Florida Weather

[Florida1118]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
717 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

FLC095-290100-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FA.W.0001.110528T2317Z-110529T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE FL-
717 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 713 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE
FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL
MAY FALL OVER THE NEXT HOUR IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ORANGE COUNTY.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ZELLWOOD AND
PLYMOUTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING OF ROADS...STREETS AND INTERSECTIONS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME
WIDESPREAD IN THESE LOCATIONS. SOME HOMES AND BUSINESSES MAY BE
SUBJECT TO LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER CAN MAKE MOST VEHICLES BUOYANT. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN!

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING NOW OR IS IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 2878 8162 2878 8154 2867 8154 2866 8162

$$

SEDLOCK
------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
639 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

FLC069-095-290030-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FA.Y.0007.110528T2239Z-110529T0030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE-LAKE-
639 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY INCLUDING EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MOUNT DORA...
ZELLWOOD...LAKE APOPKA...TANGERINE...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT.

* AT 629 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
RAIN OF UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE UNTIL ABOUT 830 THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE TEMPORARY FLOODING OF
URBAN AREAS...SUCH AS HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND INTERSECTIONS AS WELL AS
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 2881 8151 2857 8151 2856 8166 2882 8165

$$

GUSEMAN

[gsytch]

I see Orlando area has been getting some rain, but here in coastal New Port Richey nada for 2 weeks, just baking sun, sea breezes and 90F afternoons. I have hardly even seen a cloud in a week! I hope this doesn't mean a dry rainy season or a dry June. Anything coming our way to break the cycle?

[gatorcane]

Dry weather continues for most of south fl. With a deepening low pressure system in the Caribbean, the easterly flow will deepen and strengthen even more....keeping the big-time thunderstorms and any significant rainfall in the interior and west coasts each afternoon this week.

By the end of the week, enough tropical moisture may be available from this low so that we finally get some rainfall but then another high pressure system builds in by next weekend suppressing rain chances,

In my neighborhood, the grass is so burnt in some areas it will need to be re-sodded. Plus the lakes are the lowest I have ever seen them. The slow start to the rainy season this year is not helping matters. A slow moving tropical system may be the only hope this summer to really make up for the record-breaking lack of rainfall.

Though not a proponent of the Lushine dry May theory, it will certainly be tested this year....

[psyclone]

west coasters have the best chance of storms today as an increasingly busy easterly flow should pin the seabreeze near the coast. convective initiation (which may be somewhat limited due to a lack of moisture) should be west of i-75 with storms headed westward thereafter. i hope we get some rain but the lack of morning showers on the east coast this morning is not too encouraging.

[JonathanBelles]

The Century Mark will be reached this week in Tallahassee for the first time this year. Grab those umbrellas and hats, and maybe a fan!!

[psyclone]

epic fail for seabreeze convection around here. just too dry. i took a swim in the gulf this afternoon. the water was wonderful...must be about 83 or 84 degrees. tomorrow looks like an outstanding beach day too with hot temps and very low rain chances. with things seasonably crunchy around here we do need the rain but i'm content for memorial day to be dry.

[JonathanBelles]

yea, I was expecting a lot more that that. I got two and a half drops here in St. Pete. WCSB didnt push in far enough.

[gatorcane]

Well we got some rain today from some showers that developed over the gulf stream..on the deep easterly wind flow. Winds picked up to gusts to 25mph or so and there were sheets of rain that lasted about 10 min. Looks like there was some nocturnal activity last night also. Starting to look very tropical out there.......

Though not expecting a lot of heavy rain the next few days...the best chances look to be at night here along the se coast of Florida, and anything helps.

Looking to the south, we see a monsoon-like feature developing in the western caribbean sea as the models progged. Should only be a matter of time for the easterly wind flow to really pick up and moisture to stream into south Florida (hopefully). Looking for this moisture to start making a presence by the thu. - fri. timeframe.

[Scorpion]

I'm not even gonna hold my breath. This dry pattern is ridiculous, maybe an inch total in my area for the entirety of april and may. It's even worse in south fl. Something has seriously got to give.

[vbhoutex]

I'm not even gonna hold my breath. This dry pattern is ridiculous, maybe an inch total in my area for the entirety of april and may. It's even worse in south fl. Something has seriously got to give.

Texas feels you, believe me!!

[AdamFirst]

Florida's going to need a Fay-like event to catch back up to normal levels. Maybe two Fays.

My lawn has always been crummy, but right now it's mainly dirt and sand.

[jinftl]

In the 15 years i have lived here, i have never seen not only such a dry May, but such a dry year so far.

In Fort Lauderdale, the average May rainfall is 6.04". Through today, we have seen 0.23", or less than 4% of normal!!!

Year to date (through 5/29), Fort Lauderdale has had less rain than Los Angeles and San Diego:

Fort Lauderdale: 4.08" (14.31" below normal)
San Diego: 4.48"
Los Angeles: 6.85"

It gets scarier...since October 1, 2010, Fort Lauderdale has seen 9.27" of rain. The normal for that period is 32.05".

Only a tropical system sitting on us will eat away at the almost 2 foot deficit since 10/1/10.....

[Scorpion]

I know its a joke right. What is causing this ridiculous drought? Looking at the Wunderground charts my area has gotten maybe 50% of normal precipitation in a year long stretch from June 1,2010 until now. Normal is around 50", have gotten 24" in that time period.

[Shoshana]

Well y'all don't want it all at once!!!!!

[Florida1118]

Tampa has been lucky with very minor drought problems this year...

[jinftl]

That's for sure....Mother Nature sometimes has a way of balancing things out and it can be a 'feast or famine' situation. It is tinder dry here though...very unusual for sure given the time of year...there were brush fires last week just south of the airport in Dania Beach off of US1....and that is not the everglades for those who know this area...literally a patch of a few trees is a fire risk now.

June is on average the wettest month here...Fort Lauderdale (airport) averages almost 10" of rain for the month (1/6th of our annual rainfall). If we get into a pattern of troughiness where the daily storms are being pushed in our direction (instead of blowing west into the everglades on the sea breeze), we can see on a localized level, several inches of rain in one day. I remember one June day in 2003 where my neighborhood had 12" of rain in one day....talk about too much of a good thing.

A slow moving tropical depression or tropical storm may not be the worst thing for florida this year though...

Well y'all don't want it all at once!!!!!

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

On the plus side - dewpoints HAVE been creeeeeeping up slowly but surely. 80% of the DP in the past 3 days have been >70f. Just a matter of time before it hits critical mass. Today there is a nice cap in place in SEFL, and strong easterly breeze, which is likely to disturb anything that thinks about developing.

Also theres a fair amount of popcorn type storms streaming out of the Bahamas. One of them soaked my locale this AM, expect brief moderate rain but no T-storms.

[gsytch]

Here in New Port Richey, April and May have been dry but not epic. A little shy of normal. 2 rains in April, a little over an inch. 2 rains in May (none since May12 I believe) 2 INCHES. March was a foot plus! 12.55" in my gauge during March. However, the odd thing is the amount of sunshine. Day after day of barely a cloud. Monday was "party sunny" and the scattered clouds were a relief. My yard, despite the rains, is getting toasty because its been 3 weeks and breezy heat. The moisture goes away quick in our Florida sand and heat. Now, on to the RAINY SEASON~!

[dizzyfish]

Here in New Port Richey

Howdy neighbor!

I know what you mean - getting rather crunchy isn't it? And there I was all happy cause we had been getting rain and then bam - nothing.

[psyclone]

hopefully 93L dumps on the fire areas like volusia county. it looks poised to do so.