ticka1 wrote:Well hate to say anything bad this Monday morning but this system doesn't look AS impressive this morning. Still got some deep convection but lost alot when it went across the water this morning.
Bets on it will stay together. Sure is alot further south to be a East coast storm?
I thought just the opposite when I looked at it this morning. Finally, a wave has retained most of its convection after moving offshore. IR/WV reveals good outflow all quadrants. Could definitely be the next storm.
I notice one thing strange - the BAMD keeps it moving mostly westward for 120 hours, but the BAMM turns it up to 20N at 120hrs - same as the GFS. Strange for the DEEP layer model to keep it south and the others to bring it way to the north. GFS indicates fish storm so far, but it's all in the timing.