Blown Away wrote:KWT wrote:SouthFloridawx, really does depend on the state of it when it reaches Hispaniola and the exacts of the upper pattern at the time as well.
Hispaniola weakens, sometimes severely...rarely does it kill outright though without shear helping out.
Looking at the plots, 91L looks like it will keep moving 15-20 as it crosses Hispaniola then slows in the Bahamas. Less time over the big mountains may keep the circulation from complete destruction?
less organized core and fast moving is better for sure IMO.......just never know...