Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

This mornings discussion of Emily by Crown Weather.

http://www.crownweather.com/?page_id=4557

[knotimpaired]

The newspapers are reporting that only residents of Vieques and Culebra are allowed on the ferries. The Coast Guard will determine if and when they will stop running.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 63.7W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
718 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

PRC007-019-021-025-029-031-033-037-041-045-047-051-053-061-063-069-
077-085-087-089-103-105-119-127-129-135-137-139-021415-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0357.110802T1118Z-110802T1415Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-CANOVANAS PR-CEIBA PR-CIDRA PR-
COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-GUAYNABO PR-GURABO PR-NAGUABO PR-JUNCOS PR-
LAS PIEDRAS PR-NARANJITO PR-SAN JUAN PR-SAN LORENZO PR-
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-TOA BAJA
PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-LUQUILLO PR-HUMACAO PR-RIO
GRANDE PR-LOIZA PR-
718 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...BAYAMON...CAGUAS...CANOVANAS...CEIBA...CIDRA...
COMERIO...COROZAL...GUAYNABO...GURABO...NAGUABO...JUNCOS...LAS
PIEDRAS...NARANJITO...SAN JUAN...SAN LORENZO...TRUJILLO ALTO...
AGUAS BUENAS...DORADO...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...FAJARDO...
CAROLINA...CATANO...LUQUILLO...HUMACAO...RIO GRANDE AND LOIZA

* UNTIL 1015 AM AST

* AT 713 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY
AREA ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM EMILY. SOME OF THESE STORMS HAVE
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY ALSO PRODUCE RAPID RIVER RISES AND URBAN FLOODING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6617 1846 6617 1847 6611 1841 6576
1839 6574 1840 6572 1837 6568 1838 6564
1820 6565 1817 6569 1821 6631 1848 6629
1849 6628

$$

JJA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1006 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

PRC007-019-021-025-029-031-033-037-041-045-047-051-053-061-063-069-
077-085-087-089-103-105-119-127-129-135-137-139-021515-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0357.000000T0000Z-110802T1515Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-CANOVANAS PR-CEIBA PR-CIDRA PR-
COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-GUAYNABO PR-GURABO PR-NAGUABO PR-JUNCOS PR-
LAS PIEDRAS PR-NARANJITO PR-SAN JUAN PR-SAN LORENZO PR-
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-TOA BAJA
PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-LUQUILLO PR-HUMACAO PR-RIO
GRANDE PR-LOIZA PR-
1006 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...BAYAMON...CAGUAS...CANOVANAS...CEIBA...CIDRA...
COMERIO...COROZAL...GUAYNABO...GURABO...NAGUABO...JUNCOS...LAS
PIEDRAS...NARANJITO...SAN JUAN...SAN LORENZO...TRUJILLO ALTO...
AGUAS BUENAS...DORADO...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...FAJARDO...
CAROLINA...CATANO...LUQUILLO...HUMACAO...RIO GRANDE AND LOIZA

* UNTIL 1115 AM AST

STRONG SHOWERS HAVE CONTINUED ENTERING THE ADVISORY AREA. SMALL
STREAMS AND RIVER LEVELS HAVE RISEN AND HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING WITH
THE INTERMITTENT RAINFALL AND THE RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS SHOWERS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1847 6617 1846 6617 1847 6611 1841 6576
1839 6574 1840 6572 1837 6568 1838 6564
1820 6565 1817 6569 1821 6631 1848 6629
1849 6628

$$

JJA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 63.6W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

[msbee]

Stationary, huh?
Come on Emily, move on out!
Be careful Luis

We just had a very heavy downpour here. it didn't last too long thankfully but we got almost 1 inch of rain in about 1/2 hour.

[Macrocane]

Yesterday temperatures in Central America:
-Cooler than normal highs in Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua. Near normal highs in Costa Rica and Panama.
-Near normal lows in all the region.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 26°C (79°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 21.2°C (70.2°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 11.4°C (52.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.5°C (68.9°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.7°C (56.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 22.7°C (72.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.5°C (61.7°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.2°C (72.0°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.7°C (42.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.2°C (72.0°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.4°C (56.1°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 26.3°C (79.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.0°C (68.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 30°C (86°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.0°C (80.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 16.8°C (62.2°F) Coolest since June 27
San Miguel, El Salvador 32.3°C (90.1°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 25°C (77°F) Coolest since June 26
La Esperanza, Honduras 22°C (72°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 31°C (88°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 31°C (88°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 28.0°C (82.4°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 32.5°C (90.5°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 14.5°C (58.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.9°C (91.2°F)
Boquete, Panama 21.5°C (70.7°F)

[Macrocane]

cycloneye how are the preprations doing? I know a guy from my university who is spending his vacations in Puerto Rico and it seems his kind of scared to be in a situation like this out of El Salvador although he told me that the he and the other tourists are preparing for the worst and hoping for the best.

[cycloneye]

cycloneye how are the preprations doing? I know a guy from my university who is spending his vacations in Puerto Rico and it seems his kind of scared to be in a situation like this out of El Salvador although he told me that the he and the other tourists are preparing for the worst and hoping for the best.

The goverment is not working today and they are prepared for anything.

[msbee]

why isn't the government working today?
did they close everything down?

[cycloneye]

why isn't the government working today?
did they close everything down?

Only goverment agencies. Stores,private firms,banks,post offices are open. They said it was for precaution to not work today.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 65.4W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
428 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM EMILY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST
TO WEST NORTHWEST FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. OUTER
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PR AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE OUTER BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY CONTINUED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FROM EAST TO WEST. THESE SHOWERS
GENERATED RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 1 INCH.

MOST OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINED OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS BUT THE SATELLITES IMAGES ARE SHOWING MORE BANDS
MOVING TOWARD THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA FOR THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THROUGH A GOOD PART OF WEDNESDAY. THESE
RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WIND GUST ASSOCIATED TO THESE BANDS HAVE BEEN
IN THE RANGE OF 30 TO 45 MPH. THEREFORE...EXPECT SIMILAR WIND
GUSTS TONIGHT AS THE RAIN BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

THE DOPPLER RADAR IS ALREADY SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE ON
SHOWERS FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE AREA THAT WILL BE MORE
AFFECTED BY THESE BANDS WILL BE THE EAST AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO.

&&

.AVIATION...WITH THE TROPICAL STORM EMILY BEING SO NEAR...WINDS AND
WIND GUSTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY FOR TISX...TJSJ...TJPS...TJMZ...AND TJBQ AS THE
STORM AFFECTS THE AREA...AS WELL AS OBSERVING TEMPO MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITY AND LOW CIGS ON +SHRA. WINDS WILL
BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND
INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH BY TONIGHT.0.

&&

.MARINE...ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS DANGEROUS WINDS
AND SEAS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK ON
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. STAURATED SOLIS CONDITIONS
WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES TO OCCUR.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 81 83 77 83 / 90 90 50 50
STT 79 83 75 82 / 90 90 50 50

[msbee]

Be careful Luis.
Hope the people of PR stay off the roads and away from any potential flooding

[cycloneye]

Gustywind,I saw that one person died in Martinique. My prayers go to the family.

[cycloneye]

Report at storrmcarib.com from St Croix.

Emily's RAIN !
•By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
•Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2011 18:39:57 -0400

Good evening!

Shortly before 6:00 p.m. the first rain bands arrived with a fury. It all lasted a half an hour, but we are told to expect these to be repeated through the night. EMILY has slowed down to 12 mph. This is where it becomes nerve-wrecking. We like these tropical systems to move quickly through to avoid the massive flooding and landslides. Our flat island, dotted here and there with hills, valleys, and mountains, tends to flood easily even with just a heavy downpour, but of more concern are places like PR, the DR, and Haiti. Many people tend to die as a result of these systems especially if they move slowly.
Let's pray that EMILY speeds up and rather bring relief to those places that need it. God bless us all.

Isabel

[Gustywind]

Gustywind,I saw that one person died in Martinique. My prayers go to the family.

Thanks my friend, i appreciate .

[cycloneye]

Good morning. PR is recieving plenty of rain and there are flood reports from parts of the island.I will keep you informed.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
537 AM AST WED AUG 3 2011

PRZ001>011-032145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0009.110803T1000Z-110804T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...LAJAS
537 AM AST WED AUG 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL INTERIOR...EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ
AND VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND
VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST AND
WESTERN INTERIOR.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* OUTER RAINBANDS OF EMILY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO TODAY WITH FREQUENT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. THESE RAINBANDS WILL SLOWLY
SPREAD WESTWARD THROUGH THE DAY AS SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THE
BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING EMILY DRAW TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA. THESE RAINBANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS THAT COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 4 AND
6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
FACING SLOPES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STRONG TOPOGRAPHICAL FORCING. LESSER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

*

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC069-077-085-095-103-129-151-031400-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0088.110803T0957Z-110803T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
557 AM AST WED AUG 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS
SAN LORENZO
LAS PIEDRAS
MAUNABO
NAGUABO
HUMACAO
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 1000 AM AST

* AT 551 AM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS
THROUGH AT LEAST 10:00 AM AST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1815 6603 1818 6602 1829 6581 1818 6574
1802 6584 1798 6592

$$

OMS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------