New invest 93L

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ameriwx2003
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New invest 93L

#1 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:40 am

New Invest for that big wave exiting the African Coast up and here is a link to the tropical model run:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082506
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#2 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:46 am

Great minds think alike :)
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cycloneye
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:49 am

Well americwx2003 I have the charts ready to track this longtracker that I expect to be a formidable hurricane down the road but the important thing is where will it go or a fish or to the west towards the islands
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:56 am

I have never seen black cloud tops before, is this normal for potent storms?
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Tip
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#5 Postby Tip » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:11 am

This is no "compact" storm. The cloud cover associated with the wave encompasses over 10 degrees of latittude.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#6 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:12 am

That's if it maintains its convection while over water. Already looks like this morning its not as impressive as it was over land. Time will tell if this one will be a watcher or another vanisher.
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Re: New invest 92L

#7 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:44 am

ameriwx2003 wrote:New Invest for that big wave exiting the African Coast up and here is a link to the tropical model run:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082506


So far, SHIPS has it only to 26 kts at 120.
Can't believe I'm quoting SHIPS either :roll:

Scott
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:50 am

ameriwx2003 I edited the number of the invest from 92L to 93L as they changed it correctly :)
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#9 Postby Steve H. » Mon Aug 25, 2003 7:05 am

Forget the intensity model for now. though I think it will evolve slowly, but expect a TS in three days. The further west it develops of course, the more dangerous is it could be. The SHIPS/D will adjust in successive runs.
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#10 Postby Colin » Mon Aug 25, 2003 9:32 am

This could be the BIG one...
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#11 Postby JCT777 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 9:42 am

Let's see what this one can do. I am not holding my breath, since so many other promising-looking storms have fizzled.
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#12 Postby The_Cycloman_PR » Mon Aug 25, 2003 11:11 am

JCT777 wrote:Let's see what this one can do. I am not holding my breath, since so many other promising-looking storms have fizzled.


Agree! I will give it 2 days to see how the convection behave in it's route across the eastern Atlantic, then we'll talk about it. There have been many systems so far this year as strong as this one, that have vanish or lost most of it's convection in the mid Atlantic because of the influence of dry air, subsidence, the SAL of last month, etc. Let's see if conditions over the Atlantic have improved for this one.
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#13 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 11:55 am

Luis... thanks for the edit:):). I have a feeling this one will make a run at the Islands:):). Things look to be ramping up this week:):)
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