Starting to look like this system is trying to develop an inner core, right in time for it to go over the eddy...
Reminds me of the way Barry in 2007 dropped into the convection, only lasted 6-9hrs but it actually strengthened alot in that time...
ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion
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TheEuropean
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Re: ATL: DON - Recon
000
URNT15 KWBC 282244
NOAA2 0304A DON HDOB 17 20110728
223430 2249N 09203W 7509 02571 0098 +137 +074 276012 013 026 005 00
223500 2248N 09201W 7510 02570 0098 +137 +070 273010 011 024 005 00
223530 2247N 09159W 7511 02570 0100 +134 +070 274010 010 023 001 00
223600 2246N 09157W 7511 02570 0101 +134 +059 262010 010 021 001 00
223630 2245N 09155W 7509 02571 0100 +135 +066 264009 010 023 002 00
223700 2244N 09153W 7512 02567 0101 +133 +072 270011 012 023 001 00
223730 2243N 09152W 7513 02566 0102 +132 +068 277013 014 021 001 00
223800 2242N 09150W 7511 02569 0101 +133 +077 274010 012 019 000 00
223830 2241N 09148W 7511 02570 0104 +132 +064 261010 011 019 000 00
223900 2240N 09146W 7510 02571 0101 +134 +071 269008 009 019 000 00
223930 2239N 09144W 7511 02570 0102 +134 +070 275010 010 019 000 00
224000 2238N 09142W 7509 02573 0101 +137 +060 257010 012 016 000 00
224030 2237N 09140W 7508 02574 0102 +137 +050 258012 012 015 000 03
224100 2237N 09137W 7511 02571 0103 +136 +048 252013 014 /// /// 03
224130 2239N 09136W 7513 02568 0101 +137 +049 247013 014 /// /// 03
224200 2241N 09137W 7511 02570 0103 +133 +067 251009 011 /// /// 03
224230 2242N 09139W 7512 02568 0103 +131 +084 260008 008 /// /// 03
224300 2241N 09141W 7512 02570 0104 +130 +084 271007 008 /// /// 03
224330 2239N 09141W 7512 02568 0102 +133 +073 264008 008 /// /// 03
224400 2237N 09140W 7510 02571 0100 +138 +052 256011 011 /// /// 03
URNT15 KWBC 282244
NOAA2 0304A DON HDOB 17 20110728
223430 2249N 09203W 7509 02571 0098 +137 +074 276012 013 026 005 00
223500 2248N 09201W 7510 02570 0098 +137 +070 273010 011 024 005 00
223530 2247N 09159W 7511 02570 0100 +134 +070 274010 010 023 001 00
223600 2246N 09157W 7511 02570 0101 +134 +059 262010 010 021 001 00
223630 2245N 09155W 7509 02571 0100 +135 +066 264009 010 023 002 00
223700 2244N 09153W 7512 02567 0101 +133 +072 270011 012 023 001 00
223730 2243N 09152W 7513 02566 0102 +132 +068 277013 014 021 001 00
223800 2242N 09150W 7511 02569 0101 +133 +077 274010 012 019 000 00
223830 2241N 09148W 7511 02570 0104 +132 +064 261010 011 019 000 00
223900 2240N 09146W 7510 02571 0101 +134 +071 269008 009 019 000 00
223930 2239N 09144W 7511 02570 0102 +134 +070 275010 010 019 000 00
224000 2238N 09142W 7509 02573 0101 +137 +060 257010 012 016 000 00
224030 2237N 09140W 7508 02574 0102 +137 +050 258012 012 015 000 03
224100 2237N 09137W 7511 02571 0103 +136 +048 252013 014 /// /// 03
224130 2239N 09136W 7513 02568 0101 +137 +049 247013 014 /// /// 03
224200 2241N 09137W 7511 02570 0103 +133 +067 251009 011 /// /// 03
224230 2242N 09139W 7512 02568 0103 +131 +084 260008 008 /// /// 03
224300 2241N 09141W 7512 02570 0104 +130 +084 271007 008 /// /// 03
224330 2239N 09141W 7512 02568 0102 +133 +073 264008 008 /// /// 03
224400 2237N 09140W 7510 02571 0100 +138 +052 256011 011 /// /// 03
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Air Force Met
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Re:
KWT wrote:Starting to look like this system is trying to develop an inner core, right in time for it to go over the eddy...
Reminds me of the way Barry in 2007 dropped into the convection, only lasted 6-9hrs but it actually strengthened alot in that time...
Yep...there are WAY too many people of little faith....including Jack Beven
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Two planes in the system, its good to see this happening again, been too long!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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TheEuropean
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Re: ATL: DON - Recon Discussion
I can post the obs for the NOAA plane for one or two more hours.
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Air Force Met
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
TexWx wrote:Is that High still progged to move east?
It did move east...and is already moving back west.
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Re: Re:
Air Force Met wrote:Yep...there are WAY too many people of little faith....including Jack Beven
I lost faith as well to be fair, but I always mentioned that if it did lose the shear the system could ramp up quickly given how much its been bursting.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Dave
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381
URNT15 KNHC 282252
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 07 20110728
224200 2840N 08939W 5018 05896 0351 -048 -064 139009 010 035 004 00
224230 2837N 08940W 5024 05883 0349 -043 -066 120010 012 031 005 00
224300 2835N 08940W 5016 05902 0352 -050 -065 113010 011 030 003 00
224330 2833N 08941W 5020 05894 0351 -050 -063 137009 011 029 001 00
224400 2830N 08942W 5019 05893 0349 -050 -061 116009 012 026 001 00
224430 2828N 08943W 5019 05895 0350 -047 -066 091014 015 026 001 00
224500 2825N 08944W 5019 05895 0351 -046 -071 094016 017 027 001 00
224530 2823N 08945W 5020 05893 0350 -045 -068 095015 016 030 001 00
224600 2821N 08946W 5017 05898 0351 -046 -071 094014 015 039 010 00
224630 2818N 08947W 5020 05894 0351 -049 -065 103010 012 040 006 00
224700 2816N 08948W 5020 05889 0348 -044 -059 095007 010 040 007 00
224730 2813N 08948W 5022 05888 0351 -047 -050 103010 011 036 010 00
224800 2811N 08949W 5145 05711 0349 -039 -045 085007 008 036 003 03
224830 2808N 08949W 5331 05426 0331 -024 -027 077006 008 035 004 03
224900 2806N 08949W 5490 05191 0315 -012 -014 098010 013 036 004 00
224930 2804N 08949W 5688 04908 0143 +000 -002 105010 011 036 005 00
225000 2802N 08950W 5844 04685 0171 -005 //// 141008 010 034 005 01
225030 2759N 08950W 5981 04499 0182 +002 //// 151001 004 034 005 01
225100 2757N 08950W 6119 04311 0172 +017 //// 081002 002 034 006 01
225130 2755N 08950W 6246 04143 0175 +026 //// 114005 007 035 007 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 282252
AF307 0404A DON HDOB 07 20110728
224200 2840N 08939W 5018 05896 0351 -048 -064 139009 010 035 004 00
224230 2837N 08940W 5024 05883 0349 -043 -066 120010 012 031 005 00
224300 2835N 08940W 5016 05902 0352 -050 -065 113010 011 030 003 00
224330 2833N 08941W 5020 05894 0351 -050 -063 137009 011 029 001 00
224400 2830N 08942W 5019 05893 0349 -050 -061 116009 012 026 001 00
224430 2828N 08943W 5019 05895 0350 -047 -066 091014 015 026 001 00
224500 2825N 08944W 5019 05895 0351 -046 -071 094016 017 027 001 00
224530 2823N 08945W 5020 05893 0350 -045 -068 095015 016 030 001 00
224600 2821N 08946W 5017 05898 0351 -046 -071 094014 015 039 010 00
224630 2818N 08947W 5020 05894 0351 -049 -065 103010 012 040 006 00
224700 2816N 08948W 5020 05889 0348 -044 -059 095007 010 040 007 00
224730 2813N 08948W 5022 05888 0351 -047 -050 103010 011 036 010 00
224800 2811N 08949W 5145 05711 0349 -039 -045 085007 008 036 003 03
224830 2808N 08949W 5331 05426 0331 -024 -027 077006 008 035 004 03
224900 2806N 08949W 5490 05191 0315 -012 -014 098010 013 036 004 00
224930 2804N 08949W 5688 04908 0143 +000 -002 105010 011 036 005 00
225000 2802N 08950W 5844 04685 0171 -005 //// 141008 010 034 005 01
225030 2759N 08950W 5981 04499 0182 +002 //// 151001 004 034 005 01
225100 2757N 08950W 6119 04311 0172 +017 //// 081002 002 034 006 01
225130 2755N 08950W 6246 04143 0175 +026 //// 114005 007 035 007 01
$$
;
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SouthDadeFish
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:I wouldn't put a lot of faith in the NOAA2 numbers unless AF307 confirms them.
Which numbers? and why not?
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CrazyC83
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Re: Re:
SouthDadeFish wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:I wouldn't put a lot of faith in the NOAA2 numbers unless AF307 confirms them.
Which numbers? and why not?
The supposed 66 kt SFMR winds.
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SouthDadeFish
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Very impressive convection firing especially for this time of the day:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
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TheEuropean
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Re: ATL: DON - Recon
000
URNT15 KWBC 282254
NOAA2 0304A DON HDOB 18 20110728
224430 2237N 09138W 7512 02570 0102 +137 +050 254012 012 /// /// 03
224500 2238N 09136W 7511 02572 0103 +135 +049 247013 013 /// /// 03
224530 2240N 09136W 7513 02568 0101 +136 +051 247012 013 /// /// 03
224600 2241N 09137W 7512 02568 0101 +134 +073 245008 009 /// /// 03
224630 2242N 09139W 7512 02568 0101 +132 +083 265006 007 /// /// 03
224700 2241N 09140W 7511 02568 0103 +130 +080 273008 008 /// /// 03
224730 2239N 09141W 7511 02568 0100 +135 +066 259009 010 /// /// 03
224800 2237N 09139W 7510 02572 0100 +138 +050 255011 011 /// /// 03
224830 2237N 09137W 7511 02571 0104 +134 +050 253011 012 /// /// 03
224900 2238N 09135W 7511 02571 0104 +135 +048 248013 013 /// /// 03
224930 2240N 09135W 7511 02568 0102 +135 +054 248011 012 /// /// 03
225000 2242N 09136W 7510 02570 0102 +131 +079 248008 009 /// /// 03
225030 2242N 09138W 7512 02567 0101 +133 +083 266006 007 /// /// 03
225100 2241N 09140W 7510 02571 0103 +131 +082 279007 008 /// /// 03
225130 2239N 09141W 7511 02570 0101 +134 +072 263008 008 /// /// 03
225200 2237N 09141W 7509 02573 0100 +138 +052 253010 010 /// /// 03
225230 2235N 09139W 7511 02571 0106 +133 +048 250009 009 /// /// 03
225300 2235N 09137W 7511 02571 0113 +127 +051 246010 010 /// /// 03
225330 2235N 09135W 7512 02571 0116 +125 +050 235010 010 /// /// 03
225400 2237N 09133W 7510 02574 0114 +128 +051 230011 011 /// /// 03
URNT15 KWBC 282254
NOAA2 0304A DON HDOB 18 20110728
224430 2237N 09138W 7512 02570 0102 +137 +050 254012 012 /// /// 03
224500 2238N 09136W 7511 02572 0103 +135 +049 247013 013 /// /// 03
224530 2240N 09136W 7513 02568 0101 +136 +051 247012 013 /// /// 03
224600 2241N 09137W 7512 02568 0101 +134 +073 245008 009 /// /// 03
224630 2242N 09139W 7512 02568 0101 +132 +083 265006 007 /// /// 03
224700 2241N 09140W 7511 02568 0103 +130 +080 273008 008 /// /// 03
224730 2239N 09141W 7511 02568 0100 +135 +066 259009 010 /// /// 03
224800 2237N 09139W 7510 02572 0100 +138 +050 255011 011 /// /// 03
224830 2237N 09137W 7511 02571 0104 +134 +050 253011 012 /// /// 03
224900 2238N 09135W 7511 02571 0104 +135 +048 248013 013 /// /// 03
224930 2240N 09135W 7511 02568 0102 +135 +054 248011 012 /// /// 03
225000 2242N 09136W 7510 02570 0102 +131 +079 248008 009 /// /// 03
225030 2242N 09138W 7512 02567 0101 +133 +083 266006 007 /// /// 03
225100 2241N 09140W 7510 02571 0103 +131 +082 279007 008 /// /// 03
225130 2239N 09141W 7511 02570 0101 +134 +072 263008 008 /// /// 03
225200 2237N 09141W 7509 02573 0100 +138 +052 253010 010 /// /// 03
225230 2235N 09139W 7511 02571 0106 +133 +048 250009 009 /// /// 03
225300 2235N 09137W 7511 02571 0113 +127 +051 246010 010 /// /// 03
225330 2235N 09135W 7512 02571 0116 +125 +050 235010 010 /// /// 03
225400 2237N 09133W 7510 02574 0114 +128 +051 230011 011 /// /// 03
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Dave
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Re: Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:SouthDadeFish wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:I wouldn't put a lot of faith in the NOAA2 numbers unless AF307 confirms them.
Which numbers? and why not?
The supposed 66 kt SFMR winds.
Multiple flags on that one...we'll see if 307 can find anything like it...w/o flags.
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