cycloneye wrote:00z Tropical Models.
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The bam models did not move much this time.. although the shallow looks like it going to do a loop... wonder if things shift more west for 00z
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cycloneye wrote:00z Tropical Models.
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Nimbus wrote:If this were October and Emily was a cat 2 hurricane you know that trough would dig and take her out to the east. The troughs will dig all the way to Panama that time of year.
The trough has already dug unseasonably far south almost to Andros island now. The thing that is bugging me is that Emily is still just a tropical storm embedded in a somewhat zonal subtropical ridge.
No doubt she will get pulled north some but don't tropical storms in the Caribbean often get bypassed by troughs this time of year?
cycloneye wrote:00z Tropical Models.
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NDG wrote:Kory, expect the NHC to shift their track westward, maybe just slightly as we know they change tracks convservative, now that their beloved TVCN concensus model is to the west of their track.
BTW, I think that the 12z euro is slightly west of the current NHC track.
Kory wrote:NDG wrote:Kory, expect the NHC to shift their track westward, maybe just slightly as we know they change tracks convservative, now that their beloved TVCN concensus model is to the west of their track.
BTW, I think that the 12z euro is slightly west of the current NHC track.
I know they will shift it, but it's not going to be a big change...just a slight west shift.
Kory wrote:NDG wrote:Kory, expect the NHC to shift their track westward, maybe just slightly as we know they change tracks convservative, now that their beloved TVCN concensus model is to the west of their track.
BTW, I think that the 12z euro is slightly west of the current NHC track.
I know they will shift it, but it's not going to be a big change...just a slight west shift.
itsahurricane wrote:Kory wrote:NDG wrote:Kory, expect the NHC to shift their track westward, maybe just slightly as we know they change tracks convservative, now that their beloved TVCN concensus model is to the west of their track.
BTW, I think that the 12z euro is slightly west of the current NHC track.
I know they will shift it, but it's not going to be a big change...just a slight west shift.
It's going to be a major shift to the West.
caneseddy wrote:cycloneye wrote:00z Tropical Models.
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Looks like NHC may shift back to the west, but not too much
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