Spin Just West of Tampa

[caneman]

I was surprised to not see this posted anywhere. Unless I messed the thread. Anyone else notice the spin just West of Tampa. Any models picking up on this?
http://www.baynews9.com/weather/klystron9

[ronjon]

Just some weak vorticity associated with the tail end of a frontal trough. You can get development sometimes when the end of a trough breaks off. I don't see that in this case as convection would really have to increase to lower pressures at the surface. 200 mb winds are favorable in the EGOM if something did eventually organize.

[tailgater]

The same, with area off the east coast of Fla.

[tropicwatch]

Surface winds indicate a weak circulation in the eastern GOM:



Winds aloft are minimal:



But the buoys in the eastern Gulf are not indicating falling pressure yet. The thunderstorm activity is increasing so this area might be worth watching.

Tropicwatch

[JonathanBelles]

I am watching this area because a few of the models (mainly local/meso) have spun something up in the central gulf.

[srainhoutx]

The GFS suggests a weak disturbance in the Central Gulf from this. We will see if increased rain chances are ahead for the drought parched Northern and Western Gulf regions.

[brunota2003]

I see plenty of outflow boundaries there.

[tailgater]

I see plenty of outflow boundaries there.

That's pretty typical at this stage right? I mean this would take 2 or 3 days to really show signs of tropical development.

[tailgater]

Happy Independence Day S2Kers I'm putting out a loose naked swirl alert out for the NE TX.\La. gulf coast.
You can expect a shower to hit right after you lite the BBQ pit and maybe a breeze but mostly a sunny hot day!


This is the tail end of that trough that was near Tampa a few days ago.