EPAC: DORA - Remnants

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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#201 Postby plasticup » Wed Jul 20, 2011 6:59 pm

Dora's eye looks to be a little clearer and a little better defined. But the cloud-tops have warmed slightly. She should have another 24-36 hours of warm SST, so we'll see tomorrow whether she makes the push for category 5 strength.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#202 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Jul 20, 2011 7:15 pm

plasticup wrote:Dora's eye looks to be a little clearer and a little better defined. But the cloud-tops have warmed slightly. She should have another 24-36 hours of warm SST, so we'll see tomorrow whether she makes the push for category 5 strength.


I would love to see a Cat 5 as a Dora. Is she the strongest Dora yet?
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#203 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 20, 2011 7:17 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
plasticup wrote:Dora's eye looks to be a little clearer and a little better defined. But the cloud-tops have warmed slightly. She should have another 24-36 hours of warm SST, so we'll see tomorrow whether she makes the push for category 5 strength.


I would love to see a Cat 5 as a Dora. Is she the strongest Dora yet?


The 1964 Dora in the Atlantic had a pressure of 942mb.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#204 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 20, 2011 7:19 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:
plasticup wrote:Dora's eye looks to be a little clearer and a little better defined. But the cloud-tops have warmed slightly. She should have another 24-36 hours of warm SST, so we'll see tomorrow whether she makes the push for category 5 strength.


I would love to see a Cat 5 as a Dora. Is she the strongest Dora yet?


Dora in 1999 got up to 140 mph ... my guess this one will surpass it
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#205 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 20, 2011 7:23 pm

Its certainly got the time to make it to category-5 and it does look like an impressive system thats for sure...

Could get a run at 5 for tomorrow morning when we get Dmax, suspect we'll be in the 130-140kts range by then.
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#206 Postby Fyzn94 » Wed Jul 20, 2011 7:37 pm

KWT wrote:Its certainly got the time to make it to category-5 and it does look like an impressive system thats for sure...

Could get a run at 5 for tomorrow morning when we get Dmax, suspect we'll be in the 130-140kts range by then.

Well, that could be her only window of opportunity.
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#207 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 20, 2011 8:26 pm

Image

impressive and dangerous
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#208 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 20, 2011 8:42 pm

I'd say 125 or 130kts right now.
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#209 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 20, 2011 8:47 pm

Image

taking full advantage of the environment
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#210 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Jul 20, 2011 8:59 pm

Wow what a beautiful major hurricane Dora is right now! With no threat to land expected we can just say wow to her beautifulness.
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#211 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:02 pm

Image

So..."a" word anyone?
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#212 Postby Battlebrick » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:02 pm

it looks like it's shrinking in size.. reason for that?
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#213 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:04 pm

## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) EP042011 DORA 07/21/11 00 UTC ##
## STORM NOT ANNULAR, SCREENING STEP FAILED, NPASS=5 NFAIL=2 ##
## AHI= 0 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##

Not yet, but its taking on some characteristics.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#214 Postby Macrocane » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:11 pm

Yeah I was thinking about it, seems to have gained some annular characteristics: big eye, little banding, very simmetrical, but I agree is not annular yet and maybe it won't be, anyway is such a beautiful hurricane. With that big eye I bet she's a good explorer :wink:
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#215 Postby Battlebrick » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:16 pm

Estimates on size of eye? 20 nm?
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#216 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:22 pm

Battlebrick wrote:Estimates on size of eye? 20 nm?


Looks to be about 0.6 degrees of latitude across which would be about 36 nm (0.6 degree = 36 minutes = 36 nm)
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#217 Postby Battlebrick » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:23 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Battlebrick wrote:Estimates on size of eye? 20 nm?


Looks to be about 0.6 degrees of latitude across which would be about 36 nm (0.6 degree = 36 minutes = 36 nm)

Wow, I was way off! Katrina's eye peaked at something like that, right?
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#218 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:27 pm

I measured 34nm.

Looks like Katrina peaked about 30nm.
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#219 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:33 pm

By this time tomorrow, Dora will likely be headed into the spin cycle...so she better enjoy it while it lasts!
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Hurricane

#220 Postby Fyzn94 » Wed Jul 20, 2011 9:48 pm

The new advisory says there has been no change in intensity. :sleeping:
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