Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 PM AST MON JUL 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT AXIS WILL REMAIN LOCATED JUST WEST THROUGH NORTH
OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. A LOW TO MID LEVEL
TROUGH (TUTT REFLECTION) AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOIST SURGE WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATER
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AFOREMENTIONED LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT
REFLECTION) AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOIST SURGE WILL MOVE WEST
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL
COMBINE WITH THE FAVORABLE POSITIONED TUTT AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO
PRODUCE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST
SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. BRIEF SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING
IS INDICATED FOR VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD
OF THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL THEN SURGE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY...RESULTING IN A SECOND NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FA.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF INTERIOR AND WEST PUERTO
RICO...INCLUDING AT LEAST IN THE VICINITY OF TJMZ THROUGH ABOUT
11/22Z...IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHER MVFR CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD WEST NORTHWEST
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AFTER 11/22Z.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. SMALL BOAT
OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE LOCAL OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 89 78 89 / 30 50 40 40
STT 78 88 79 90 / 50 50 20 40

[BZSTORM]

Good Evening everyone well its raining pretty hard here tonight, last night some pretty close lightning to us as well, apparently knocked out elec to some Southern areas just 15miles South of us yesterday evening and we lost power for aout 10mins early this morning. Water table now at max in my area remember were a peninsula and have sea and logoon on eaither side and part of my yard is now flooded. Frogs overjoyed to finally have water, as are the mosquitos!! Main concern for us is still the Kendal bridge although finally under construction after washing out 3 years ago we still only have the crossing which links the south to North of Belize. Levels were dropping in river this afternoon but after another night of rain sure to be up come morning.

[Macrocane]

Hi! BZSTORM good to see you around here, thanks to those rains in Belize temps were cooler than normal today, Panama and Guatemala experienced slightly cooler than normal highs too, the rest of the region had near normal highs and lows.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 23°C (73°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.1°C (70.0°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 16°C (61°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.8°C (49.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.3°C (66.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.9°C (55.2°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 22.1°C (71.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 18.0°C (64.4°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.0°C (42.8°F)
Panama city, Panama 24.3°C (75.7°F)
Boquete, Panama 15.2°C (59.4°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 26.2°C (79.2°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 31°C (88°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.1°C (86.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.3°C (66.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 33.3°C (91.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 35°C (95°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 33°C (91°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 27°C (81°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 26.2°C (79.2°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 34.1°C (93.4°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.5°C (63.5°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.4°C (86.7°F)
Boquete, Panama 21.6°C (70.9°F)

[cycloneye]

Stay safe both of you and keep us informed about this event that looks like a very problematic for Central America,if all pans out as forecast by the models.

[BZSTORM]

yes Macrocane its cooled down allot here today as well, well looks like my hubby was spot on with his insincts for this hurricane season, he felt we weren't in for any major hurricane this year but that it was going to be a wild wet one anyway. Wouldn't mind rain so much if I didn't have a wedding to photograph this weekend and the latest discussion from BZ Met doesn't look good for a dry one...ce la vie. Will keep u posted when as as I can.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1037 PM AST MON JUL 11 2011

.UPDATE...UPDATED FIRST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST TO LIKELY CATEGORY
FOR USVI VIEQUES CULEBRA AND THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH AS NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVED WEST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LOW LEVEL TROUGH CROSSING THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING WEST AT 15 KT ACROSS CWA. SOME OF THESE
WERE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS. TRAIN ECHO EFECTS WILL ALLOW FOR
PONDING OF WATER OF POORLY DRAINED AND LOW LYING AREAS. ASIDE FROM
UPDATING FRIST PERIOD..REST OF FORECAST REMAINED UNCHANGED.


&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN SCT TO NMRS SHOWERS
AND ISOLD TSTMS. LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
PARTS OF INTERIOR AND WEST PUERTO RICO AFT 12/16Z. LOW LEVEL EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 KTS FROM SFC TO 10 THSD FT.

[alanstover]

Checking in here from Guat. Thanks for the info posted on the up-coming weather event.

Macrocane, you mentioned your blog-can you post the site address for it? Thanks.

Will be in touch as this weather situation unfolds. Take care everyone.

[Macrocane]

Hi alanstover! nice to see you again, here's the link to my blog, it's in spanish but I guess you can speak it: http://tiempoyclimasv.blogspot.com/

[cycloneye]

Good morning. While in Central America,the folks there are dealing with the rainy scenario, in the Eastern Caribbean,a trough combined with a tropical wave will cause periods of rain so be aware of that.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
512 AM AST TUE JUL 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE
WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WITH BROAD
INDUCED LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS NEAR
55/56 WEST OR SOME 300 MILES OR SO EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...
WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE TONIGHT
OR WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS AND AFFECT
THE LOCAL REGION LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION IS PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WERE MOVING WEST ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA AROUND 15 KT. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS
WERE PRODUCING PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO ...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF
THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
COASTAL WATERS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
REGION THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ALTHOUGH A LULL IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. EXPECT THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS... COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND LOCAL
AND DIURNAL EFFECT TO ONCE AGAIN GIVE WAY TO AFTERNOON CONVECTION WITH
PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS. SOME
OF THE RAINFALL MAY EVENTUALLY LEAD TO MINOR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING IN ISOLATED AREAS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS PARTS OF PUERTO
RICO.

THEREAFTER...A BRIEF DRY SLOT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...IN ADVANCE OF THE TROPICAL
WAVE WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND AFFECT THE
LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWED MODERATE AMOUNTS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND ALONG THE
WAVE AXIS...AND SO FAR LATEST GFS MODEL SUGGESTS A CONSIDERABLE INCREASE
IN MOISTURE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS WAVE. THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH
THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WHICH WILL DRAPE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY...WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND
ENHANCED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH ACTIVE/SQUALLY WEATHER OVER
PORTIONS OF THE REGION DURING THE DAY OR TWO. BY FRIDAY HOWEVER
EXPECTED A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THE
WAVE EXITS THE REGION... AND THE UPPER TROUGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
FURTHER NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS
ISLANDS UNTIL AT LEAST 12/15Z...PRODUCING TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS TJSJ...TIST AND TISX. AFTER 12/16Z AND AT LEAST UNTIL
12/22Z...CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LEAD TO PERIODS
OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
OVER THE TJMZ AND TJBQ IN SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.CLIMATE...A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 73 DEGREES WAS SET AT CHRISTIANSTED
AIRPORT/USVI YESTERDAY (7/11/2011). THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 73 SET
IN 1999.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 76 89 78 / 60 40 40 50
STT 88 78 90 80 / 60 20 50 50

[alanstover]

Thanks for the link, macrocane, and kudos to the great job on the blog. Resources of this kind are hard to find and much needed in spanish. Keep up the good work. I will bookmark your page as a place to go for a quick overview of what´s happening in our region.
Have a great day.

alan

[Gustywind]

Thanks for all these updates Cycloneye and all my friends in the Carib, SA. Keep us informed as usual and as possible, we appreciate sincerely. Glad to see all this energy in this family

Looks like the TW near the Windwards is struggling this morning given the last from the TWO...

000
ABNT20 KNHC 121142
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE DIMINISHED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING
ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ALTHOUGH
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

[Macrocane]

Thanks for the link, macrocane, and kudos to the great job on the blog. Resources of this kind are hard to find and much needed in spanish. Keep up the good work. I will bookmark your page as a place to go for a quick overview of what´s happening in our region.
Have a great day.

alan

Thanks, I try to do a good job and I enjoy it as well. In El Salvador we've had cloudy skies all day but still no rain only a few isolated showers near the coast, I think the rains will increase tonight through tomorrow, let's wait and see.

[cycloneye]

More rain is on tap for Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands as trough and wave interact.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT AXIS WILL REMAIN LOCATED JUST WEST THROUGH NORTH
OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE BEING REPLACED
BY A SECOND TROUGH AXIS SWINGING SOUTH ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION
LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. A LOW
TO MID LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT REFLECTION) EXTENDING ACROSS WESTERN
PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE...WILL
CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF LOCAL AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AFOREMENTIONED LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT
REFLECTION) AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FA TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
WILL COMBINE WITH THE FAVORABLE POSITIONED TUTT AND LOCAL
EFFECTS...TO MAINTAIN A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...
LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. BRIEF
SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING IS INDICATED FOR VERY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. TROPICAL
WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL THEN SURGE WEST NORTHWEST
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
PROBABLY EARLY THURSDAY...RESULTING IN A SECOND ROUND OF
SIGNIFICANT CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FA.
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...LINGERING
MOISTURE SHOULD COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS TO PRODUCE SOME
DIURNALLY AND NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF INTERIOR PUERTO RICO AND
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 16 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD
BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WATERS DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 87 77 90 / 40 40 50 50
STT 79 87 78 88 / 20 50 50 50

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

Marcocane,what is the latest on the alerts there?

AN UNUSUALLY STRONG MONSOON TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER
SOUTHERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SW MONSOONAL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE E PART OF THE AREA.
WHILE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE S OF
EL SALVADOR...THE EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS INTENSE MONSOON
TROUGH WILL STRETCH ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THE MONSOONAL
FLOW WILL ADVECT ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA
AND SOUTHERN MEXICO. STRONG W-SW WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT
LEAST THIS WEEKEND...AND PERHAPS INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL SET UP A POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION
FOR CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH PROLONGED HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HILLY OR MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

[tropicana]

Regional Highs and Rainfall (rain is 8pmET Mon-8pmET Tues) for
Tue Jul 12 2011

Piarco Airport, Trinidad 33.5C 93F trace
Crwon Point, Tobago 30.7C 87F
Point Salines, Grenada 30.0C 86F 1.0mm
Grantley Adams, Barbados 30.3C 86F 6.0mm
Rockley, S. Barbados 31.1C 88F 8.6mm

Arnos Vale, St Vincent 30.7C 87F 9.3mm
Hewannora Airport, St Lucia 30.5C 87F 5.2mm
Vigie Airport, St Lucia 29.9C 86F 6.2mm
Melville Hall, Dominica 31.4C 88F 12.5mm

LeLamentin, Martinique 30.5C 87F 8.1mm
LeRaizet, Guadeloupe 31.6C 89F 1.0mm
VC Bird, Antigua 30.3C 86F 12.1mm
Golden Rock, St Kitts 30.4C 86F 3.0mm
San Juan, PR 28.9C 84F 8.3mm

Kingston, Jamaica 32.3C 90F 16.0mm
Montego Bay, Jamaica 30.3C 86F
Nassau, Bahamas 33.3C 92F
Key West, FL 31.7C 89F
Miami, FL 33.3C 92F 3.0mm
Hamilton, Bermuda 30.5C 87F 2.1mm

Hato Airport, Curacao 31.3C 88F

INTERNATIONAL SPOTS

New York City NY 34.4C 94F
Chicago IL 30.6C 87F
Toronto ON 32.1C 90F
Montreal QC 29.6C 85F
London UK 19.7C 68F
Paris, FR 24.2C 76F 4.0mm

-justin-

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
714 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2011

PRC017-021-039-047-051-061-091-101-135-137-143-145-130115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0289.110712T2314Z-110713T0115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-BAYAMON PR-CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-GUAYNABO PR-MANATI PR-
MOROVIS PR-VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-
TOA BAJA PR-
714 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARCELONETA...BAYAMON...CIALES...COROZAL...GUAYNABO...MANATI...
MOROVIS...VEGA ALTA...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...TOA ALTA AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 915 PM AST

* AT 709 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT
OVER ONE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE LAST HOUR AND AN
ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST 915 PM
AST. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6618 1843 6617 1841 6614 1833 6614
1836 6653 1848 6653 1849 6649 1848 6646
1849 6644 1849 6639

$$

ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1026 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2011


.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS...SOME OF THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTED THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO. THIS WEATHER SCENARIO OF SHOWERS MOVING ON SHORE
AFFECTING THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. INCREASE THE POPS AND SHOWER COVERAGE MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND PASSING
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARDS ISLANDS UNTIL AT LEAST 13/15Z...PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDITIONS NEAR SHRA/TSRA. AFTER 12/16Z...CONVECTIVE SHRA/TSRA
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WILL LEAD TO TEMPO PERIODS OF MVFR
OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS OVER MOST OF
THE TAF SITES. EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT AROUND 5 TO 20 KTS FROM
THE SFC TO AROUND 15 KFT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ABOVE.

[Macrocane]

Hi, moderate to heavy rains have fell this afternoon in El Salvador a few accumulations since 12 pm to 8 pm:

Ishuatán 106 mm/4.17 inches
Vado Marin 62 mm/2.44 inches
Acajutla 46 mm/1.81 inches
San Salvador 31 mm/1.22 inches

Green alert was declared half an hour ago only in the department of Sonsonate (that's where Ishuatan and Acajutla are located).

[Macrocane]

Thanks to the cloudy skies cooler than normal highs were registered in all Central America today, the lows were near normal.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 24°C (75°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.0°C (69.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.8°C (49.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.9°C (57.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 22.6°C (72.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 18.4°C (65.1°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.8°C (73.0°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.4°C (41.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 14.3°C (57.7°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.5°C (83.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.9°C (69.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 30°C (86°F) Coolest since March 22
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.9°C (82.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.5°C (67.1°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 31.8°C (89.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 27°C (81°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 31°C (88°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 30°C (86°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.7°C (81.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 29.3°C (84.7°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 14.8°C (58.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 25.8°C (78.4°F) Coolest of the year.
Boquete, Panama 21.6°C (70.9°F)