ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[tolakram]

Not sure, but looking at this loop:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon

I think you can see the LLC slam into the mountains with the remnants now NW of Haiti.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041730
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 10 20110804
172030 1604N 07114W 8433 01607 0142 +180 +049 165022 022 /// /// 03
172100 1606N 07115W 8426 01608 0138 +180 +052 161024 024 023 000 00
172130 1607N 07117W 8432 01606 0138 +183 +051 157022 022 024 001 00
172200 1608N 07118W 8429 01605 0138 +183 +051 154022 022 026 001 00
172230 1610N 07119W 8429 01603 0135 +182 +053 153023 023 026 001 00
172300 1611N 07121W 8432 01601 0129 +188 +053 153022 022 025 002 00
172330 1612N 07122W 8428 01603 0128 +190 +055 153022 023 027 002 00
172400 1614N 07123W 8429 01601 0122 +194 +054 153023 024 028 000 00
172430 1615N 07125W 8430 01597 0120 +195 +053 153024 024 027 000 00
172500 1616N 07126W 8432 01594 0117 +199 +053 155024 024 030 001 00
172530 1618N 07127W 8429 01597 0115 +200 +054 154025 026 031 001 00
172600 1619N 07129W 8429 01594 0115 +199 +056 153025 025 031 001 00
172630 1620N 07130W 8432 01592 0114 +200 +059 150025 025 033 000 00
172700 1622N 07131W 8427 01597 0111 +200 +065 144025 026 033 000 00
172730 1623N 07133W 8430 01592 0109 +203 +066 144027 028 031 001 00
172800 1624N 07134W 8429 01594 0108 +206 +066 150027 028 030 001 00
172830 1626N 07136W 8430 01593 0113 +199 +065 150028 029 031 001 00
172900 1627N 07137W 8432 01595 0117 +193 +064 150028 029 030 001 00
172930 1628N 07138W 8425 01602 0121 +192 +063 149025 025 029 001 00
173000 1630N 07140W 8432 01597 0125 +185 +061 147024 025 027 000 00
$$

[WeatherEmperor]

is this it?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation

That is the 06Z HWRF from around 8-9am today. I was looking for the 12Z version that other posters were saying had Emily bombing out in the Bahamas.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

thanks! much better!

[jonj2040]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[tolakram]

My favorite model page: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[maxx9512]

Deja Vu. LLC?

[url][URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/804/37349171.jpg/][/url]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us[/url]

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

jumping back and forth to the recon thread. it appears that the LLC is not with the MLC, which is over Haiti. Still need to see where the center fix will be, they are homing in on it now.

[Weatherboy1]

What a system eh? Last night she looked great. Now, even though she didn't appear to make contact with the mountains directly, she's getting ripped apart. Glad I don't work at the hurricane center. They must be tearing their hair out! LOL

[Cuber]

Bring in the defibulator...She's coding!!!

SFT

Emily has a D N R on her chart

[KWT]

I see winds from the north on the western side of the LLC, thus far struggling to see any sort of west wind...

Recon will give a good indication if there is anything left very soon...my gut though is its an open wave right now.

[Nimbus]

Those are fast moving low level clouds so Emily is definitely running out from under the convection again. Tonight she will probably slow down again and gather convection closer to Cuba.

[Skyhawk]

Recon suggest it could be reformed more south?

Simply setting up for a SE to NW pass through center..

[wxman57]

Deja Vu. LLC?

[url][URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/804/37349171.jpg/]http://img804.imageshack.us/img804/1994/37349171.jpg[/url]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us[/url]

That's the area I'm looking at - where the center should be. I don't see any rotation there. Emily is getting elongated SW-NE. It appears that SW shear is tearing it apart. Not sure the plane will be able to close off a center. Buoy SW of the storm has east winds at 20 kts.

[CronkPSU]

wow, basically same exact quotes from 24 hours ago...dead...goner...naked

such a crazy storm...all my fault I guess she started going poof, as soon as I made the decision to cancel camp for this weekend it became weaker

[KWT]

That's the area I'm looking at - where the center should be. I don't see any rotation there. Emily is getting elongated SW-NE. It appears that SW shear is tearing it apart. Not sure the plane will be able to close off a center. Buoy SW of the storm has east winds at 20 kts.

Yep, I'm more and more confident they won't be able to close it off, as i said I can see winds from the NNW but not much else in terms of a wind direction with some sort of westerly motion to it.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041740
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 11 20110804
173030 1631N 07141W 8425 01603 0124 +188 +061 144025 025 026 001 00
173100 1632N 07142W 8429 01598 0123 +190 +060 144026 026 027 000 00
173130 1634N 07144W 8432 01595 0124 +186 +058 142026 027 025 000 00
173200 1635N 07145W 8428 01598 0124 +186 +058 143027 027 026 000 00
173230 1636N 07147W 8429 01599 0124 +187 +057 148027 028 026 000 00
173300 1638N 07148W 8430 01597 0124 +185 +057 147029 030 025 001 00
173330 1639N 07149W 8428 01599 0125 +185 +057 146030 031 027 000 00
173400 1640N 07151W 8436 01593 0125 +185 +057 148029 030 027 000 00
173430 1642N 07152W 8426 01598 0123 +189 +057 153030 030 027 000 00
173500 1643N 07154W 8429 01596 0123 +185 +057 153031 031 026 001 00
173530 1644N 07155W 8432 01595 0126 +183 +058 150032 033 026 000 00
173600 1646N 07156W 8432 01594 0127 +180 +058 149033 033 027 000 00
173630 1647N 07158W 8429 01598 0128 +180 +058 148032 033 027 000 00
173700 1649N 07159W 8430 01597 0131 +174 +058 147030 031 027 000 00
173730 1650N 07201W 8428 01598 0131 +170 +059 154030 032 027 000 03
173800 1651N 07202W 8429 01597 0133 +169 +059 157031 031 026 000 00
173830 1653N 07203W 8431 01597 0134 +170 +060 152030 030 024 000 03
173900 1654N 07205W 8429 01599 0135 +170 +061 156028 029 023 000 00
173930 1655N 07206W 8429 01600 0138 +166 +061 155027 027 023 001 00
174000 1656N 07208W 8429 01599 0141 +164 +062 153026 027 021 002 03
$$
;

[Portastorm]

Deja Vu. LLC?

[url][URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/804/37349171.jpg/]http://img804.imageshack.us/img804/1994/37349171.jpg[/url]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us[/url]

That's the area I'm looking at - where the center should be. I don't see any rotation there. Emily is getting elongated SW-NE. It appears that SW shear is tearing it apart. Not sure the plane will be able to close off a center. Buoy SW of the storm has east winds at 20 kts.

"Captain Kirk and Doctor McCoy ... please report to the press room ... Capt. Kirk and Dr. McCoy to the press room."

[jonj2040]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Steve H.]

Actually, I see "her nakedness" now, approaching Pot-au-Prince from the SE. A definite ring on the 1731 vis image.