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gatorcane
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#6421 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 18, 2011 10:32 pm

But what I find odd is that my area has not seen one good downpour from a rainy-season type thunderstorm at all so far...and we are approaching the third week in June (our wettest month) with below normal rain chances for the next week. Usually by now we have seen several of those afternoon downpours. Lakes are literally drying up.
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Re:

#6422 Postby psdstu » Sun Jun 19, 2011 1:25 am

gatorcane wrote:But what I find odd is that my area has not seen one good downpour from a rainy-season type thunderstorm at all so far...and we are approaching the third week in June (our wettest month) with below normal rain chances for the next week. Usually by now we have seen several of those afternoon downpours. Lakes are literally drying up.


Ditto for those of us in the Panhandle Counties....... we could sure use some decent rain up this way soon!

Not sure how long we will have to wait to see a change in the weather patterns.......but I hope we can see a change soon!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6423 Postby Bruton » Sun Jun 19, 2011 4:30 am

Actually, Miami airport is near 6 inches for June which is not so bad. Of course some places up north have gotten much less.

Who knows, this could be like some of those very dry years in the 80s. Or we could end up with a 20 inch September, and this will
mean nothing.
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#6424 Postby gsytch » Sun Jun 19, 2011 6:59 am

Same here on the WCoast in New Port Richey. TOTAL of one rainfall in June, and it was weak at less than 2/10th of an inch. What kills me is in the 25 years here, I have never seen it so sunny. June should feature clouds with nearby showers. Not this year. I would say two days were partly cloudy, the rest almost clear all day. The seabreeze keeps pushing any moisture toward Orlando and Lakeland. I pray it shifts soon but they promise "drier" weather the next few days. Drier than zero? I can see the heat stress on the landscapes and in my shadehouses (I raise exotics/tropicals). It is getting rather old and not hearing thunder (perhaps twice this month I've even heard it) is weird. I hope we do not get all of it at :roll: once!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6425 Postby jinftl » Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:22 am

Fort Lauderdale airport is at 0.05" for June so far!!! That could change in a hurry..i just hope that when mother nature decides to balance things out, we don't eat away at the rainfall deficits below all at once!!!

This is just nuts - rainfall at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood airport:

actual rainfall from 6/1/11 - 6/18/11: 0.05" (6.02" below normal month-to-date, less than 1% of avg!!!)
actual rainfall from 1/1/11 - 6/18/11: 4.13" (20.62" below normal year-to-date)
actual rainfall from 10/1/10 - 6/18/11: 9.32" (29.09" below normal since 10/1/10)

Bruton wrote:Actually, Miami airport is near 6 inches for June which is not so bad. Of course some places up north have gotten much less.

Who knows, this could be like some of those very dry years in the 80s. Or we could end up with a 20 inch September, and this will
mean nothing.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6426 Postby Florida1118 » Sun Jun 19, 2011 8:04 am

Everyone just has to hold out a little bit longer...by midweek/lateweek chances should be 40-50% according to the NWS. And thats ALL of Florida (Except the Keys, Sorry :( ), not just one area from all our wonderful Florida Offices. And hey, at least were not seeing this;

Image
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#6427 Postby NDG » Sun Jun 19, 2011 12:55 pm

Image
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6428 Postby Bruton » Sun Jun 19, 2011 5:54 pm

MIA got another 2 inches today.
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#6429 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:46 pm

OK finally got some really good rainfall here today......

and it's amazing how things already look much greener.

Looks like the next best chance will be Thursday - the weekend....with 40% POPS in the forecast each day.
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#6430 Postby psyclone » Sun Jun 19, 2011 9:00 pm

nice to see some solid rainfall in the exceptional drought regions. we got nothing here today but it looks like things should change for the wetter by next weekend.
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#6431 Postby Bruton » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:28 am

I wanted to ask you guys this:

http://nowdata.rcc-acis.org/MFL/pubACIS_results

The data for Oasis Ranger seems wrong. How in the world are they getting low temps in the LOW 60's?! I mean, this is like what Minneapolis is getting. Makes no sense. I realize that it is well inland. But is this for real? :cold:
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6432 Postby dizzyfish » Mon Jun 20, 2011 12:00 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
324 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT - SUNDAY)...
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST COMING UP AS COMPLEX SERIES OF EVENTS
COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF CLOUDY WEATHER WITH ON AND OFF RAINS.GFS AND ECMWF BOTH BRING A POTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL U.S. WEDNESDAY NIGHT EDGING INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY ON THURSDAY. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF
BECOMES INVOLVED WITH THE TROUGH AND MOVES EAST...AND THEN SOUTHEAST
TOWARD FLORIDA AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES THE EAST COAST. THIS
COMBINED WITH MOISTURE ADVECTING NORTHWARD IN THE LOWER LEVELS ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL BRING 2 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATERS TO OUR AREA THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. THE TROUGH MAY LIFT
OUT ENOUGH BY SUNDAY TO BRING SOME IMPROVEMENT.

THE IMPORTANT THING TO NOTE IS THAT A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER
MAY BE APPROACHING...WITH RAIN CHANCES FINALLY NEAR OR EVEN ABOVE
NORMAL FOR LATE JUNE.
THE EXTRA CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO HELP TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES IN CHECK...FINALLY BRINGING AN END TO THE MID AND UPPER
90S OF LATE.

Oh boy, oh boy, oh boy! That is music to my ears! :uarrow:
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6433 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Jun 20, 2011 5:03 pm

From this afternoon's Melbourne AFD

THU-NEXT MON (MODIFIED PREV)...PATTERN TRANSITIONS LATE WEEK AS
RIDGE ALOFT IS DISPLACED SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS OCCURS AS A MID LVL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC SYSTEM TRACKS EWD ACROSS THE
MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES WITH TROUGHINESS ALOFT EXTENDING INTO THE SE
STATES. MOISTURE DEEPENS OVER THE AREA WITH PWATS FORECAST TO RISE
AT OR ABOVE 2.0" INCHES FROM FRI ONWARD. COVERAGE OF PRECIP IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THIS OCCURS AND RIDGE AXIS SETTLES BACK
SOUTH OF CTRL FL. CHANCE/SCATTERED POPS FROM THURSDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. FCST CONTINUES TO INDICATE 30/40 POPS EACH DAY...AND MAY
EVEN NEED TO RAISE SOME FOR FRI-SUN. TEMPS EXPECTED TO TREND DOWN
CLOSER TO CLIMO NORMS GIVE THE HIGHER POPS/MORE CLOUDS...WITH MAXES
IN THE UPPER 80S/NR 90 COAST AND LOWER 90S INLAND.


Rain coming this weekend.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6434 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 20, 2011 5:08 pm

Got another round of good rains here in Wellington...two days in a row now....I can't believe it.

Hope it gets even rainier towards the end of the week when the ridge breaks down and we get a SW windflow in here.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6435 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Jun 20, 2011 5:14 pm

Sunny and dry here in PSL but it's storming only 20 miles or so to the west, over Indiantown, Okeechobee and the water catchment areas.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6436 Postby Tropics Guy » Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:12 pm

Finally, I recorded .50" of rain here in NE Miami-Dade County today from a pretty good T-Storm, first good measureable precip (besides a trace) in almost 2 months. Hopefully the rainy season has kicked in gear now!!

TG
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#6437 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jun 21, 2011 12:22 am

Rain chances will climb later this week statewide, but the synoptics are challenging for right now:

http://jonathanbelles.wordpress.com/201 ... mes-ahead/
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#6438 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Jun 22, 2011 12:09 am

My Summer Outlook and the outlook for the upcoming wetter days:

http://jonathanbelles.wordpress.com/201 ... r-outlook/
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6439 Postby jdray » Wed Jun 22, 2011 9:24 am

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Love the big smoke cloud graphic.
Almost 100F, low humidity, fires. What is this? Arizona?
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Florida1118

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6440 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Jun 22, 2011 10:09 am

It should please you NE FL guys that you get 60% chance of rain for 2-3 days with 50% other days. Ah It appers we will finally be getting back to normal *Knocks on wood*
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