Development on either side of Central A? (Is invest 97L)

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ROCK
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America?

#41 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 11, 2011 12:41 pm

someone post a 1KM or 4KM zoom on this area. I lost my favorite LINK.....cant tell whats it doing at the surface...also please tell the NHC to move the floater...thanks... :lol:


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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? 0%

#43 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:00 pm

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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#44 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:05 pm

looking at that loop...it looks like whatever was trying to get going at the surface is inland....JMO though...
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#45 Postby Macrocane » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:06 pm

0% in the next 48 hours sounds right as most of the models show some kind of development in about 120-144 hours though there's still a lot of uncertainty in the intensity, duration and location of the system.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#46 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:07 pm

Interesting the NHC mentioned it. Something will likely pop in the EPAC or ATL but we will see...this area will be sticking around for a while in any regard. Bad news for our friends in Central America.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#47 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:12 pm

Very active today

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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#48 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:16 pm

:uarrow: It looks really good on satellite today. Maybe something can get going in that heavy convection.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#49 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:41 pm

12z Euro develops this on the EPAC side
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#50 Postby GCANE » Mon Jul 11, 2011 1:50 pm

Very nice anti-cyclone has now developed over this due in large part to this morning's hot-towers.

Towers have also left behind a good cirrus covering.



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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#51 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jul 11, 2011 2:17 pm

I think that this has a better chance to develop on the EPAC side as now a few models are showing that. Is the NOGAPS now the lone model which develops this on the Atlantic side?
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#52 Postby tailgater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 2:26 pm

Just now getting a look at it, this afternoon and i'm a bit surprised as to how fast it's wanting to come together. (I thought it was gonna take 3 or 4 days to look like this.) you can clearly see some Lower clouds moving in a southerly direction just north of Tela Honduras. But I guess this forecast to move father inland and just sit there awhile.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#53 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 11, 2011 2:28 pm

Looks really good..but moving inland it seems

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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#54 Postby GCANE » Mon Jul 11, 2011 3:37 pm

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#55 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 11, 2011 3:44 pm

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Latest ... looking good but development should be hindered by land
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#56 Postby lrak » Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:11 pm

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057

winds are up, pressure down....sure looks good on satellite.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#57 Postby latitude_20 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:27 pm

Very nice burst of convection offshore visible on the latest AVN shot.
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#58 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 11, 2011 5:11 pm

lrak wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057

winds are up, pressure down....sure looks good on satellite.


Pressure looks pretty steady to me. It hasn't varied much in the last 24 hrs. Lots of convection. Are we seeing a wave interacting with the monsoonal trough?
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#59 Postby lrak » Mon Jul 11, 2011 5:41 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
lrak wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057

winds are up, pressure down....sure looks good on satellite.


Pressure looks pretty steady to me. It hasn't varied much in the last 24 hrs. Lots of convection. Are we seeing a wave interacting with the monsoonal trough?



Yes you're right didn't check the 24 hour link. Still http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057 winds are up and pressure is somewhat down, still looks good on satellite. :D

Might go "Poof" tonight too.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MHPL.html
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Re: Posible development on either side of Central America? - 0%

#60 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2011 5:48 pm

It looks like 18z GFS goes with the EPAC as the stronger side to develop something in this monsoon battle.

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