Caribbean - Central America Weather

[msbee]

be careful of those rains Macro.
people here are watching 91-L very carefully.
i wonder where Gusty is. hope he is paying attention. ( of course I know he is )
91-L may come closer to him than me.

[cycloneye]

In Puerto Rico,the authoritities are monitering the situation and will make announcements as conditions warrant later today or tonight.

[Gustywind]

be careful of those rains Macro.
people here are watching 91-L very carefully.
i wonder where Gusty is. hope he is paying attention. ( of course I know he is )
91-L may come closer to him than me.

Thanks Msbee i'm there . Meteo-France has begun slowly but surely to emphasize in the latest of the morning. Yeah if this trends continue 91L should be closer to me than you but given the pretty large and impressive size of this feature i advice all the Leewards to be aware. Let's wait and see...

[Gustywind]

In Puerto Rico,the authoritities are monitering the situation and will make announcements as conditions warrant later today or tonight.

Ok thanks for this info Luis .

[Gustywind]

[msbee]

Note from Crownweather Facebook page:

PLEASE PASS THIS ON TO ALL FAMILY & FRIENDS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN
by Crown Weather Services on Saturday, July 30, 2011 at 10:52am

Let everyone you know in the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico know that Invest 91L is expected to slow down in forward speed just as it nears the Lesser Antilles & this is where it may quickly intensify. If the NHC waits for recon to upgrade this (tomorrow afternoon), it will give much less time to prepare, much like what happened with Tomas from last year. The impact from this system as a strong TS or a hurricane will be starting Mon afternoon across the Leeward Islands & starting Tue afternoon for the US Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands. So, prepare today for a possible impact from this potential strong TS or hurricane.

[caribepr]

Note from Crownweather Facebook page:

PLEASE PASS THIS ON TO ALL FAMILY & FRIENDS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN
by Crown Weather Services on Saturday, July 30, 2011 at 10:52am

Let everyone you know in the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico know that Invest 91L is expected to slow down in forward speed just as it nears the Lesser Antilles & this is where it may quickly intensify. If the NHC waits for recon to upgrade this (tomorrow afternoon), it will give much less time to prepare, much like what happened with Tomas from last year. The impact from this system as a strong TS or a hurricane will be starting Mon afternoon across the Leeward Islands & starting Tue afternoon for the US Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands. So, prepare today for a possible impact from this potential strong TS or hurricane.

Thanks, ms bee!! I didn't know they had an fb page.

[Gustywind]

Note from Crownweather Facebook page:

PLEASE PASS THIS ON TO ALL FAMILY & FRIENDS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN
by Crown Weather Services on Saturday, July 30, 2011 at 10:52am

Let everyone you know in the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico know that Invest 91L is expected to slow down in forward speed just as it nears the Lesser Antilles & this is where it may quickly intensify. If the NHC waits for recon to upgrade this (tomorrow afternoon), it will give much less time to prepare, much like what happened with Tomas from last year. The impact from this system as a strong TS or a hurricane will be starting Mon afternoon across the Leeward Islands & starting Tue afternoon for the US Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands. So, prepare today for a possible impact from this potential strong TS or hurricane.

Interresting analysis, very good point. Let's begin the preparations carefully as 91L does not want to give up...

[crownweather]

Yep, we do have a Facebook page. Our FB page address is http://www.facebook.com/pages/Crown-Wea ... 7286264871 . Thanks for posting our lastest post msbee!!

[cycloneye]

Thank you Rob for the updates to us who live in the NE Caribbean.

[Gustywind]

Friends of Dominica monitoring closely 91L ...
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... nica.shtml

- Tropical depression approaching



•By Lisette Stevens <jaco.lass at gmail.com>
•Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 05:03:11 -0700

Today we have woken up to blue sky with patchy sunshine. There is a heavy scent on the air of moisture. The valley is eerily silent! On a normal day we would have several trucks with workers going to their gardens going past our home. Since about 6.0 p.m. last night we have not heard one vehicle on the road! We live about quarter of a mile from anyone so it really feels very strange. We will have to get used to this for quite a while we think as it is not going to be easy to repair all the damage that has been done to the valley and the bridge; it will probably be months!! We only have two ways now to get to town! The Warner road or Ponte Casse. We are now very disturbed to see that we could be getting our first hurricane of the season by next Tuesday and it could be coming directly at us and the Leaward Islands. This we feel would be a catastrophe for us in Dominica! The soil is already saturated with water if we get anymore rain we definitely will get landslides. It could be extremely serious for us as both the Warner road and the Ponte Casse road are prone to landslides. All we can do is really pray that the weather system in the Atlantic dissipates!! We are going to town today and will make sure we do a great deal of stocking up on everything!!

[msbee]

Yep, we do have a Facebook page. Our FB page address is http://www.facebook.com/pages/Crown-Wea ... 7286264871 . Thanks for posting our lastest post msbee!!

thank you for your updates! Grateful for the information

[cycloneye]

80%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES CONTINUE
TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

[CrazyC83]

Hope everyone is prepared! Prepare for a hurricane folks!

[Gustywind]

Hope everyone is prepared! Prepare for a hurricane folks!

Thanks my friend. Guadeloupe has not begun its preparation but tommorow i think that the authorities should start it as 91L continues it trips near the Lesser Antilles.

[Gustywind]

[msbee]

Hope everyone is prepared! Prepare for a hurricane folks!

Thanks my friend. Guadeloupe has not begun its preparation but tommorow i think that the authorities should start it as 91L continues it trips near the Lesser Antilles.

same thing here Gusty.. they issued a statement telling us to monitor forecasts but that's all so far.

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 PM AST SAT JUL 30 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL REGION THROUGH
MONDAY. LOOKING AHEAD...A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT
900 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON..IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DEVELOP AND THEN ENTER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
GENERATING RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ALSO CU LINES
DEVELOPED OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE CU LINES STRETCH
WEST AFFECTING THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

A DRYER AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE LOCAL AREA LATER TONIGHT
LIMITING THE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MONDAY. TONIGHT...EXPECT
ISOLATED SHOWERS TO AFFECT THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO.THIS WEATHER PATTERN WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF PUERTO RICO ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED AT AROUND 48 W.
THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER A MUCH FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO BE NEAR OUR LOCAL
FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL CONTINUE TO ACROSS MOST OF THE TAF SITES
THROUGH AT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SHWRS AND TSTMS ARE AFFECTING PARTS
OF THE PR THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY THE EAST...INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF PR. VCSH/VCTS INCLUDED FOR TJSJ AND TJBQ.
PERIODS OF MVFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE PSBL UNTIL
30/23Z IN PASSING SHRA/TSRA...PARTICULARLY OVER TJMZ. LLVL WINDS ARE
MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 20 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR TSTM.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. THE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL
QUICKLY DETERIORATE ON MONDAY NIGH AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES
CLOSER TO OUR LOCAL FORECAST AREA. MARINERS NEED TO MONITOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NOW LOCATED AT AROUND 48W.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 90 78 90 / 30 30 20 20
STT 79 90 81 91 / 20 20 40 40

[Gustywind]