ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[summersquall]

I'm new to recon data (so please excuse me if I'm incorrect) but it looks like they picked up 54mph and 56mph data.

051730 1712N 06948W 8415 01586 0131 +121 +102 122036 042 054 032 00
051800 1712N 06950W 8433 01567 0128 +123 +102 118035 041 056 024 03

[FireRat]

Amazing how things evolve and shape in the tropics. Emily is a bit behind in time as to where it was supposed to be by August 4th according to the earlier NHC predictions...the southern Bahamas. haiti is about to get it today (Aug. 4th) and then move near the Bahamas while still weak probably after getting a little interrupted by Haiti. I would watch Florida now that they may also be near Emily on the 7th if this keeps up. Perhaps it could become a more significant issue for Florida if its forward movement is slow enough that it nears by August 7, Sunday and then head up to the Carolinas by 8/8-8/10. Just my honest opinion.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[SouthDadeFish]

I'm new to recon data (so please excuse me if I'm incorrect) but it looks like they picked up 54mph and 56mph data.

051730 1712N 06948W 8415 01586 0131 +121 +102 122036 042 054 032 00
051800 1712N 06950W 8433 01567 0128 +123 +102 118035 041 056 024 03

You are correct as that data was measured by the SFMR instrument. However, that data was in a part of the storm that had a heavy rain-rate so it is what we call "rain contaminated" and is most likely not accurate.

[brunota2003]

Interesting that the smurf measured winds of up to 54 knots unflagged...but flight level winds are much lower (upper 30s to lower 40s). Also notice the spread between 10s winds and 30s winds...seems they are probably hitting a lot of turbulence, and most likely thunderstorms.

[SouthFloridawx]

What are they flying at anyway? Whats the reduction? The one that ended in 00 wasn't contaminated.

[weatherSnoop]

feel free to take over...just trying to help and not real savy

[TexasF6]

Close to 60mph surface winds acc to VDM on nhc recon page...tell me if my zulu time is off.... i wonder if they flagged this wind speed?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[brunota2003]

I'm new to recon data (so please excuse me if I'm incorrect) but it looks like they picked up 54mph and 56mph data.

051730 1712N 06948W 8415 01586 0131 +121 +102 122036 042 054 032 00
051800 1712N 06950W 8433 01567 0128 +123 +102 118035 041 056 024 03

You are correct as that data was measured by the SFMR instrument. However, that data was in a part of the storm that had a heavy rain-rate so it is what we call "rain contaminated" and is most likely not accurate.

The winds are in knots.

Also interesting that the 49 knot and 54 knot winds are not flagged...I would be interested in seeing a dropsonde launched in this area. Probably convection induced and nothing, but you never know.

[brunota2003]

If you guys see any dropsondes, please post them (on google earth, you can click on the sonde and it'll give you the decoded version). Thanks!

[weatherSnoop]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[TexasF6]

And this seems interesting as well...from NHC recon VDM:

RAPID TS DEVELOPMENT IN SE QUAD

[SouthDadeFish]

Yes sorry I forgot to correct you that the winds aren't measured in mph. Yeah I don't buy those high SFMR readings.

[stormhunter7]

appears your KMZ files in GE are not loaded right... try using this file

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/overlay ... _Earth.kmz

[weatherSnoop]

URNT15 KNHC 040541
AF309 1005A EMILY HDOB 12 20110804
053200 1712N 07043W 8435 01546 0104 +130 +126 134036 039 050 030 00
053230 1712N 07045W 8431 01547 0101 +129 +125 129036 037 052 030 00
053300 1712N 07047W 8435 01547 0106 +126 +124 128034 035 053 027 00
053330 1712N 07049W 8434 01546 0103 +129 +123 130036 037 048 030 00
053400 1712N 07051W 8426 01551 0099 +130 +122 125036 038 048 033 03
053430 1711N 07052W 8433 01545 0098 +129 +121 133026 028 055 036 00
053500 1710N 07054W 8444 01539 0101 +124 +122 150020 024 057 052 03
053530 1709N 07055W 8423 01547 0097 +127 +121 105023 029 055 050 00
053600 1708N 07057W 8433 01541 0096 +130 +121 108032 034 052 037 00
053630 1707N 07058W 8424 01544 0086 +137 +122 140033 034 051 028 00
053700 1706N 07100W 8439 01528 0079 +143 +125 150033 033 048 044 03
053730 1705N 07101W 8426 01541 0079 +140 +128 142029 032 036 063 03
053800 1705N 07103W 8437 01527 0077 +142 +131 142030 033 /// /// 03
053830 1704N 07104W 8452 01517 0077 +142 +135 110015 023 057 082 03
053900 1703N 07106W 8401 01564 0076 +141 +138 109014 024 060 073 03
053930 1701N 07107W 8405 01564 0079 +143 +141 149023 026 060 061 03
054000 1700N 07107W 8461 01508 0077 +142 //// 170026 027 048 063 05
054030 1659N 07109W 8412 01562 0082 +136 //// 175023 026 045 023 05
054100 1659N 07110W 8418 01546 0071 +148 +146 189024 028 037 041 03
054130 1659N 07112W 8411 01556 0072 +149 +145 193020 026 053 052 03

[SouthFloridawx]

I can do some images for a while.

[stormhunter7]

this was the latest data i have... should look close to this

[Battlebrick]

rain rates of 3.23 in/hr.. wow

[brunota2003]

Close to 60mph surface winds acc to VDM on nhc recon page...tell me if my zulu time is off.... i wonder if they flagged this wind speed?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

No VDM yet, they haven't even reached the center yet. Current Zulu time is 0548. +4 hours to EDT.

[SouthFloridawx]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Use this Google Earth file for the floater:
http://tropicalatlantic.com/temp/2011/0 ... loater.kmz
It will only work until the floater is repositioned and then the file will be useless. Unfortunately you can't have an automatic Google Earth file for floaters because you don't know the coordinates to position the image at by automatic means.