Caribbean - Central America Weather

[BZSTORM]

Would have posted this sooner but been having problems with my DSL eithr not working, working so slow as to be useless or dropping in & out anyway. Belize City on Thursday night experienced a freak thundershower "squall" with 51mph winds which did some structural damage...BZ met dept got allot of flak for not forcasting severe thunderstorms with high winds that night. http://www.7newsbelize.com/sstory.php?nid=19843 . Probably due that todays forcast is as follows:

GENERAL SITUATION: RELATIVELY MOIST EASTERLY AIRFLOW
WILL PREVAIL.
--------------------------------------------------------
24HR FORECAST: MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A FEW CLOUDY SPELLS
TODAY AND PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT;SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP MAINLY ALONG COASTAL AREAS THIS
MORNING THEN INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BECOME VERY INTENSE AT TIMES.
--------------------------------------------------------
WINDS: EAST-NORTHEAST 5-15 KNOTS
--------------------------------------------------------
SEAS: LIGHT CHOP-CHOPPY;
--------------------------------------------------------
OUTLOOK: (MONDAY): AN INCREASE IN COASTAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
144 PM AST SAT JUN 11 2011

PRC013-017-039-054-065-091-141-111945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0218.110611T1744Z-110611T1945Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-UTUADO PR-BARCELONETA PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-
ARECIBO PR-
144 PM AST SAT JUN 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...FLORIDA...UTUADO...BARCELONETA...HATILLO...MANATI AND
ARECIBO

* UNTIL 345 PM AST

* AT 140 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY OVER FLORIDA AND
CIALES...WHERE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE AROUND 1 INCH
OF RAIN IN THE LAST HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1844 6673 1838 6645 1826 6652 1832 6681

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
221 PM AST SAT JUN 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WE DID HAVE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAN JUAN METRO AND CENTRAL-NORTHWEST
SECTION OF ISLAND WITH A FEW PRODUCE VERY HEAVY BUT SHORTLIVED
DOWNPOURS. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO LINGER
THROUGH SUNSET THEN DISSIPATE OR MOVE OFF SHORE.

EVEN THOUGH WE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE AN INCREASE IN MID TO UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE OR
NEAR 1.90"...SO WITH AFTERNOON HEATING EXPECT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM OVER DIURNALLY FAVORED AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 20Z ACROSS TJBA...OTHERWISE MOSTLY VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL OF THE LOCAL TAF SITES DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PR
TOMORROW AFTERNOON...INDUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS IN SHRA/TSRA MAINLY ACROSS TJBQ. SURFACE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 10 KTS.

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 91 78 91 / 20 20 20 20
STT 79 89 80 88 / 20 20 20 20

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1016 PM AST SAT JUN 11 2011

.UPDATE...LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...QUICKLY
DISSIPATED JUST AFTER SUNSET LEAVING CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
OVER MUCH OF THE THE LOCAL ISLANDS. HOWEVER BECAUSE OF THE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...THE U.S.G.S RIVER SENSOR ALONG
THE RIO CULEBRINAS INDICATED A RAPID RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. HOWEVER
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS IN THE NORTHWEST HAVE INDICATED THAT THE
RIVER WAS AT HIGH LEVELS BUT SO FAR NOT OUT OF ITS BANKS...WITH NO
FLOOD PROBLEMS AT THIS TIME. FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS...EXPECT A FEW TO ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS MAINLY OVER WATER
AND ACROSS THE EAST COASTAL SECTION OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS
ACROSS THE ADJACENT ISLANDS INCLUDING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.

NO CHANGES MADE TO THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE AT THIS TIME.ON
SUNDAY...A MIXTURE OF SUNSHINE AND CLOUDS ONCE AGAIN...WITH DIURNALLY
INDUCED AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND ISOLATED BUT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO.

BASED ON LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND PRESENT WEATHER PATTERN...EXPECT
A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE NOW NEAR 48 WEST THIS EVENING TO APPROACH THE
LESSER ANTILLES LATE MONDAY...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WITH THIS EXPECT AN INCREASE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE
AS WELL AS MORE ENHANCED CONVECTION AS THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO ERODE DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK...AS A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WEST ATLANTIC. MORE ON
THIS TO COME IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR HOW
THIS UNFOLDS.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL
TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 12/18Z. AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PR BETWEEN 12/18Z THROUGH AT
LEAST 12/23Z...INDUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS AND
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS IN SHRA/TSRA MAINLY ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ.
SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KTS OR LESS.

[Macrocane]

Today was a normal day in Belize and Guatemala, cooler than normal in Panama and warmer than normal in the rest of the region (it still feels more like early May than June).

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 27°C (81°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.4°C (70.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 11.7°C (53.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.2°C (68.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.3°C (55.9°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.8°C (74.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 21°C (70°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 18.2°C (64.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 24.1°C (75.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.6°C (76.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 16.5°C (61.7°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 29.7°C (85.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 22.5°C (72.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 37°C (99°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 31.9°C (89.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 22.1°C (71.8°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 37.0°C (98.6°F) Warmest since May 11
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 34°C (93°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 28°C (82°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.4°C (84.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 33.3°C (91.9°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Panama city, Panama 28.9°C (84.0°F)
Boquete, Panama 23.3°C (73.9°F)

[Macrocane]

The drier and warmer than normal conditions continue in the south/central part of El Salvador (including San Salvador), in contrast the northwestern part has experienced wetter than normal conditions, fortunately a decent rain has fallen tonight in San Salvador.

This is the rainfall observed yesterday in some locations:
Nueva Concepcion (northwestern El Salvador) 108.6 mm/4.28 inches
Santa Ana (western ES): 53.4 mm/2.10 inches
Perquin (northeastern ES): 31 mm/1.22 inches
Guadalupe (Central ES): 30 mm/1.18 inches
San Salvador (Central ES): 5 mm/0.20 inches

And this is the accumulation of rainfall in the first 10 days of June 2011 compared to the average for the same period:

Acajutla
2011: 12 mm
Normal: 90 mm

Santa Ana
2011: 124 mm
Normal: 105 mm

San Salvador
2011: 31 mm
Normal: 90 mm

San Miguel One of the most affected places by the lack of rains.
2011: 8 mm
Normal: 85 mm

Perquin
2011: 111 mm
Normal: 130 mm

[cycloneye]

Good morning. It looks like a tropical wave will arrive in the Eastern Caribbean by Tuesday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
552 AM AST SUN JUN 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AFOREMENTIONED MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THIS
WEEK...RESULTING IN AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN LOCALLY.
HOWEVER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...STILL
EXPECT ENOUGH MOISTURE LINGERING AROUND TO RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SOME CLOUDS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOUTHEAST OR EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW
LEVEL WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW NORTH COASTAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN IN THE 89 TO 94 DEGREE RANGE.

LOOKING AHEAD...IT STILL APPEARS THAT A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS
NEAR OR ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR
MORE LIKELY WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...ALTHOUGH A FEW SHRA ARE
MOVING IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. SHRA/ISOLD
TSRA EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE BEST
CHANCE OF TSRA WILL BE ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTH
SECTIONS OF PR. AS A RESULT...TEMPO MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ AND POSSIBLY TJSJ BTWN 12/17Z AND
12/21Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE E TO ESE AT AROUND 10
KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...STILL EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5
FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 91 78 / 20 20 20 20
STT 88 79 89 81 / 20 20 20 20

[cycloneye]

Just to let know our Caribbean and Central American friends that I added to the long first post of this thread the radar from Trinidad & Tobago. Is very important to have the most radars posible from the different areas of the Caribbean and Central America. If anyone has more radars or web cams that are yet to be added to that first post,dont hesitate to post them and I will add those.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
216 PM AST SUN JUN 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AS EXPECTED...THE AVAILABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE REGION IN COMBINATION WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL
TERRAIN EFFECTS...INDUCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN...INTERIOR
AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
SEVERAL FLOOD ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED FOR NUMEROUS MUNICIPALITIES
ACROSS THESE SECTORS OF THE ISLAND. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AFTER THAT. A
MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE AS THE
MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE FA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS
FEATURE WILL INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE
TODAY...THE COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING...SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE AND MOUNTAINS EFFECTS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN
AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO. UNDER AN EAST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND
FLOW...WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN COASTAL MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE...ALONG 50 WEST THIS AFTERNOON
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE CLOSE TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...PRODUCING A MODEST INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL
TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 13/18Z. AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...WESTERN AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PR BETWEEN 13/17Z
THROUGH AT LEAST 13/22Z...INDUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS IN SHRA/TSRA MAINLY ACROSS
TJBQ AND TJMZ. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 10 KTS OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 91 78 91 / 40 40 40 40
STT 79 89 81 89 / 40 40 40 40

[msbee]

Just to let know our Caribbean and Central American friends that I added to the long first post of this thread the radar from Trinidad & Tobago. Is very important to have the most radars posible from the different areas of the Caribbean and Central America. If anyone has more radars or web cams that are yet to be added to that first post,dont hesitate to post them and I will add those.

Luis, here is the radar for St. Maarten. I think you had it before but it is working again
http://www.meteo.an/Radar/Img_Radar_SSS_Cappi_Loop.asp

[cycloneye]

Good morning.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
536 AM AST MON JUN 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT WILL TEND TO
WEAKEN A BIT FROM WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL PERTURBATIONS MOVE ACROSS OR JUST
NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DESPITE MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...AS HAS BEEN THE
CASE THE PAST FEW DAYS...STILL EXPECT AVAILABLE MOISTURE TO
COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING...SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE AND
OROGRAPHIC LIFTING TODAY AND AGAIN TUESDAY...TO RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SOME CLOUDS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND
OVER PARTS OF THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST OR SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS
SHOULD ALLOW NORTH COASTAL HIGH TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN IN THE 89
TO 94 DEGREE RANGE...ALTHOUGH HIGHLY DEPENDENT AGAIN ON THE
AMOUNT OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS NEAR 55 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...THEN MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THIS FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH
LOCAL EFFECTS AND AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL PERTURBATIONS...TO
PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF
SITES THROUGH ABOUT 13/16Z...WITH VCSH POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND
TJSJ...TIST...TISX...TNCM AND TKPK. AFT 13/16Z...LOCAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR
AND WESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING TJBQ/TJMZ AND
POSSIBLY TJSJ IN SHRA/TSRA. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE
EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 10 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT...
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE WINDS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 91 79 / 40 40 40 20
STT 89 79 90 82 / 20 40 40 40

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
130 PM AST MON JUN 13 2011

PRC003-005-011-013-017-027-054-065-071-081-099-115-117-131-141-
132015-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0225.110613T1730Z-110613T2015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ISABELA PR-FLORIDA PR-MOCA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-
UTUADO PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LARES PR-BARCELONETA PR-CAMUY PR-
HATILLO PR-RINCON PR-ANASCO PR-ARECIBO PR-
130 PM AST MON JUN 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ISABELA...FLORIDA...MOCA...QUEBRADILLAS...SAN SEBASTIAN...
UTUADO...AGUADILLA...AGUADA...LARES...BARCELONETA...CAMUY...
HATILLO...RINCON...ANASCO AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 415 PM AST

* AT 119 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWERS WITH
LOCALLY EMBEDDED HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WAS OCCURRING ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM AGUADA TO QUEBRADILLAS
THOUGH THE SHOWERS WERE STILL DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE REGION.
SOILS IN THE REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS AND RAPID RISES ON
AREA STREAMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
IN URBAN AREAS AS VISIBILITY IS REDUCED AND PONDING OCCURS ON ROADS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6725 1837 6728 1852 6715 1849 6659
1833 6656

$$
GV
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
138 PM AST MON JUN 13 2011

PRC029-031-087-127-132030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0226.110613T1738Z-110613T2030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CANOVANAS PR-CAROLINA PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-
138 PM AST MON JUN 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS...CAROLINA...SAN JUAN AND LOIZA

* UNTIL 430 PM AST

* AT 130 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWERS
WITH LOCALLY EMBEDDED HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WAS OCCURRING ACROSS METROPOLITAN AREA OF SAN JUAN.
SOILS ARE SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS AND RAPID RISES ON
STREAMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AS
VISIBILITY IS REDUCED AND PONDING OCCURS ON ROADS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1845 6611 1850 6608 1841 6590 1835 6595

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Yesterday highs were cooler than normal in Nicaragua thanks to the tropical wave that caused a rainy and cloudy day in that country, the highs were warmer than normal in Honduras, Guatemala and Panama and much warmer than normal in El Salvador, here in El Salvador it felt more like April than June actually this June has been one of the warmest ever. Belize and Costa Rica had near normal temps.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.6°C (72.7°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.3°C (48.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.7°C (69.3°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.5°C (56.3°F).
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.6°C (74.5°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 20°C (68°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 17°C (63°F) Warmest for 2011.
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 21°C (70°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 19.6°C (67.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 24.4°C (75.9°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.6°C (74.5°F)
Boquete, Panama 15.6°C (60.1°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 28°C (82°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.7°C (71.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 35°C (95°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 31.9°C (89.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 20.8°C (69.4°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 39.0°C (102.2°F) Warmest since May 8
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 36°C (97°F) Warmest since May 9.
Managua, Nicaragua 31°C (88°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 27°C (81°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.7°C (81.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 32.2°C (90.0°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Panama city, Panama 33.7°C (92.7°F)
Boquete, Panama 23.9°C (75.0°F) Warmest since May 12.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
223 PM AST MON JUN 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A WEEK TROPICAL
WAVE WILL APPROACH TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AS EXPECTED...THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION
IN COMBINATION WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS...
INDUCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO...INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING
HOURS. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE AS
THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE FA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
FEATURE WILL INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FA. HOWEVER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE
TODAY...THE COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING...SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE
AND MOUNTAINS EFFECTS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON MAINLY NORTH OF CORDILLERA CENTRAL.
UNDER AN EAST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW...WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN COASTAL
MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE...ALONG 57 WEST THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
CLOSE TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS
FEATURE WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL TAF
SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 14/17Z. AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR...
WESTERN AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PR BETWEEN 14/17Z THROUGH AT LEAST
14/22Z...INDUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS IN SHRA/TSRA MAINLY ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ. SURFACE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KTS OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 91 79 91 / 40 40 20 50
STT 79 90 82 88 / 40 40 40 40

[Macrocane]

Hi! It's still more like April or May than June in El Salvador and Panama as warmer than normal highs and lows were registered. The rest of the region experienced near normal highs but warmer than normal lows.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.3°C (70.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 8.7°C (47.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 21.5°C (70.7°F) Warmest since May 16.
Las Pilas, El Salvador 15.4°C (59.7°F) Warmest for 2011.
San Miguel, El Salvador 24.9°C (76.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 20°C (68°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 21°C (70°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 19.7°C (67.5°F) Warmest since May 8.
Liberia, Costa Rica 24.2°C (75.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.3°C (75.7°F)
Boquete, Panama 17.4°C (63.3°F) Warmest for 2011.

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 29.4°C (84.9°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 22.2°C (72.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 31.4°C (88.5°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 38.7°C (101.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 36°C (97°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 34°C (93°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 28°C (82°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 28.8°C (83.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 33.4°C (92.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Panama city, Panama 35.7°C (96.3°F) Warmest for 2011 tied May 4.
Boquete, Panama 23.0°C (73.4°F)

[tropicana]

Regional Highs and Rainfall ( rain is 8pmET Sun-8pmET Mon) for
Mon Jun 13 2011

Piarco Airport, Trinidad 33.9C 93F 4.3mm
Maraval, NW Trinidad 31.2C 88F 8.4mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.9C 90F 9.5mm

Grantley Adams, Barbados 31.7C 89F 3.0mm
Rockley, S. Barbados 32.7C 91F 6.9mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 31.5C 89F 5.1mm
Hewannora Airport, St Lucia 31.7C 89F 0.5mm
Vigie Airport, St Lucia 31.7C 89F 7.2mm

Melville Hall, Dominica 32.8C 91F 0.3mm
LeLamentin, Martinique 32.3C 90F 13.5mm
LeRaizet, Guadeloupe 31.9C 90F 1.6mm
Golden Rock, St Kitts 31.9C 90F
VC Bird, Antigua 30.6C 87F 1.4mm
San Juan, PR 31.7C 89F 47.0mm

Owen Roberts, Grand Cayman 31.8C 89F trace
Kingston, Jamaica 32.8C 91F
Montego Bay, Jamaica 33.4C 92F
Havana, Cuba 33.7C 93F 13.0mm
Key West, FL 30.0C 86F
Marathon, FL 33.3C 92F
Miami, FL 34.4C 94F 75.0mm
Nassau, Bahamas 31.9C 90F
Hamitlon, Bermuda 25.4C 77F 7.7mm

Hato Airport, Curacao 31.7C 89F
Queen Beatrix, Aruba 34.0C 93F (low was 28.3C 83F)
Flamingo Airport, Bonaire 31.9C 90F (low was 27.5C 82F)

-justin-

[cycloneye]

Interesting June stats of rainfall in San Juan

The year started well below normal,but after those wet April,May and so far June, we are well above normal in general and for June.

.CLIMATE...WITH 1.83 INCHES RECORDED TODAY AT THE LUIS MUNOZ MARIN
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION FOR THE
MONTH IS 10.56 INCHES. JUNE 2011 NOW IS 0.40 INCHES AWAY TO BECOME
THE WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD. THE RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE IS
10.96 INCHES SET BACK IN 1965.

Code: Select all

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  TODAY            1.83          6.18 1938   0.11   1.72     0.08
  MONTH TO DATE   10.56                      1.65   8.91     1.78
  SINCE JUN 1     10.56                      1.65   8.91     1.78
  SINCE JAN 1     30.42                     18.11  12.31    32.99



[cycloneye]

Good morning. Tropical Wave is the main feature that will be affecting the Eastern Caribbean today.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
343 AM AST TUE JUN 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO REACH PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AFOREMENTIONED MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN
THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT
WILL TEND TO WEAKEN A BIT FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
MEANWHILE... FOR TODAY...DAY OF THE PRESIDENT`S VISIT...AVAILABLE
MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING...SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE AND OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS TO RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE
NORTHERN SLOPES...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE
ISLAND AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL
WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS
A RESULT NORTH COASTAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECT TO REMAIN IN
THE 89 TO 94 DEGREE RANGE.

A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS NEAR 62 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND TONIGHT...MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING TO PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WIND SURGE IS ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH THIS WAVE. DUE
TO ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...PROLONGED PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS
WELL TRIGGER MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN WILL
DOMINATE THE LOCAL AREA. THEREFORE...EXPECT MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...ANOTHER EASTERLY DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOCAL
AREA LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE
IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...TSTMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AT JBQ AND JMZ WITH MVFR
CIGS. HAVE INCLUDED A PROB30 AND A VCTS FOR THEM RESPECTIVELY. FOR
USVI AIRPORTS...TSTMS CHANCES INCREASE AFTER 15/00Z WITH APPROACH OF
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ALONG 60W SO INCLUDED A PROB30 FOR NOW. FOR
LEEWARD ISLANDS TERMINALS...TSTMS IN THE VCNTY THRU 18Z THEN CHANCES
DECREASE AFTER THAT. ELSEWHERE...JUST A SLIM CHANCE OF A PASSING
SHRA WITH NO IMPACTS XPCD.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT... WITH
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE WINDS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE PASSAGE.

&&

.CLIMATE...JUNE 2011 IS JUST 0.40 INCH(ES) AWAY FROM BECOMING THE
WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD AT THE LUIS MUNOZ MARIN INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. THE 10.56 INCHES OF RAIN THUS FAR REPRESENTS THE WETTEST
START TO JUNE ON RECORD. JUNE 1965 WAS THE WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD
WITH A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 10.96 INCHES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 80 90 78 / 20 20 50 40
STT 84 80 89 81 / 10 50 50 20

[Gustywind]