Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

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Hurricaneman
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#61 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:53 am

there seems to be a mid level disturbance just north of Hispaniola, if it persists the next 12 hours, it could be interesting
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#62 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Tue Jul 05, 2011 1:15 am

looks like a jumbo shrimp on that last frame
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#63 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Jul 05, 2011 4:49 am

area east Bahama have grown over night i seen my friend in Bahama for his honeymoon so i hope dont get too wet
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#64 Postby flwxwatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2011 5:34 pm

URL=http://img830.imageshack.us/i/namnamer072850vortht.gif/]Image[/URL]

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#65 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Jul 05, 2011 6:55 pm

A few days ago, I posted in the "When will the next named storm form?" thread and said Brett will form July 10th and make landfall in New Orleans... Rollover 120 and keep moving to the right... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_0z/avnloop.html
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Re:

#66 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 05, 2011 8:37 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:A few days ago, I posted in the "When will the next named storm form?" thread and said Brett will form July 10th and make landfall in New Orleans... Rollover 120 and keep moving to the right... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_0z/avnloop.html


the AVN is the NAM is disguise... :lol: throw that one out in a hurry....now if the CMC,EURO and GFS were to latch on then I might bite......
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Re: Re:

#67 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Jul 05, 2011 9:04 pm

ROCK wrote:
HurricaneBrain wrote:A few days ago, I posted in the "When will the next named storm form?" thread and said Brett will form July 10th and make landfall in New Orleans... Rollover 120 and keep moving to the right... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_0z/avnloop.html


the AVN is the NAM is disguise... :lol: throw that one out in a hurry....now if the CMC,EURO and GFS were to latch on then I might bite......

I thought AVN was GFS?
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Re: Re:

#68 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 05, 2011 10:31 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:
ROCK wrote:
HurricaneBrain wrote:A few days ago, I posted in the "When will the next named storm form?" thread and said Brett will form July 10th and make landfall in New Orleans... Rollover 120 and keep moving to the right... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_0z/avnloop.html


the AVN is the NAM is disguise... :lol: throw that one out in a hurry....now if the CMC,EURO and GFS were to latch on then I might bite......

I thought AVN was GFS?



I think its the NAM.....the 18z GFS has nothing at 120hr.....
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#69 Postby flwxwatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2011 10:14 am

The AVN is not the NAM model. :D
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#70 Postby Nimbus » Wed Jul 06, 2011 10:45 am

Still quite a lot of Shear north of Cuba but closer to the center of the high near Jamaica conditions are a little better.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#71 Postby lrak » Sat Jul 09, 2011 10:34 am

What is fixing to move into the Yucatan? Is this still ULL shear storms?
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#72 Postby NDG » Sat Jul 09, 2011 12:26 pm

lrak wrote:What is fixing to move into the Yucatan? Is this still ULL shear storms?


Lingering surface trough, convection enhanced by northerly diverging winds.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in Carribbean

#73 Postby lrak » Sat Jul 09, 2011 1:29 pm

Thanks I thought it might have something to do with that, but wanted to make sure you guys were'nt asleep from all of 96's action :P
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