ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

[ronjon]

RADAR estimated rainfall amounts now 4-6 inches in central and northern Pinellas County. We may see some flooding with the training of cells over the same area for the next 6 hrs.

TPA RADAR

[psyclone]

we are being inundated in pinellas county. doppler estimates now exceed 4 inches over a decent sized area of central and north county and it's still dumping.

[Sanibel]

ULL-enhanced convection off a weak, squashed Low.

[NDG]

ULL-enhanced convection off a weak, squashed Low.

Is not just the ULL, if you look at vis sat along with surface reports there is a good surface convergence going on along the surface trough, otherwise that convection along the Tampa area would had died off a while ago.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS PRIMARILY OVER FLORIDA AND THE
ADJACENT WATERS. THIS ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTHWARD.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[lester]

Another one bites the dust..

[thetruesms]

At least FL is getting some of that rain they've needed.

Sort of. West Central Florida is the one part of the state that didn't really need the rain all that much - at least relative to the rest of the state. The Panhandle is what really needs a good drenching right now.

[thetruesms]

it's the keech byram (sp) drought index, a good measure of wildfire potential.

Sorry if this is too off topic; but what are the metrics on the map.
Higher number=More severe drought?
Colors??

Yeah, it's probably drawing a little far OT for this thread, but if you want to know more, you can go to http://www.fl-dof.com/fire_weather/info ... /kbdi.html or just PM me, and I can probably make your eyes bleed with info

[NDG]

Very gust winds now here in Orlando with that squall line getting ready to come across us now, gusts over 30 mph.

[NDG]

At least 6" of rain estimated by radar in parts of Tampa and northern Pinellas County and still falling this afternoon.

[GCANE]

Looks like an anticyclone is forming over this.

Also, strong moisture convergence along the surface trough.

[psyclone]

too bad i didn't empty my rain gage before i left for work. no doubt it's overflowing now. and there's more heavy rain incoming.

[tropicwatch]

Right now it doesn't look like the remnants of 96 plan to go anywhere very fast. There is an incredible amount of moisture come up into the Gulf, in between the High that building over Florida and the ULL South of Louisiana.

Tropicwatch

[ocala]

Heavy rain is very localized. Including yesterday not even .75 at my location in the Ocala area.

[plasticup]

Some of the models are showing the remnants of 96L closing up near Bermuda, possibly as a sub-tropical storm. The convection is definitely there already...

[caneman]

NDG,
I know - we're hear on Clearwater Beach. Made the mistake of leaving my Canoe right side up and it is full of water. Pool was overflowing. Just had a deluge like this last week or two ago.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Had a lot of heavy rain some of the nastiest street flooding I've seen today. The rain has ended but it is quite windy, winds have picked up

[Florida1118]

I got 5.66 Inches of rain today, my backyard is a lovely lake now (its not supposed to be). All of the ponds/lakes near me are at their banks...sorry to the panhandle, hope you get something out of this. We didnt really need it here in WC FLorida...

[Macrocane]

Well that's a lot Actually not much difference between a "weak" depression or storm and this system. I mean the effects are similar not the organization

[JonathanBelles]

I'm guessing I had about 3" today. Broke rainfall records at St. Pete Whitted airport, Tampa Int'l, and Lakeland Reg airport.