ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

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South Texas Storms
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1461 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:19 pm

The main ball of convection appears to be moving west. Does anyone else see this?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1462 Postby crimi481 » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:21 pm

Yes West. I noticed that as well
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1463 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:22 pm

ROCK wrote:still looks good....RECON might jump to TS by the time they get there if it keeps this up....


They aren't going until tomorrow right?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1464 Postby terrapintransit » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:32 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1465 Postby SETXPTNeches » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:33 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:The main ball of convection appears to be moving west. Does anyone else see this?


I see it too.
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#1466 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:35 pm

Intesting late model runs....that puts New Orleans on the wet side. I know we've had a drought, but, it is over. We're actually saturated now. I've had 15 inches of rain in the last 11 days here in Mid-City....we'll just have to watch, wait, and see.....
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Re:

#1467 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:37 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Intesting late model runs....that puts New Orleans on the wet side. I know we've had a drought, but, it is over. We're actually saturated now. I've had 15 inches of rain in the last 11 days here in Mid-City....we'll just have to watch, wait, and see.....



Alright share it with your drought parched Texans then please!
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#1468 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:37 pm

Bob Breck raised a slight little warning flag for viewers on the 9:00 forecast on Fox 8...basically we need to watch. I hope it goes to Texas, they need the rain more than us....we're saturated in New Orleans after the daily storms over the last couple of weeks....
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#1469 Postby TwisterFanatic » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:47 pm

Give me the GFDL, Oklahoma needs a little bit a rain too. :lol:

25 straight days of 100+ isn't fun.
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#1470 Postby nicole » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:48 pm

What are the chances of this becoming anything stronger than a TS or CAT-1??? :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1471 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:49 pm

:uarrow: Oh I know the feeling of that very well. I would love it if it brought both of us some serious drought/heat relief.
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#1472 Postby gatorcane » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:50 pm

00z NAM. Upper-level winds look marginally favorable at best across the Gulf at 48 hours....look at the shear zone cutting into the south-central Gulf. These are not killer winds but enough to keep 90l in check:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1473 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:52 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
ROCK wrote:still looks good....RECON might jump to TS by the time they get there if it keeps this up....


They aren't going until tomorrow right?


Plane departs at 11:30 AM EDT from Biloxi AFB.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111254&p=2142827#p2142827
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#1474 Postby jasons2k » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:54 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:The main ball of convection appears to be moving west. Does anyone else see this?


It's actually rotating around the larger MLC. It's almost an optical illusion on the satellite loop with the convection popping at different locations around the center. In 12 hours and you look back to now, you will see the ball loop back around towards the north again.
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Re: Re:

#1475 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:57 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:Intesting late model runs....that puts New Orleans on the wet side. I know we've had a drought, but, it is over. We're actually saturated now. I've had 15 inches of rain in the last 11 days here in Mid-City....we'll just have to watch, wait, and see.....



Alright share it with your drought parched Texans then please!


Would love to....I'm aware of your drought. It has certainly cooled things off here....it's been days since we've seen 90F (we finally hit it today), and we could use a break. We need to cut grass...it's been raining too much. Yesterday I had an inch with one storm around 9AM and then another storm dropped 2 more inches around 3:00. There is a chance this could head to Texas...
Last edited by Sean in New Orleans on Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1476 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 26, 2011 9:57 pm

Drought Buster for SE Texas is what the 00z Nam has.

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#1477 Postby sallytx » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:00 pm

Is the GFDL a reliable model?
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#1478 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:01 pm

Not Southeast, TX! I know they need it but I am going to my parents in Crockett for a week and the whole point is to enjoy the country and sit out by the pool all day every day. This would definitely ruin at least 2 days of fun and sun. They need it though, so if this is the drought buster they need then so be it. I will just grin and bear it.
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#1479 Postby nicole » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:02 pm

What are the chances of this becoming anything stronger than a TS or CAT-1??? :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1480 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:04 pm

terrapintransit wrote:Image



Well now...if your following model trending towards Louisiana.

Uh oh.
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