Pouch 07L approaching Lesser Antilles - (Is invest 90L)

[cycloneye]

As the last days of July loom,it looks like things in the Eastern Atlantic / Africa may soon start to have well defined tropical waves that may have the chance to develop down the road. I think the ECMWF and GFS hve things on the long range that may be candidates,but of course,long range forecasts have to be taken as they are,but if the models persist after many runs showing it,then we have to pay close attention. The model runs can be posted here.

All sats below update every 15 minutes.

http://sat24.com/en/wa

http://sat24.mobi/Satellite/satir/afrika/af?culture=en

[Sanibel]

That last one kept a lot of moisture as it moved into the Atlantic.

[cycloneye]

So far is a keeper of convection.

[cycloneye]

ECMWF has a Tropical Depression moving over the NE Caribbean by 144 hours.

[Ivanhater]

I believe the wave exiting Africa now is the wave the models are developing near the Caribbean



00Z Euro

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06Z Gfs

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[cycloneye]

Interesting the convection that has mantained with that emerging wave.

[PTrackerLA]

Interesting developments in the models here GFS and Euro seem to be in some agreement that there will be a storm near the islands in a week. Steering pattern looks to threaten the islands and prevent any recurvature...

[Blown Away]

This is the part of the Atlantic I want to watch.

[Hurricaneman]

Im keeping an eye on this one, could be interesting

[Cryomaniac]

Bears watching definitely. (in before a bear picture...)

[Sanibel]

Anyone else see a hint of curvature in that wave at 32W?

[floridasun78]

this the wave we talking about one round 30w? how shear ahead of it ? and Africa dust?

[floridasun78]

other question do it look like a bit too south too?

[ROCK]

:uarrow: other question do it look like a bit too south too?

no it will gain some lat....everyone worries about SA getting in the way....

[SouthFloridawx]

That's a nice looking wave out there...



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-rb.html

[SouthFloridawx]

That wave near 30W definitely bears watching. There is definitely a lot of potential there.

[Florida1118]

I think this might be cindy...or it might be just an Invest, like this fellow last year

[somethingfunny]

I know it isn't an invest yet but my attention has just officially switched from Bret to this blob. Looking good.

[ronjon]

Here's what the CMC does with this wave.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ggem/00zggemtropical850mbVortSLPGGEMLoop.html

GFS doesn't develop this wave near 30W but shows a couple of others forming off Africa in the next two weeks. Could get active here soon.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfstropical850mbVortSLPGFSLoop.html

[GCANE]

Very deep WV with the wave along 35W.

CMC already has it initialized at a relatively high-pressure, borderline warm core.