ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

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HURAKAN
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#2021 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:12 pm

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NDG
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#2022 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:12 pm

Pressure down to 1000mb!
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#2023 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:12 pm

1001mb. :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Recon Discussion

#2024 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:13 pm

1001 mbs
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#2025 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:hmmm...r econ did a sharp south east turn... seems its not moving too much right now. center has not moved since last pass



thats not good...for intensity forecasts..steering right now...

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=
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#2026 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

Yes, sorry, 1000.9 mb
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#2027 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

plasticup wrote:
hurricanejustin wrote:Let's get purely hypothetical here...lets say this thing goes into Matagorda as a cat 1...what would Houston be looking at? (I'm in Kingwood - NE Harris Co., btw)

A drought buster, primarily. Obviously the winds would be a little damaging but the storm is small-ish so there's not much worry about surge. Frankly, every home on the Texas coast should be able to survive a Cat 1. I expect there would be some damage, but nothing catastrophic.


Biggest impact from that would be widespread power outages.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#2028 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO

Low-end Cat 1 @ best. Mid to lower Texas coast.


Same here, looking at the forecast steering charts that would be the more likely scenario. And as I have said before the stronger she gets the more likely it would bend to the west at least according to the steering charts.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#2029 Postby djmikey » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

What can we expect here in the Beaumont/Port Arthur area if it comes ashore around Matagorda as a Cat.1? Also, is it still possible for a more northrley turn?
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Re:

#2030 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:14 pm

NDG wrote:Yes, sorry, 1000.9 mb


:eek:
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Re:

#2031 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:15 pm

NDG wrote:Pressure down to 1000mb!



Oh poo poo...!!

he is bombing out....crapola...
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#2032 Postby artist » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:15 pm

NRL has TD 4 now
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Re: Re:

#2033 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:15 pm

ROCK wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:hmmm...r econ did a sharp south east turn... seems its not moving too much right now. center has not moved since last pass



thats not good...for intensity forecasts..steering right now...

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=


SO small vorticity that is probably jumping around, but a WNW track is probably still happening.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#2034 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:15 pm

Looking better than ever:

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#2035 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:16 pm

From the Hurricane Hunter

1000.9 mb
(~ 29.56 inHg)

34.8 knots (~ 40.0 mph)
Tropical Storm

At 20:04GMT

Tropicwatch
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#2036 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:16 pm

75 pages and it still is officially an Invest - is that a record?
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#2037 Postby artist » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:16 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_p ... atest.html
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#2038 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:16 pm

Would they upgrade to DON on the pressure readings alone, even if the TS force wind readings are rain contaminated as they call it?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#2039 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:17 pm

Rock is the winner today...dropped the 1st "bomb" word!
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Re:

#2040 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:17 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Would they upgrade to DON on the pressure readings alone, even if the TS force wind readings are rain contaminated as they call it?


Not likely, there have been depressions <1000mb before.
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