177N-1189E
So I was right, it will be assigned as an invest. Though appears to be a convection from the monsoonal flow.
WPAC: 97W (Lando) - Tropical Depression
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dexterlabio
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WPAC: 97W (Lando) - Tropical Depression
97WINVEST.15kts-1010mb
177N-1189E
So I was right, it will be assigned as an invest. Though appears to be a convection from the monsoonal flow.
177N-1189E
So I was right, it will be assigned as an invest. Though appears to be a convection from the monsoonal flow.
Last edited by senorpepr on Sun Jul 31, 2011 5:27 am, edited 2 times in total.
Reason: Upgraded by JMA/PAGASA to TD
Reason: Upgraded by JMA/PAGASA to TD
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 97W
JMA describes this as a weak depression:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY.
Surprisingly, some models are hinting its existence.
Latest from NRL
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY.
Surprisingly, some models are hinting its existence.
Latest from NRL
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 97W
There seems to be a spin going on as shown in the latest satloop.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/vsmtsatw.html
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/vsmtsatw.html
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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phwxenthusiast
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indeed, noticed that too... would really really really love to see the Subic Radar from PAGASA to see a rotation there, it's probably the closest point we can get to the LLCC (if there is one)...
anyway, Subic airport reporting light winds and 1006mb pressure, while Clark airport about 50km to the northeast, is reporting south winds of 6G16Kt...
anyway, Subic airport reporting light winds and 1006mb pressure, while Clark airport about 50km to the northeast, is reporting south winds of 6G16Kt...
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Extratropical94
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Excerpt from the 06Z JTWC outlook - MEDIUM
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0N 117.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 195 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AND
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION
SHEARING TO THE WEST DUE TO THE STRONG OUTFLOW OF STY 11W. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CAUSING SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
LLCC. A 310129Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH CENTRAL
10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS AND STRONG WESTERLIES (15 TO 25 KNOTS)
DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING
PRESSURES OF 1004 TO 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED
TO MEDIUM.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0N 117.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 195 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AND
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION
SHEARING TO THE WEST DUE TO THE STRONG OUTFLOW OF STY 11W. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS CAUSING SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
LLCC. A 310129Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH CENTRAL
10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS AND STRONG WESTERLIES (15 TO 25 KNOTS)
DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING
PRESSURES OF 1004 TO 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED
TO MEDIUM.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 97W
Chance looks good, upgraded straight to medium. Hmmm. IMO it could become a TD but with Muifa lingering east of Luzon, the typhoon's outflow will disrupt its circulation and prevent further development into a TS.
Anything is possible, still.
Anything is possible, still.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Extratropical94
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Wow, PAGASA is already at the letter "L" of its naming list and July is still running...
Last year they used letters only up to "K"
Last year they used letters only up to "K"
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
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Extratropical94
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010600Z JMA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 18N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 18N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards!
Clinching counties, one at a time: https://mob-rule.com/user-gifs/USA/xtrp94.gif
- Daniel
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