Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

What are the weather conditions in your area Cycloneye?

Not raining but is cloudy.However, in SE PR is another story as some rivers are very high and with some more rain expected tonight,that would cause some flooding problems.

Ok thanks, glad to see that nothing as occured for the moment but continue to keep us informed, we appreciate sincerely Luis us in the Leewards and Windwards islands.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1015 PM AST FRI JUL 1 2011

.UPDATE...MODIFIED CURRENT FORECAST TO LOWER PROBABILITIES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE REST OF TONIGHT SINCE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER LAND AREAS.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS NOW WEST OF LOCAL AREA WITH MOST
SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
DOPPLER RADAR PAINTING MOSLY LIGHT RAIN IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. GIVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER
REGENERATING AS THE TAIL OF THE WAVE INTERACTS WITH DIVERGENT FLOW
ALOFT AND WARM WATERS...KEPT SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY
OVERNIGHT OVER EAST AND SOUTHERN PR AND USVI WITH A GOOD CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS ELSEWHERE. SOUNDING VERY UNSTABLE AND WITH
RESIDUAL MOISTURE ON SATURDAY AND FAVOARBLE UPPER DYNAMICS...WOULD
EXPECT ACTIVE WEATHER AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
NMRS SHOWERS AND ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS WITHA FEW EXTENDING EASTWARD INTO THE LEEWARDS.
KEPT VCNTY TSRA FOR ST KITTS AND PREVAILING LIGHT RAIN FOR ST
THOMAS ST CROIX AND PONCE. REST OF PR TERMINALS KEPT VFR UNTIL 17Z
WHEN TSTMS SHOULD REDEVELOP. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASE FROM THE EAST AFTER 14Z.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WEST HALF OF PR.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Another day o rain for Puerto Rico as the tail moisture behind the wave moves thru.

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
547 AM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN CUBA/SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS WILL
RETREAT NORTHWEST AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE LOCAL
AREA DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE TROPICAL WAVE JUST SOUTH OF
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT EAST OF THE WAVE
AXIS AND THE DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO INDUCE STRONG
CONVECTION OVER PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET IS HELPING TO SUPPORT
AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE SURROUNDING WATER AND PARTS
OF THE PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING.
AS A RESULT...IR IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH
RAPID COOLING TOPS WERE OBSERVED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING
ACROSS THESE WATERS AS THEY MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT AROUND 20
KNOTS. SEVERAL SHOWERS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY INTENSITY ALSO AFFECTED
PARTS OF USVI...ESPECIALLY THE SAINT THOMAS AND THE WESTERN HALF
OF SAINT CROIX.

UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ISLANDS AS THE UPPER LOW
IS STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO KEEP AIR MASS UNSTABLE AND DEEP MOISTURE
OVER 2 INCHES REMAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE...THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING CONTINUES UNDER THE WET CONDITIONS...THUS
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING.
CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE A LITTLE BY TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
DRIFTS AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA...THOUGH MUCH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN
IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS WHILE THE AIR MASS REMAINS A LITTLE
UNSTABLE. STILL LOOK FOR CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AT TIMES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...MVFR CONDITIONS...WITH LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS...AND LOCAL
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...PARTS OF SOUTH...EAST AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO
AND ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH ABOUT 02/15Z IN BANDS AND
CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS.
THEN...BETWEEN 02/15Z AND ABOUT 02/22Z...EXPECT ADDITIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING TJMZ AND TJBQ...IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 21 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS
OF 7 FEET OR LESS THROUGH TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND THE MONA AND ANEGADA PASSAGES FOR TODAY...AND SMALL BOAT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINING
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 77 87 78 / 60 40 40 30
STT 85 79 87 81 / 60 20 20 50

[knotimpaired]

Ms Bee and MJ

Apparently we were spared.

We have had heavy rain and wind but it sounds that you recieved much more than we did.

I hope all is well there and if we can offer any aid please let us know.

k

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
909 AM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

PRC009-019-035-041-045-047-105-123-135-021600-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0257.110702T1309Z-110702T1600Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIDRA PR-CAYEY PR-COROZAL PR-COMERIO PR-AIBONITO PR-BARRANQUITAS PR-
NARANJITO PR-TOA ALTA PR-SALINAS PR-
909 AM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIDRA...CAYEY...COROZAL...COMERIO...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...
NARANJITO...TOA ALTA AND SALINAS

* UNTIL NOON AST

* AT 905 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUING IN THE ADVISORY AREA AND MORE APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHEAST. THIS RAIN IS OCCURRING OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
STREAMS ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGH.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS...ROADSIDE CULVERTS...URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK
AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL 600
PM AST EARLY THIS EVENING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6639 1836 6630 1809 6609 1806 6622

$$
GV
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Hi! Temperatures in July are very similar to those of June in Central America, the most important difference is that in the last week of July there's a reduction in the rains and an increase in the temperatures and it is known as canicula or veranillo and it could last through the first week of August, but after that the temperatures decrease and rainfall increase again. And finally it's important to remind you that summer months are not the warmest in Central America, the warmest are April and May. These are the temps registered yesterday, the first day of July, they were slightly cooler than normal in Guatemala, El Salvador and Panama, and near normal in the rest of the countries:

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.5°C (72.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.7°C (51.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.8°C (67.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.9°C (55.2°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0F) Coolest since April 16.
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 18°C (64°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.4°C (72.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.3°C (73.9°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.7°C (56.7°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 30.0°C (86.0°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.5°C (70.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 33°C (91°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.8°C (82.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.7°C (67.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 31.8°C (89.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.8°C (82.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.2°C (86.4°F)
Boquete, Panama 21.6°C (70.9°F)

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
335 PM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE LOCAL
AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE WEST TO CUBA BY TUESDAY. A
TUTT LOW WILL CUT OFF AND MOVE SOUTHWEST TOWARD PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS SOUTH OVER THE AREA.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP JUST NORTH OF 20 NORTH AT 50 WEST AND
MOVE SLOWLY WEST. IT WILL OPEN UP INTO A WAVE BY WEDNESDAY AND
CROSS PUERTO RICO ON THURSDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT CROSSED PUERTO RICO
YESTERDAY IS NOW OVER THE EASTERN PART OF PUERTO RICO. MOIST
SOUTHEAST FLOW BEHIND IT WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DUE TO A HEAVY LAYER OF MID AND UPPER CLOUDS SHOWERS
FORMED LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT AS OF 3 PM THEY WERE FOUND OVER
WESTERN PUERTO RICO AND FROM EL YUNQUE NORTHWEST TO DORADO AND
SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX. CURRENT MODELS SUGGEST
THAT A FEW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...BUT THAT THE
BEST SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE NAM IS
ALSO BRINGING MORE ACTIVITY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. BOTH
MODELS HAVE SOME MOISTURE COMING THROUGH UNTIL TUESDAY. MIMIC
PRECIPITABLE WATER SHOWED HOLES THAT OPENED UP IN THE 2 INCH
DEPTHS IN THE CARIBBEAN AND THESE WERE VISIBLE AS MOSTLY SUNNY
AREAS ON SATELLITE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO...BUT EXPECT HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO CONTINUE AS
WEAK TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST FLOW BEHIND THE WAVE.
SOMEWHAT DRIER CONDITIONS APPEAR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BUT
EXPECT CLIMATOLOGICAL SHOWER ACTIVITY TO OCCUR ANYWAY. THEN
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WITH INCREASED MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH ON
FRIDAY. THIS WAVE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS THE ONE THAT
JUST PASSED...NOR DO THE MODELS DEPICT IT THAT WAY. ACTIVITY MAY
BE ENHANCED BY THE TUTT LOW DIGGING SOUTHWEST...ESPECIALLY IF THE
TREND TO HAVE IT DIG FURTHER NORTHWEST CONTINUES IN THE MODEL
SOLUTIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ALL TAF SITES INTO SUNDAY.
BUT PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA WILL BECOME SCATTERED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...THEN INCREASE OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH AREAS OF MTN
OBSCURATIONS. EXPECT MAINLY MVFR IN SHRA/TSRA WITH SOME WIND GUSTS
TO 30 KNOTS. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY SUNDAY EVENING. WINDS
ALOFT TO BE SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 KNOTS THROUGH SUNDAY.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE A LITTLE DURING THE NIGHT...BUT 5 AND
6 FOOT SEAS WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS THE
TRADE WIND FLOW KEEPS SEAS AGITATED.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 87 78 89 / 60 60 40 50
STT 78 87 80 89 / 60 60 40 40

[Gustywind]

Wet weather here in Guadeloupe. Numerous lines of showers are succeding this afternoon since 3pm with some occassionnal gustywinds are abatting on the butterfly island. Weather is wet and suddently sad. Hope that the others neighbours in the north of Guadeloupe are ok but looking at the sat pic and the radar looks like patchs of nice convection are in vicinity of the islands.

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended until Sunday afternoon

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
554 PM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

PRZ001>004-006-007-011>013-VIZ001-002-031600-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-110703T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...COAMO...COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...
JAYUYA...PONCE...CABO ROJO...LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...
ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...
FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
554 PM AST SAT JUL 2 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...
EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTHEAST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST AND VIEQUES. IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...
ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND BY A DEPARTING ACTIVE
TROPICAL WAVE...WILL COMBINE WITH FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS AND LOCAL EFFECTS TROUGH SUNDAY...TO PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE ST CROIX...ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF MAINLAND
PUERTO RICO.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED BUT SIGNIFICANT FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING
ACROSS PUERTO RICO THROUGH SUNDAY...EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM BAYAMON TO CABO ROJO. OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS AND GUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

[Macrocane]

Hi guys, 7 earthquakes have been felt today in the Gulf of Fonseca, 6 of them have had the epicenter in local fault lines of that area the other one occurred in the subduction zone, thankfully no damages have been reported. More info about the wuakes on my last post of this thread: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=67&t=107415&p=2135961#p2135961

[Macrocane]

Near normal temperatures were registered today in Central America, only parts of Belize and Guatemala had cooler than normal highs.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.6°C (70.9°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.7°C (51.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.1°C (53.8°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 22.3°C (72.1°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.4°C (61.5°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.0°C (71.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.0°C (75.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 14.1°C (57.4°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 25.9°C (78.6°F) Coolest since March 20.
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 18.0°C (64.4°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 31°C (88°F) Coolest since June 1.
San Salvador, El Salvador 29.1°C (84.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.9°C (67.8°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 33.7°C (92.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 27°C (81°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.7°C (81.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 31.5°C (88.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 31.0°C (87.8°F)
Boquete, Panama 23.2°C (73.8°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
538 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AND LIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE SUB-EQUATORIAL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND PARTS OF
THE ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME. AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL PRIMARILY
BE FOCUSED ALONG THE INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOP INDICATES A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
ALOFT BETWEEN THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND WESTERN HISPANOLA. THE
PRESENCE OF THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WEST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND AN
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING FRESH NORTHEAST
WINDS ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...WHICH ARE PROVIDING A
DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT JUST WEST OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO. THIS
TROUGH ALOFT CONTINUES TO PROVIDE A MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION...
MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN HISPANOLA...MONA PASSAGE AND THE SURROUNDING
COASTAL WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH PWAT OVER 2 INCHES AND THE
ATMOSPHERE QUITE UNSTABLE BOTH BASED ON THE 03/00Z JSJ SOUNDING...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
BETWEEN THE MONA PASSAGE AND EASTERN HISPANOLA DURING THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS.

CURRENTLY...RADAR IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS
MOVING THROUGH THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND OVER THE SOUTH COAST
OF PUERTO RICO. THESE FAST MOVING SHOWERS ARE DUMPING LESS THAN A
QUARTER OF AN INCH AS THEY PASS THROUGH THESE AREAS. THE REST OF THE
MORNING HOURS...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD
SIDE OF THE ISLANDS...WITH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY LESS THAN
AN INCH. DUE TO THE LACK OF ANY PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
ISLANDS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE EXPECTED FAIRLY RAPID
MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...AND WIDESPREAD FLASH
OR RIVER FLOODING NOT EXPECTED...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR THE USVI...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND EAST AND SOUTH SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO.

LOOKING AHEAD...NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE SUB-EQUATORIAL
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A MORE
STABLE AIR MASS RETURNING TO THE LOCAL AREA ON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
BUT EXPECT THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE INTERIOR AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND
AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR...WEST AND
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING AT LEAST IN THE
VICINITY OF BOTH TJMZ AND TJBQ...BETWEEN 03/17Z AND 03/22Z...IN
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 21 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS
OF 6 FEET OR LESS THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 76 89 79 / 40 40 40 20
STT 88 79 88 80 / 50 40 40 20

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended thru sunday evening

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
926 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-040130-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0007.110703T1326Z-110704T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
926 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* DEEP MOISTURE IS MOVING INTO THE LOCAL AREA...THE AIR IS
UNSTABLE. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AT UPPER LEVELS IS MOVING IN FROM
THE WEST WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE
FAVORABLE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE WATCH
AREA LEADING TO POTENTIALLY TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

* AREAS OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND RAPID RIVER RISES
ON MAINSTEM RIVERS ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. BUT BE READY TO ACT WITHOUT WARNING AS RADAR DATA IS NOT
BEING RECEIVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON A CONSISTENT BASIS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

REMEMBER...YOU CAN REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU MAY SAVE SOMEONES LIFE.

&&

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1027 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

PRC007-021-033-051-061-127-135-137-139-143-145-031730-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0259.110703T1427Z-110703T1730Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-TOA ALTA PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-
DORADO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CATANO PR-VEGA BAJA PR-SAN JUAN PR-TOA BAJA PR-
1027 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...AGUAS BUENAS...TOA ALTA...TRUJILLO ALTO...VEGA ALTA...
DORADO...GUAYNABO...CATANO...VEGA BAJA...SAN JUAN AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 130 PM AST

* AT 1020 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND SATELLITES IMAGES
INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY
RAIN AFFECTING MOST OF THESE MUNICIPALITIES...WITH OTHER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POISED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST. RADAR
ESTIMATES AND U.S.G.S. GAGES INDICATED THAT AROUND 1 INCH OF RAIN
HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA AND IT CONTINUED
TO RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH
130 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS...ROADSIDE CULVERTS...URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK
AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL 600
PM AST TOMORROW MORNING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1845 6639 1853 6632 1852 6619 1837 6597
1825 6611

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
941 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

PRC049-147-VIC020-030-031645-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0258.110703T1341Z-110703T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CULEBRA PR-VIEQUES PR-SAINT JOHN VI-SAINT THOMAS VI-
941 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES AND ISLANDS...

IN PUERTO RICO
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN AND SAINT THOMAS

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

* AT 935 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGES
ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. CONSIDERABLE RAIN
REMAINS TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND ANOTHER 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND GUTS...
AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1827 6470 1830 6506 1806 6534 1808 6561
1822 6550 1818 6525 1834 6512 1825 6534
1834 6543 1840 6536 1834 6511 1843 6509
1845 6489 1836 6463

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1123 AM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

.UPDATE...VARIABLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS THIS MORNING. THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO AS WELL AS ACROSS VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIR MASS IN COMBINATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. DUE TO
THE SATURATED SOILS FROM PREVIOUS DAYS RAINFALL...A FLASH FLOOD
WAS WAS RE-ISSUED FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND
FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. FOR THE
INDEPENDENCE DAY...THE LINGERING MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH
DAYTIME HEATING...LOCAL ISLANDS EFFECTS AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS TO INDUCE AGAIN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND INTERIOR
PUERTO RICO. THE GFS COMPUTER GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A RELATIVELY
DRY AIR WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM THE EAST BY LATE TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE TYPICAL DIURNALLY INDUCED ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
DURING THE WHOLE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
TIST...TISX...TJPS AND TJSJ UNTIL 03/17Z. AFTER 03/17 MVFR
AND BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL
PROPAGATE TO THE WEST AFFECTING THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR...WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
TJMZ AND TJBQ...IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AT LEAST 03/22Z.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1221 PM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

PRC049-147-VIC020-030-031845-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0258.000000T0000Z-110703T1845Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CULEBRA PR-VIEQUES PR-SAINT JOHN VI-SAINT THOMAS VI-
1221 PM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES AND ISLANDS...

IN PUERTO RICO
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN AND SAINT THOMAS

* UNTIL 245 PM AST

* AT 243 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGES
CONTINUE TO INDICATE HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. CONSIDERABLE
RAIN STILL REMAINS TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.
FOR THOSE REASONS THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXTENDED UNTIL 245 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND GUTS...AND
LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LAND ALONG THE BANKS
OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1827 6470 1830 6506 1806 6534 1808 6561
1822 6550 1818 6525 1834 6512 1825 6534
1834 6543 1840 6536 1834 6511 1843 6509
1845 6489 1836 6463

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
255 PM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOCAL AREA
WILL MOVE TO CUBA BY WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE FROM
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WEDNESDAY TO CUBA ON THE
FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY...PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY.
DURING THAT TIME MOSTLY LIGHT FLOW WILL PREVAIL.

AT MID LEVELS...A LOW AT 50 WEST 24 NORTH WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY
SOUTH SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AND PASS
OVER THE LOCAL AREA ON THURSDAY...REPLACING THE WEAK RIDGE
CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA.

AT LOWER LEVELS...PULSES OF MOISTURE ARE MOVING NORTHWEST OVER THE
AREA BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS STILL EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HEAVY SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING IN THE CARIBBEAN
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND ARE MOVING NORTHWEST. EXPECT HEAVY
RAIN TO CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO INTO EARLY EVENING. PULSES OF
MOISTURE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN THE FAR EASTERN CARIBBEAN ARE
AIDING DEVELOPMENT OF NEW AREAS OF CONVECTION THAT WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE CONTINUING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY RE-IGNITE OVER
PUERTO RICO`S INTERIOR REGIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL. THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY MORNING AND MAY
NEED TO BE EXTENDED LATER FOR THIS REASON.

MODELS SHOW A TREND TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE AND SOME MOISTURE INCREASING THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
TIST...TJPS...TJMZ AND TJBQ IN SHRA/TSRA WITH AREAS OF MTN
OBSCURATIONS UNTIL AT LEAST 03/22Z. CONDITIONS ACROSS THESE TAF
SITES WILL IMPROVE THIS EVENING...BUT AFTER 03/22Z...PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS TIST...TISX AND TJPS IN HEAVY SHRA.


&&

.MARINE...LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS THAT HAVE GENERATED GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS. EXPECT
THESE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. NEW
AREAS OF VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORMS WERE STILL FORMING IN THE
CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 86 79 89 / 60 50 20 20
STT 77 86 79 89 / 60 40 20 20

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC015-057-095-109-123-151-032300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0070.110703T2009Z-110703T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
409 PM AST SUN JUL 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
ARROYO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
GUAYAMA
SALINAS
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 700 PM AST

* AT 403 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MUNICIPALITIES OF SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHWEST. THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS AND FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1795 6636 1806 6624 1803 6612 1809 6609
1805 6582 1801 6583 1791 6612

$$

RM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------