TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ERN TRPCL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 15N28W TO
7N33W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS INDICATE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS AROUND THE WAVE
AXIS. A SLIGHT RIDGE OF MOISTURE WITH ENHANCED VALUES IS EVIDENT
IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 29W-33W.
Next area of interest over Lesser Antilles
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cycloneye
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Re: Next area of intrest in Eastern atlantic
Maybe,we should look more to this wave as it looks much better than 90L.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 10N31W TO 17N29W MOVING W AT 10
KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE BROAD
CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS WHICH
REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A NORTHWARD EXTENSION OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO 18N BETWEEN 27W-35W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 30W-35W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 10N31W TO 17N29W MOVING W AT 10
KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE BROAD
CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS WHICH
REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A NORTHWARD EXTENSION OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO 18N BETWEEN 27W-35W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 30W-35W.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Interestingly I think it was last nights ECM actually briefly tried to get something going with this wave in the 48-72hr mark, weakens quickly after that but worth watching out for!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
Tropical wave is analyzed from 18n31w to 9n35w moving W at 20
kt. Satellite imagery and satellite derived winds indicate broad
cyclonic low-level flow in the vicinity of the wave axis which
remains embedded within the ITCZ axis. Total precipitable water
imagery also indicates a northward extension of low-level
moisture to 20n between 25w-40w. Widely scattered moderate
convection is from 9n-14n between 32w-39w.
kt. Satellite imagery and satellite derived winds indicate broad
cyclonic low-level flow in the vicinity of the wave axis which
remains embedded within the ITCZ axis. Total precipitable water
imagery also indicates a northward extension of low-level
moisture to 20n between 25w-40w. Widely scattered moderate
convection is from 9n-14n between 32w-39w.
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 09N38W TO 17N33W MOVING W AT
10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE
BROAD CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS
WHICH REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A NORTHWARD EXTENSION OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO 21N BETWEEN 29W-37W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.
10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE
BROAD CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS
WHICH REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A NORTHWARD EXTENSION OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO 21N BETWEEN 29W-37W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED
WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.
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HurricaneWarning92
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I dont understand why they are saying theres no convection. I see a small blob of moderate convection.
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TropicalAnalystwx13
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Re:
HurricaneWarning92 wrote:I dont understand why they are saying theres no convection. I see a small blob of moderate convection.
They aren't saying there isn't any convection. They are saying there is no significant convection. There is a big difference...
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
A tropical wave is in the central tropical Atlc analyzed from
16n35w to 9n41w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
satellite derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow
in the vicinity of the wave axis which remains embedded within
the ITCZ axis. This wave is embedded in a deep moisture surge
on total precipitable water imagery.
16n35w to 9n41w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
satellite derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow
in the vicinity of the wave axis which remains embedded within
the ITCZ axis. This wave is embedded in a deep moisture surge
on total precipitable water imagery.
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HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
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- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:33 pm
- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
Re: Re:
TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:HurricaneWarning92 wrote:I dont understand why they are saying theres no convection. I see a small blob of moderate convection.
They aren't saying there isn't any convection. They are saying there is no significant convection. There is a big difference...
Oh i see that. I misread it. My bad.
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 39W/40W TO THE SOUTH OF
18N. THIS WAVE SHOWS UP IN SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE LAST FEW
DAYS. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN
40W AND 41W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 10N TO 15N
BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.
18N. THIS WAVE SHOWS UP IN SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE LAST FEW
DAYS. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN
40W AND 41W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 10N TO 15N
BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.
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HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
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- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:33 pm
- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
doesnt that tropical wave look healthy/strong? or is it just me?...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html
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TropicalAnalystwx13
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Re:
HurricaneWarning92 wrote:doesnt that tropical wave look healthy/strong? or is it just me?...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html
It isn't just you. An earlier ASCAT pass showed something fishy going on down there.
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HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
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- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
alright, so we could still see something off of this even if its a "fish" because it definitely looks good.
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South Texas Storms
- Professional-Met
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
Yeah it looks pretty good right now. Does it have any model support?
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HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
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- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
Im thinking and we call them fish when they dont affect any land areas. If this one is a "fish" it would have to start or pretty soon begin to drift more northwards as it would head towards the lesser Antilles, otherwise. 
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Gustywind
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000
AXNT20 KNHC 261106
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W TO THE SOUTH
OF 18N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 3N TO 15N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.
$$
MT
AXNT20 KNHC 261106
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W TO THE SOUTH
OF 18N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 3N TO 15N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W.
$$
MT
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HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
- Posts: 520
- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:33 pm
- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
interesting... 
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic
A tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles is from 19n54w
to 9n56w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow in the
vicinity of the wave axis. This wave is also embedded within a
deep moisture surge on total precipitable water imagery. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 9n-16n between 51w-58w.
to 9n56w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow in the
vicinity of the wave axis. This wave is also embedded within a
deep moisture surge on total precipitable water imagery. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 9n-16n between 51w-58w.
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