Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TreasureIslandFLGal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1581
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 6:16 pm
Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!

#501 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue May 17, 2011 2:15 pm

After sporting some high gulf temps for this time of the year in the lower 80's west of Tampa, FL, the gulf has cooled off very quickly after a cold front swept through this past weekend. Temps have fallen to 78 degrees, a 4 degree drop in as many days.

Another warm up is expected by this coming weekend, and we'll see the temps climb back up again throughout the gulf.
0 likes   
Chrissy & Ligeia
:flag:

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145327
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#502 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 18, 2011 11:58 am

The Caribbean is turning toasty.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#503 Postby Ivanhater » Mon May 30, 2011 10:13 am

It must be close to Hurricane season

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#504 Postby ROCK » Mon May 30, 2011 11:18 am

everyday that passed here along the TX gulf coast is getting toastier.....We have had a string of 90+F days...this week more like mid-90s.....potential is increasing


http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#505 Postby jinftl » Mon May 30, 2011 3:58 pm

Current SST water temps - it's getting ripe out there!

Image


Current buoy from Venice, FL:

Image
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4762
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

#506 Postby psyclone » Mon May 30, 2011 7:57 pm

someone's peeing in the water at Venice! the surf temps are wonderfully warm, as they should be as we head into june.
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#507 Postby ROCK » Mon May 30, 2011 9:58 pm

facinating that 2011 ssts on May 30th are not even close to 2010 at the same date.....you can also see where we went into a very active period that is still on going....not that it matters much

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/SST/sst_atl.html#picture
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#508 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jun 05, 2011 10:36 am

Northern Gulf actually hotter than much of the rest of the Gulf....these 100 plus degree days sure are making an impact...

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#509 Postby KWT » Tue Jun 07, 2011 4:08 am

To be fair 2010 was VERY warm, even 2005 doesn't really compare in terms of the SSTs.

It'd still be high up the ranking I'd have thought though
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re:

#510 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 07, 2011 10:17 am

KWT wrote:To be fair 2010 was VERY warm, even 2005 doesn't really compare in terms of the SSTs.

It'd still be high up the ranking I'd have thought though


I noticed in 2005, most of the storms formed closer to land than in 2010. 2010 had more Cape Verde storms than 2005. The area of warm water in 2010 was larger than in 2005. Also, there were monsoonal troughs, which help allow tropical cyclones to spin up.

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/SST/sst_atl.html#picture
0 likes   

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#511 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 07, 2011 10:21 am

ROCK wrote:facinating that 2011 ssts on May 30th are not even close to 2010 at the same date.....you can also see where we went into a very active period that is still on going....not that it matters much

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/SST/sst_atl.html#picture


I looked at the link and noticed that 2010 had a large area of warm water, even larger than 2005! I looked at 1983 and the water was much cooler, especially in the Gulf of Mexico. Interestingly, 1989 had a larger area of cooler than normal water than in 1983. 2008 did not have large areas of warm water like 2005 and 2010. 2011 looks like 2008 in terms of warm water.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#512 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jun 07, 2011 1:33 pm

Northern Gulf continues to be some of the warmest waters in the Atlantic right now...no doubt caused by the 100+ degree weather up and down the Gulf coast.

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#513 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:24 am

Some anomalies comparisons. Look how warm the Ssts are again this year. Note some of the biggest anomalies are just east of the leewards:

2011:
Image

2010:
Image

2005 (last hyperactive year):
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#514 Postby drezee » Mon Jun 13, 2011 3:05 pm

The tripole is back...typical of an active season...

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#515 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 05, 2011 1:36 pm

Anyone care to update the temps and do comparison's since there is nothing else popping in the tropics?
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re:

#516 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 05, 2011 6:42 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Anyone care to update the temps and do comparison's since there is nothing else popping in the tropics?


this isnt a comparison but you pretty much get the idea.... :lol:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#517 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jul 10, 2011 11:50 am

The Northern Gulf is hot hot hot

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#518 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:29 pm

North central Gulf continues to be the the hottest waters in the Basin

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#519 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 11, 2011 2:02 pm

Ivanhater wrote:North central Gulf continues to be the the hottest waters in the Basin

Image


that is hotter than the LC right now....bad news if this stays hot and we have a storm landfalling into any of these areas....

My pool is running about 92F right now so at some point I am going to have a giant hot tub if this keeps up... :D
0 likes   

User avatar
MississippiWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1699
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#520 Postby MississippiWx » Mon Jul 11, 2011 2:55 pm

July 11, 2011 Anomalies:

Image

Nothing too impressive with the Atlantic anomalies. The biggest things to take from the graphic include:

1) The Atlantic Basin is warmer relative to normal and is the warmest basin relative to normal out of all the tropical basins. This will help us keep the MJO around our parts of the world, like last year. Air likes to rise in the areas that are warmest.

2) The Gulf of Guinea remains well below average in SSTs and continues to cool from week to week.

3) La Nina says, "Hold your horses. I'm not done yet." Cool anomalies are making a comeback in the Nino 3.4 region. It looks almost certain that we will have a La Nina winter and at the least a neutral peak hurricane season.
0 likes   
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, GCANE, Ulf and 16 guests