Next area of interest over Lesser Antilles

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Blown Away
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#21 Postby Blown Away » Tue Jul 26, 2011 7:43 pm

colbroe wrote:A tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles is from 19n54w
to 9n56w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow in the
vicinity of the wave axis. This wave is also embedded within a
deep moisture surge on total precipitable water imagery. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 9n-16n between 51w-58w.


Umm, what is the lat/long's for this wave, this says it's along 54W, but the Canadian run has a wave near the islands in 144 hours? Can't be the same because this wave (54W) is almost at the islands??
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#22 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 26, 2011 7:51 pm

Here is the twave approaching the East carib islands...
Image
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#23 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:04 pm

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#24 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:06 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 270002
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES IS FROM 19N54W
TO 9N56W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
DERIVED WINDS INDICATE BROAD CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS. THIS WAVE IS ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN A
DEEP MOISTURE SURGE ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 51W-58W.


$$
FORMOSA
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#25 Postby knotimpaired » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:03 am

Good morning Gusty,

Could you please provide the link for the Meteo France Radar. I tried to find it and alas, could not.

HAGD
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#26 Postby BigA » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:04 am

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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#27 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:19 am


Thanks my friend.
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#28 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:23 am

Hey Cycloneye, as the twave is approaching the East Carib island... i think that the title could be changed. Looking at the sat, nice bursts of convection are increasing and the twave seems pretty healthy this morning. Islanders be aware and vigilant.
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#29 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:25 am

knotimpaired wrote:Good morning Gusty,

Could you please provide the link for the Meteo France Radar. I tried to find it and alas, could not.

HAGD

Hi, how are you my friend? :) Seems that another active twave should cross our islands tonight and tommorow. Thanks to keep us informed as possible.
Gustywind :)
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#30 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:27 am

Image
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#31 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:32 am

000
AXNT20 KNHC 271152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W TO THE SOUTH OF
23N. THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH A 25N53W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO 13N60W. SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W TO THE SOUTH OF 23N.
THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH A 25N53W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO
13N60W NEAR BARBADOS. SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.
THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR GUADELOUPE FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
27/0000 UTC WAS 0.48 INCHES.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL
TOTAL FOR GUADELOUPE FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC WAS
0.48 INCHES.

$$
MT/FG
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#32 Postby alan1961 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:43 am

This may be the next area to watch over the next few days,
GFS fancies it for a few days then tends to fizzle it out
before the islands..one thing to say though..its starting
to get interesting as we approach August :wink:

Image
Last edited by alan1961 on Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#33 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 7:45 am

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#34 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:01 am

The Bermuda High is way too strong right now that it is pushing every storm to the islands. It has been keeping them south. No storm has gone north of the islands... is that normal at this time of the season? and will it gradually begin to weaken as we go deeper into the season? Because if thats the case the entire season, the Florida and the U.S east coasts as well as the Bahamas may be spared this season as well. At least from a "direct" impact. 8-)
Last edited by HurricaneWarning92 on Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#35 Postby TheBurn » Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:03 am

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#36 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:07 am

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#37 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 9:08 am

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Re: Next area of interest in Eastern atlantic

#38 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 10:02 am

it look like area have spin to it too looking at loop
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#39 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 27, 2011 10:04 am

Looks to me as if its being at least enhanced by the ULL/TUTT to its north. Still its heading into the Caribbean and obviously once further west it needs to be watched.
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#40 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 27, 2011 10:07 am

This twave continues to exhibits a very nice presentation since this morning given my untrained eyes...
Image
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