ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[underthwx]

http://i53.tinypic.com/29qired.gif

found this........

[Fego]

oh dear....

The Godfather III: "Just when I thought that I was out, they pull me back in", if I'm rigth. That is 91L at its best

[Aric Dunn]

you know it is rather interesting the hwrf has had the same run 3 times in a row now with basically the same end point and intensity..

[cycloneye]

12z HWRF ends just east of West Palm Beach.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation

[KWT]

As the late HRD Director Dr. Rosenthal would say after seeing a photo like this (after my sitting all night nursing the DIFAX machine) - "Go home, Frank!" - it looks pretty weak at this time:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/vis-l.jpg

Ha!

To be fair weak thing sometimes take on very different looks in the tropics, as I'm sure we all know!

That weastern area is probably the one to watch though, MLC appears to be weakening a little to me at the moment, lets see what happens!

[Aric Dunn]

west wind !!!! pressure 1009mb.. should be upgraded soon I would imagine

dominica
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TDCF.html

Wind from the W (270 degrees) at 3 MPH (3 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Temperature 86 F (30 C)
Heat index 95.0 F (35.0 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 70%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)

[ROCK]

EURO out 48hrs

passed PR and under DR....1008MB...looks more south to me...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif

[Ivanhater]

As the late HRD Director Dr. Rosenthal would say after seeing a photo like this (after my sitting all night nursing the DIFAX machine) - "Go home, Frank!" - it looks pretty weak at this time:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/vis-l.jpg

Actually, it looks like it is finally taking off. Apparent LLC developing with convection firing around it with increased inflow. Got to dig down a little more than just looking at the "surface"

[hurricanefloyd5]

west wind !!!! pressure 1009mb.. should be upgraded soon I would imagine

dominica

Wind from the W (270 degrees) at 3 MPH (3 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Temperature 86 F (30 C)
Heat index 95.0 F (35.0 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 70%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)

Dose that mean it's ts emily now?

[SouthDadeFish]

Aric that wind was very very weak though.

[KWT]

Looks a little further north on the 12z run, system manages to miss Hispaniola this time round...Just!

[RL3AO]

277
URNT15 KNHC 011806
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 12 20110801
175600 1406N 05812W 9759 00300 0098 +245 +198 153024 024 027 001 00
175630 1405N 05811W 9759 00301 0098 +245 +198 156023 023 026 000 00
175700 1404N 05810W 9761 00299 0098 +246 +198 155024 025 026 001 00
175730 1403N 05809W 9756 00303 0098 +245 +199 156024 024 026 000 00
175800 1402N 05808W 9763 00297 0098 +246 +199 154023 024 025 000 00
175830 1401N 05807W 9761 00298 0098 +248 +199 154024 025 027 000 00
175900 1400N 05806W 9760 00301 0098 +247 +200 155023 024 025 000 00
175930 1359N 05805W 9760 00300 0098 +245 +200 155023 023 025 001 00
180000 1358N 05804W 9764 00296 0099 +248 +200 155023 024 025 000 00
180030 1357N 05803W 9757 00303 0098 +245 +200 156024 024 026 000 00
180100 1356N 05802W 9758 00301 0098 +245 +201 157024 024 025 000 00
180130 1355N 05801W 9763 00297 0098 +249 +201 154024 025 026 000 00
180200 1354N 05800W 9758 00303 0099 +248 +201 152025 025 028 001 00
180230 1353N 05759W 9760 00301 0099 +247 +200 153024 025 027 002 00
180300 1352N 05758W 9761 00300 0100 +245 +201 155023 023 027 000 00
180330 1351N 05757W 9758 00303 0100 +247 +200 155023 024 026 003 00
180400 1350N 05756W 9755 00307 0100 +246 +200 158022 023 027 002 00
180430 1349N 05755W 9762 00300 0099 +248 +199 158023 024 028 002 00
180500 1348N 05754W 9759 00302 0099 +250 +199 157024 025 027 003 00
180530 1347N 05753W 9757 00302 0099 +249 +198 159023 024 028 001 00
$$
;

[Ivanhater]

west wind !!!! pressure 1009mb.. should be upgraded soon I would imagine

dominica
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TDCF.html

Wind from the W (270 degrees) at 3 MPH (3 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Temperature 86 F (30 C)
Heat index 95.0 F (35.0 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 70%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)

Since we were looking at it earlier this morning, she sure is taking off

[NDG]

Barbados now reporting SSW winds

Current Weather Conditions:
Grantley Adams, Barbados

Conditions at Aug 01, 2011 - 02:00 PM EDTAug 01, 2011 - 01:00 PM CDTAug 01, 2011 - 12:00 PM MDTAug 01, 2011 - 11:00 AM PDTAug 01, 2011 - 10:00 AM ADTAug 01, 2011 - 08:00 AM HST
2011.08.01 1800 UTC
Wind from the SSW (200 degrees) at 13 MPH (11 KT)
Visibility 3 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Weather Light rain showers
Showers in the vicinity
Cumulonimbus clouds observed
Temperature 84 F (29 C)
Dew Point 78 F (26 C)
Relative Humidity 83%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.80 in. Hg (1009 hPa)
ob TBPB 011800Z 20011KT 6000 -SHRA VCSH FEW012CB BKN014 BKN034 29/26 Q1009 NOSIG

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Aric Dunn]

Aric that wind was very very weak though.

yeah but look at the winds direction all day... very consistent ... for it so switch is either a fluke or the circ.. and in this case with the circ passing between the islands.. it would make perfect sense.

[Hylian Auree]

This multi-vortice beast has led us into believing it was in the process of developing many times before. Wouldn't surprise me if it falls apart again soon ):

[Ivanhater]

Much stronger than previous run ROCK

[cycloneye]

Closeup.

[Aric Dunn]

anymore google images ?

[SouthDadeFish]

Aric that wind was very very weak though.

yeah but look at the winds direction all day... very consistent ... for it so switch is either a fluke or the circ.. and in this case with the circ passing between the islands.. it would make perfect sense.

No I agree with you, just saying the circulation is still fragile. The Barbados SSW wind is also very telling.