ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Bocadude85]

I wouldnt be all that surprised to see this drop down to 80% only to see it go back up to 90 or 100% in a day or so

[Aric Dunn]

They are now descending

[hurricanedude]

not really..pro mets even having a hard time with this thing, there about as lost as the average joe at the moment...no disrespect to pro mets but Im sure there in as much dis-belief as anyone

[Dean4Storms]

See lots of arc clouds indicative of dry air, that and the fact that the LL flow seems quicker than the mid level is giving this Wave fits so far as development goes.

[RL3AO]

661
URNT15 KNHC 011656
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 05 20110801
164600 1605N 06103W 5277 05447 0276 -030 -147 089018 019 026 000 00
164630 1604N 06101W 5277 05450 0275 -030 -147 088017 017 027 000 00
164700 1603N 06059W 5277 05448 0275 -030 -148 090016 016 026 000 00
164730 1602N 06056W 5277 05450 0274 -030 -148 091015 016 026 000 00
164800 1602N 06054W 5278 05446 0275 -030 -148 089015 015 025 000 00
164830 1601N 06052W 5275 05452 0276 -030 -147 087015 015 025 000 00
164900 1600N 06049W 5277 05446 0275 -030 -146 082016 017 026 000 00
164930 1559N 06047W 5276 05450 0274 -030 -145 076016 016 026 000 00
165000 1558N 06045W 5278 05443 0273 -034 -143 073018 019 032 003 00
165030 1557N 06043W 5275 05450 0275 -033 -141 072018 018 035 004 00
165100 1556N 06040W 5277 05444 0275 -030 -140 072017 018 033 004 00
165130 1556N 06038W 5277 05446 0275 -030 -139 071018 018 029 001 00
165200 1555N 06036W 5277 05444 0274 -030 -135 067018 018 030 003 00
165230 1554N 06034W 5277 05445 0274 -030 -130 068017 018 030 000 00
165300 1553N 06031W 5277 05453 0275 -030 -127 076018 018 032 002 00
165330 1552N 06029W 5276 05448 0275 -026 -126 079016 017 029 000 00
165400 1551N 06027W 5276 05449 0275 -025 -128 080016 016 031 000 00
165430 1550N 06025W 5342 05353 0271 -023 -127 074016 018 032 000 03
165500 1550N 06022W 5548 05051 0087 -009 -122 073017 017 033 001 03
165530 1549N 06020W 5778 04724 0091 +007 -117 076015 015 /// /// 03
$$
;

[jlauderdal]

when did NHC issue their 100%? I want to know when the 48 hours is up

tuesday

[Blown Away]

91L already over 15N and looks to be heading for PR, maybe skims the N coast of DR?

[ROCK]

91L already over 15N and looks to be heading for PR, maybe skims the N coast of DR?

what 91L?

[SouthFLTropics]

91L already over 15N and looks to be heading for PR, maybe skims the N coast of DR?

I think that would be close to the last HWRF solution that came out...If I'm recalling correctly.

SFT

[underthwx]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_91.gif

latest models

[ConvergenceZone]

Lol... here come the "it looks pathetic" comments... right when it has its best developed vortex yet. People act like this is the first unstacked system they've seen.

Yes, but when some online Meteorogolists start thinking that it's looking pathetic as well, shouldn't we taken listen?
I would think so.

Which pro met said it looked "pathetic?"

Wxman and 1 one other met mentioned that it looked really disgoranized right now
disorganized/pathetic tomato/tamatoe

[hurricanefloyd5]

I have church family in the DR. now and staying for a week will they be hit or affected by this storm?

[Ivanhater]

12z Canadian...999mb North West Florida

[ROCK]

its going straight west with the low level flow...or a bit north of west...

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=

[Aric Dunn]

as of the latest satellite images and surface obs... its likely we now have our TD.... only recon can confirm for sure. but that vort continues to become more defined and expand and convection is developing and redeveloping near or over the center.. its moving real fast but looks like a TD to me..

[psyclone]

Lol... here come the "it looks pathetic" comments... right when it has its best developed vortex yet. People act like this is the first unstacked system they've seen.

yeah, the "it looks pathetic" comment is warranted at this point. i don't think any of us thought this system would look like it does now 48 hours ago. call a spade a spade. it could change but as of now... lame.

[RL3AO]

as of the latest satellite images and surface obs... its likely we now have our TD.... only recon can confirm for sure. but that vort continues to become more defined and expand and convection is developing and redeveloping near or over the center.. its moving real fast but looks like a TD to me..

To be honest I really didn't track recon today. Is this the area near 15.5 -59.5?

[Macrocane]

I don't want to disrespect anyone's opinion but I still don't understand how people were saying that it looked great yesterday when it was a mess, and they say it looks bad right now, structure is much better today than it ever was before as I've said earlier, of course I'm not a pro so I could be wrong.

[SouthFLTropics]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_91.gif

latest models

Whew...We are getting lit up like a Christmas tree!

[Aric Dunn]

as of the latest satellite images and surface obs... its likely we now have our TD.... only recon can confirm for sure. but that vort continues to become more defined and expand and convection is developing and redeveloping near or over the center.. its moving real fast but looks like a TD to me..

To be honest I really didn't track recon today. Is this the area near 15.5 -59.5?

yep