Caribbean - Central America Weather

[BZSTORM]

No major flooding here today, through North and far south did get rain, thunder in distance right now to my location. But no rain here all day. Though tomorrow that may well change. Heard from friend that in areas of toledo some rivers were over flowing onto the road but was subsiding this afternoon.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Tropical Wave will influence the weather today in Puerto rico and Virgin islands.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
421 AM AST WED JUL 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT REFLECTION) EXTENDING
ACROSS MONA PASSAGE OVERNIGHT AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE...WILL
CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL REGION TODAY.
A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY IN THE MORNING. THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR
DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AS WELL AS ACROSS THE
SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT. A LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH
(TUTT REFLECTION) EXTENDING ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE OVERNIGHT AND
ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE...WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AND
AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES AS WELL AS
MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS...DEPICTED A NARROW BAND OF DRY AIR ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT. THIS NARROW DRY SLOT IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE...ENTERING THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING. THIS SHORT LIVED BRIEF SUBSIDENCE
WILL LAST ONLY THROUGH EARLY TODAY.

TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AND PROBABLY EARLY THURSDAY...
RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE FA. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...LINGERING MOISTURE
SHOULD COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS TO PRODUCE SOME DIURNALLY AND
NOCTURNALLY INDUCED CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND PASSING
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARDS ISLANDS UNTIL AT LEAST 13/15Z...PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDITIONS NEAR SHRA/TSRA. AFTER 13/16Z...CONVECTIVE SHRA/TSRA
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WILL LEAD TO TEMPO PERIODS OF MVFR
OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS OVER MOST OF
THE TAF SITES. EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT AROUND 5 TO 20 KTS FROM
THE SFC TO AROUND 15 KFT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ABOVE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 77 90 78 / 40 50 50 30
STT 87 78 88 80 / 50 50 50 30

[Macrocane]

Hi guys, The rains have stopped this morning but the skies are still very cloudy and we've not seen the sun in the whole day. These are some of the accumulations registered since yesterday at 7 am to today at 7 am, although most (if not all) of the rain fell after 12:00 pm yesterday.

Ishuatan 108.2 mm/4.26 inches
Acajutla 100 mm/3.94 inches
Vado Marin 74 mm/2.91 inches
Suchitoto 59 mm/2.32 inches
San Salvador 40 mm/1.57 inches

And this map shows the rainfall in the whole country for the same period of time:

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
208 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

PRC021-031-033-061-127-135-137-139-132100-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0290.110713T1808Z-110713T2100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-TOA ALTA PR-
TOA BAJA PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-
208 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...TOA ALTA...TOA
BAJA...CAROLINA AND CATANO

* UNTIL 500 PM AST

* AT 204 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THESE
MUNICIPALITIES. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT ONE TO ONE AND
ONE-HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE
ADVISORY AREA AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN. IN ADDITION...AN OFF-DUTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEE REPORTED URBAN FLOODING IN
GUAYNABO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
500 PM.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...
STREETS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS...UNDERPASSES AND OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO
TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1843 6609 1837 6596 1832 6598 1833 6607
1836 6614 1840 6623 1846 6617

$$

BCS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
249 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

PRC003-005-011-013-017-027-039-054-065-071-081-091-099-115-117-131-
141-132145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0291.110713T1849Z-110713T2145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ISABELA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-MOCA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-
SAN SEBASTIAN PR-UTUADO PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LARES PR-
BARCELONETA PR-CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-RINCON PR-ANASCO PR-
ARECIBO PR-
249 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ISABELA...CIALES...FLORIDA...MOCA...QUEBRADILLAS...SAN
SEBASTIAN...UTUADO...AGUADILLA...AGUADA...LARES...BARCELONETA...
CAMUY...HATILLO...MANATI...RINCON...ANASCO AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 545 PM AST

* AT 246 PM AST..NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THESE
MUNICIPALITIES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. RADAR ESTIMATES
INDICATE THAT ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER
PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA IN THE LAST 30 MINUTES AND IT CONTINUED
TO RAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1834 6729 1853 6714 1849 6647 1826 6646
1828 6720

$$

ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
301 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...LEADING EDGE OF TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER PUERTO RICO
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TONIGHT. STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION.
NEXT TROPICAL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL WAVE START TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF
THE METROPOLITAN AREA PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.
ALSO...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL
PUERTO RICO...AFFECTING MAINLY THE MUNICIPALITIES OF ARECIBO...
BARCELONETA AND HATILLO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST
NORTHWEST AFFECTING MOST OF THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF THE ISLAND.
MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...MAINLY PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES PREVAILED WITH LITTLE ACTIVITY OF SHOWERS. MOST OF THE
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL EXIT THE LOCAL
AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH A DRIER AIR MASS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE LOCAL
AREA BY THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...STILL EXPECT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT
EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTION OF THE ISLANDS. NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BY MID NEXT WEEK.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
AREA IN THE LONG RANGE.


&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...IN DEVELOPING AND
EXPANDING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST 13/22Z AT
TJMZ AND TJBQ.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 91 77 91 / 50 50 30 30
STT 78 87 77 88 / 50 50 30 30

[Macrocane]

Finally the government of El Salvador has declared green alert for all the country, unfortunately the alert came after 2 people were swept away by rivers. By the way it has been raining since midday in the coast of the country and in San Salvador there have been a few isolated showers, I will keep you updated.

[cycloneye]

There was hail that falled this afternoon in the town of San Sebastian in NW Puerto Rico.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 15143.html

[cycloneye]

From the EPAC discussion about the Central America rain event.

SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SOME SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW SW TO W WINDS
IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE MAINLY E OF 105W CONVERGING INTO THE
MONSOON TROUGH THAT CROSSES NICARAGUA AND RUNS PARALLEL TO THE
COASTLINE OF EL SALVADOR A GUATEMALA THEN CONTINUES W-NM NEAR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO. AN EARLIER ALTIMETER PASS SHOWED
SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT IN THIS AREA AS WELL...AN INDICATION THAT SW
SWELL CONTINUES TO BE PRESENT IN THE REGIONAL WATERS. PATCHES OF
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NOTED EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOONAL FLOW
PARTICULARLY N OF 4N E OF 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
JUST SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA
BORDER. THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL
BE THE STRENGTH OF THE SW FLOW INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. THE GFS IS
BECOMING MORE OF AN OUTLIER...SHOWING VERY STRONG 40 KT FLOW
INTO A LOW DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN PANAMA BY FRI. THIS IS LIKELY
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. THE OTHER MAJOR GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW A
LOW DEVELOPING IN THIS AREA...AND CONCENTRATE LOW PRES FORMATION
MAINLY S OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE ECMWF AND UKMET SHOW MORE MODEST
LOW DEVELOPMENT...WITH THE NOGAPS ALSO SHOWING CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK AND OVERDEVELOPING THE LOW. EVEN WITH NO DEEP LOW
DEVELOPING...THE FRESH TO STRONG SW FLOW WILL TRANSPORT ABUNDANT
TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO...SETTING UP A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR
CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH PROLONGED HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER HILLY AND MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1047 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

.UPDATE...THE DOPPLER RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE ON SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS THE LOCAL
FORECAST AREA. THESE WEATHER ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED TO A TROPICAL
WAVE...NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. EXPECT MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. INCREASE AND MODIFY POPS TO ACCOMODATE ACTUAL
WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...CLOUDS AND PASSING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS ISLANDS UNTIL AT LEAST
13/15Z...PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS NEAR SHRA/TSRA.
AFTER 12/16Z...CONVECTIVE SHRA/TSRA WILL LEAD TO TEMPO PERIODS OF
MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS OVER
MOST OF THE TAF SITES. EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT AROUND 5 TO 20
KTS FROM THE SFC TO AROUND 15 KFT.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1032 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

PRC015-025-035-057-077-085-095-109-123-129-151-140530-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0292.110714T0232Z-110714T0530Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-CAYEY PR-JUNCOS PR-SAN LORENZO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-ARROYO PR-
PATILLAS PR-MAUNABO PR-GUAYAMA PR-SALINAS PR-YABUCOA PR-
1032 PM AST WED JUL 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS...CAYEY...JUNCOS...SAN LORENZO...LAS PIEDRAS...ARROYO...
PATILLAS...MAUNABO...GUAYAMA...SALINAS AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 130 AM AST

* AT 1028 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL
ESTIMATES WERE IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 130 AM
AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1798 6634 1811 6620 1823 6595 1825 6587
1819 6585 1812 6588 1798 6593 1795 6620

$$

ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Thanks to the rain event the whole region experienced cooler than normal highs and even some locations had cooler than normal lows, especially Costa Rica, only Belize experienced near normal temps.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 24°C (75°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.8°C (69.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 16°C (61°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.5°C (50.9°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.3°C (55.9°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.0°C (69.8°F) Coolest since April 16.
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.5°C (63.5°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.0°C (72.0°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.1°C (41.2°F)
Panama city, Panama 20.7°C (69.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.9°C (57.0°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 30°C (86°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 29.3°C (84.7°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 19.5°C (67.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 32°C (90°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.0°C (80.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.3°C (66.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 27°C (81°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 30°C (86°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 23.8°C (74.8°F) Coolest of the year
Liberia, Costa Rica 28.6°C (83.5°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 10.0°C (50.0°F) Coolest since March 1.
Panama city, Panama 31.3°C (88.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 19.8°C (67.6°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Good weather in general for the weekend in Puerto Rico.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
355 AM AST THU JUL 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE...SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA OVERNIGHT...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE
LOCAL REGION. NEXT TROPICAL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE JUST
ACROSS MONA PASSAGE THIS MORNING...EXTENDED FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES WELL BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION MOVED FROM
EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
ISLANDS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES...INDICATED THAT AREAS OF
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
THIS MOISTURE SHOULD BE ENHANCED BY THE PROXIMITY OF AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THE TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR THIS
AFTERNOON THESE FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECT TO INDUCE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. A RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLANDS FROM EAST TO WEST BY FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...STILL EXPECT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE WEST AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. NEXT TROPICAL WAVE
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BY MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MULTIPLE CLD LYRS WITH PASSING SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE FLYING AREA BTW ERN PR AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS
ISLANDS TIL AT LEAST 14/15Z. THIS WILL LEAD TO TEMPO MVFR CONDS
MAINLY WITH AND NR SHRA/TSRA...AND AT MOST TAF SITES EXCEPT FOR
TJBQ...TJMZ...TJPS. MTN TOP OBSCR ALSO PSBL OVR E SECTIONS OF
CORDILLERA CENTRAL OF PR THRU 14/15Z. AFT 14/16Z... CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WILL LEAD TO TEMPO MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS OVR MOST OF
TAF SITES...AS WELL AS LOCAL MTN TOP OBSCR OVER PARTS OF PR. E-SE
EAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL BTW 5 TO 20 KTS FM SFC- 15K FT...WITH OCNL
HIGHER SFC WND GUST ACCOMPANYING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 77 90 78 / 50 30 30 10
STT 87 77 88 80 / 50 30 30 20

[Macrocane]

Moderate to very heavy rains were registered yesterday afternoon and list night, we're still under green alert but thankfully it has been a sunny morning with nice temperatures and breeze, let's see if the rains return in the afternoon. These are some of the acumulations registered from 7 am yesterday to 7 am today:

Puerto Parada 134 mm/5.28 inches
Citalá 72 mm/2.83 inches
San Francisco Gotera 70 mm/2.76 inches
Santiago de Maria 70 mm/2.76 inches
Los Novillos 60 mm/2.36 inches
Ishuatan 53 mm/2.09 inchs
San Salvador 20 mm/0.79 inches

This map shows the rainfall across the country:

[cycloneye]

I was without internet for almost all day and that is why there are no posts of the many flood advisories that occured this afternoon.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
503 PM AST THU JUL 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT MID TO UPPER LEVELS...FA WILL REMAIN IN FAIRLY DEEP
EAST FLOW FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH TUTT AXIS LOCATED TO THE
EAST THROUGH SOUTH AND RIDGING TO THE NORTH. TUTT (LOW) THEN
SLOWLY RETROGRADES WEST SOUTHWEST LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
WITH LOW REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...BUT INVERTED UPPER TROUGH
AFFECTING THE FA. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL ALSO AFFECT THE LOCAL
ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ATTEMPT
TO SLOWLY BUILD ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VERY BUSY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FA...ESPECIALLY
INTERIOR AND NORTH SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. HAD SEVERAL INTERESTING
STORM CELLS AND LOCALLY UNIQUE MESO SCALE INTERACTIONS. STILL HAVE
SEVERAL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.

EXPECT LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING CONVECTION TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH...BUT STILL EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THROUGH THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS. ALTHOUGH "OVERALL" PATTERN IS DRIER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND VENTILATION SHOULD
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE...TO PRODUCE
SOME CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY. THEN RETROGRADING TUTT AND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
NEARLY IN PHASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...RESULTING IN TWO MOIST SURGES ACROSS THE FA...ONE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND THE SECOND FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT. THESE FEATURES AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL ALSO
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF INTERIOR AND
NORTH PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AND THEN AGAIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 4 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY. MARINERS SHOULD
REMAIN ON THE LOOKOUT FOR BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WATERS DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 90 78 91 / 30 30 10 20
STT 78 88 78 89 / 40 40 20 20

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
632 PM AST THU JUL 14 2011

PRC037-053-150130-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0029.110714T2232Z-110715T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEIBA PR-FAJARDO PR-
632 PM AST THU JUL 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CEIBA
FAJARDO

* UNTIL 930 PM AST

* AT 627 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR ON RIO FAJARDO AT PARAISO
INDICATES THAT THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING BUT STILL REMAINS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. SINCE THE RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS POSIBLE...A THE FLOOD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM AST.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6574 1836 6562 1830 6563 1825 6571

$$

MARTINEZ
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Good evening, we have had very little rain this afternoon thankfully because the soils are already saturated and the rivers are at high risk of overflowing. And now let's talk about the temps:
-Cooler than normal lows were experienced in all the countries except for Belize and Panama that had near normal lows.
-Cooler than normal highs were resgistered in the whole region except again for Belize that had near normal highs.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.3°C (68.5°F) Coolest since June 10
Guatemala city, Guatemala 15°C (59°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 9.3°C (48.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.0°C (66.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.5°C (52.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 16°C (61°F) Coolest since June 5
La Esperanza, Honduras 13°C (55°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 22°C (72°F) Coolest since May 21
Managua, Nicaragua 22°C (72°F) Coolest since April 24
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 21.4°C (70.5°F) Coolest since May 19
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.2°C (41.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.7°C (72.9°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.6°C (56.5°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 29.9°C (85.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 19.7°C (67.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 35°C (95°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.8°C (82.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.3°C (66.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 31.3°C (88.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 27°C (81°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 32°C (90°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 31°C (88°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 25.9°C (78.6°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 30.9°C (87.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 16.6°C (61.9°F)
Panama city, Panama 28.6°C (83.5°F)
Boquete, Panama 18.1°C (64.6°F) Coolest since June 6.

[cycloneye]

Good morning.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...ELONGATED TUTT AND ASSOCIATED LOW EXTENDING SOUTH
SOUTHWEST FROM ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...TO JUST EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME AMPLIFIED
TODAY AND SLOWLY RETROGRADE WEST SOUTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE UPPER LOW HOWEVER IS EXPECTED TO
CUT OFF AND REMAIN SOUTH OF THE REGION...WHILE AN INDUCED INVERTED
UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN LATE
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS NOW NEAR 47
WEST WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD... AND IS LATER FORECAST TO INTERACT
WITH THE TUTT AND AFFECT THE LOCAL REGION LATE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGEST YET ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE NOW NEAR 29 WEST TO
APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES BY TUESDAY...THEN ENTER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND
SATURDAY...WITH WEATHER PATTERN TO BE DOMINATED AND INFLUENCED BY
THE LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. STILL HOWEVER EXPECT
LINGERING MOISTURE TO INDUCE PERIODS OF DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL
CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS. UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NOW IN PLACE WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT
VENTILATION AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL COMBINE
WITH LOCAL AND DIURNAL EFFECTS...TO INCREASE DAYTIME CLOUDINESS...
AND PRODUCE BURSTS OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE EXPLOSIVE...AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THIS COULD AGAIN LEAD TO URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING IN ISOLATED AREAS.

LONG TERM...THE AFFECTS OF THE RETROGRADING TUTT DURING UPCOMING WEEKEND...
AND THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE...WILL RESULT IN
OCCASIONAL SURGES OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY LATE
SATURDAY AND ON SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES ALONG WITH
LOCAL AND DIURNAL INFLUENCES...WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING CLOUDINESS...
WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS
PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MODELS SO FAR SUGGESTS THE
DRIEST PERIOD TO BE SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...IN ADVANCE
OF THE SECOND TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH ALL TAF SITES UNTIL
15/16Z. AFTER 15/16Z POSSIBLE SHRA/TSRA WILL CAUSE TEMPO MVFR AND
EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TAF SITES...ESPECIALLY OVER
TJMZ...TJBQ...TJPS...AND TJSJ WHERE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS MORE
LIKELY. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. EAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT 10 KTS OR LESS FM SFC - 15K
FT...WITH OCNL HIGHER SFC WND GUST ACCOMPANYING CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 75 90 78 / 40 10 20 30
STT 87 78 89 79 / 30 20 20 30

[cycloneye]

Discussion from Crownweather of what is ahead for the 2011 season.

http://www.crownweather.com/?page_id=4557

The latest European model seasonal forecast for August, September and October continues to forecast a large area of below average barometric pressures over the main development region of the Atlantic season. I personally believe that once the first week of August rolls around that activity will pick up very quickly and go gangbusters through September and October. I am still thinking 15 named storms, 9 of those storms becoming hurricanes and 4 of those hurricanes becoming major hurricanes. It also continues to look like that the highest potential for an impact this year will be across central and southern Florida, the coasts of South and North Carolina and the northern Gulf coast from the western Florida panhandle to the central Louisiana coast. Get ready now because the meat of the Hurricane Season is quickly approaching. Do not wait until the last minute.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1218 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

PRC001-009-043-059-073-075-081-083-093-097-107-111-113-121-123-125-
133-141-149-153-151915-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0302.110715T1618Z-110715T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COAMO PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-LARES PR-MARICAO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-SALINAS PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-SANTA ISABEL PR-UTUADO PR-VILLALBA PR-YAUCO PR-
ADJUNTAS PR-AIBONITO PR-LAS MARIAS PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
1218 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO...GUAYANILLA...JAYUYA...JUANA DIAZ...LARES...MARICAO...
OROCOVIS...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...SALINAS...SAN
GERMAN...SANTA ISABEL...UTUADO...VILLALBA...YAUCO...ADJUNTAS...
AIBONITO...LAS MARIAS AND MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 315 PM AST

* AT 1216 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL
LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR
FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST THOUGH 3:15 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1818 6653 1816 6654 1818 6651 1825 6651
1823 6638 1820 6636 1818 6637 1817 6634
1805 6625 1803 6633 1810 6653 1805 6675
1807 6703 1823 6714 1822 6688 1825 6656

$$

EM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1122 AM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

VIC010-151815-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0301.110715T1522Z-110715T1815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
1122 AM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLAND...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 215 PM AST

* AT 1114 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL
LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND GUTS...AS WELL AS MINOR
FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT LEAST THOUGH 2:15 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1768 6482 1768 6489 1767 6490 1767 6491
1770 6489 1776 6490 1778 6488 1777 6483
1779 6481 1779 6475 1776 6471 1771 6469

$$

EM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
PRC039-073-141-151915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
111 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 PM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...JAYUYA AND UTUADO

AT 106 PM AST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
VERY STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER THE MUNICIPALITIES OF CIALES AND
UTUADO...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAIN...LOW LYING FLOODING AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.IN ADDITION...OTHER
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THIS AREA
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
305 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

PRC001-009-043-059-073-075-081-083-093-097-107-111-113-121-123-125-
133-141-149-153-152015-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0302.000000T0000Z-110715T2015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COAMO PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-LARES PR-MARICAO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-SALINAS PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-SANTA ISABEL PR-UTUADO PR-VILLALBA PR-YAUCO PR-
ADJUNTAS PR-AIBONITO PR-LAS MARIAS PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
305 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO...GUAYANILLA...JAYUYA...JUANA DIAZ...LARES...MARICAO...
OROCOVIS...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...SALINAS...SAN
GERMAN...SANTA ISABEL...UTUADO...VILLALBA...YAUCO...ADJUNTAS...
AIBONITO...LAS MARIAS AND MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 415 PM AST

AT 301 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS. FOR THOSE REASONS
THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXTENDED UNTIL 4:15 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1818 6653 1816 6654 1818 6651 1825 6651
1823 6638 1820 6636 1818 6637 1817 6634
1805 6625 1803 6633 1810 6653 1805 6675
1807 6703 1823 6714 1822 6688 1825 6656

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------