make that kind of assessment.

SF

[Vortex]

The last few hours has shown more symetry and overall improvement in appearance. It appears a center may be trying to form around 14.6/58. Pressures have fallen dramatically this afternoon throughout the island chain. Those in the islands are sure going to get very squally weather tonight....Tonight should be interesting to follow its progress.

[chadtm80]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242052
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2003

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE...IS
PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...EASTERN
CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS. NO REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
HAS INCREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SHOWERS...
THUNDERSTORMS...AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES OVERNIGHT.

ANOTHER LARGE WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD
AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE...IS CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Vortex]

pressure falls are fairly dramatic through the region and latest imagery continues to indicate better organization. It appears convection is consolidating in the area near 14.5/58.0. If this trend continues I would not be surprised if we had a td within 12 hours. Its got everything going for it including significant drop in presures in the islands....One John Hope always alluded too when system were nearing the islands. Let's see how this plays out the next several hours but would not be shocked in the least if we had a TD come through the islands.

[zoeyann]

Almost looks more promising than our former TD-9. Do they have any models out on this one yet? I keep seeing something off of the LOuisiana coast later this week, but I can't read them that well and I am not sure if it is former TD-9 or the next one. If it develops slowly will that increase the chance of it being a GOMer? Thanks for any responses in advance.

[Stormsfury]

Zoeyann, since that isn't an invest yet, the only progs for it are the globals and so far, they not picking up on that area ... future runs will but since the area erupted fairly quickly the model runs that come out (usually 2-3 hours old by the time we see them), they may have not been initialized with the changes.

SF

[zoeyann]

Thanks. I am pretty new at looking for storm information on the internet and I appreiate the help from everyone on this board.

[chadtm80]

[tpr1967]

I believe center if there is any forming is on the se side of the convection.
surface obs: Barbados 2300 utc
TBPB 242300Z 02005KT 6000 +RA SCT012CB BKN030 26/26 Q1012 CB

also similar wind direction around surrounding islands in area.

not to good with paste and copying. hehe

[Stephanie]

zoeyann- Welcome to these boards!

You've come to the right place to get good information on hurricanes - or any storm for that matter! We have alot of great pro and amateur mets that frequent this board and all are very helpful!

[chadtm80]

[chadtm80]

[chadtm80]

Good Loop http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... m_ir4.html

[Lindaloo]

Aw man, another one?!!!