ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Kory]

Actually, I see "her nakedness" now, approaching Pot-au-Prince from the SE. A definite ring on the 1731 vis image.

Could post a picture or a link? I have yet to find a satellite loop that shows a LLC.

[RL3AO]

So does anything survive into the Bahamas?

[Steve H.]

<<http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html>>

[Blown Away]

IMO, 17.4N/72.9W, moving just N of W. LLC partially exposed and elongated NE/SW.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

IMO, 17.4N/72.9W, moving just N of W. LLC partially exposed and elongated NE/SW.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

agree

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041750
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 12 20110804
174030 1658N 07209W 8422 01604 0134 +170 +063 155025 025 021 000 03
174100 1659N 07210W 8434 01590 0132 +172 +063 159025 026 020 000 03
174130 1701N 07212W 8429 01599 0135 +166 +062 160026 027 022 000 00
174200 1702N 07213W 8428 01597 0136 +165 +061 158026 026 023 000 00
174230 1703N 07214W 8432 01592 0136 +163 +061 153025 026 022 000 03
174300 1704N 07216W 8433 01589 0136 +159 +061 148023 025 027 006 03
174330 1705N 07218W 8444 01580 0133 +165 +061 157019 022 027 004 00
174400 1706N 07219W 8428 01595 0132 +167 +060 171022 025 018 000 00
174430 1706N 07221W 8426 01597 0131 +168 +059 167025 026 017 000 00
174500 1707N 07223W 8429 01593 0134 +165 +060 166025 025 018 000 03
174530 1708N 07224W 8428 01596 0135 +161 +061 163024 025 018 000 03
174600 1708N 07226W 8436 01587 0136 +159 +061 165026 027 019 000 00
174630 1708N 07228W 8429 01593 0133 +163 +062 166026 027 019 000 00
174700 1708N 07230W 8432 01591 0134 +161 +062 170024 025 019 000 03
174730 1708N 07231W 8425 01596 0134 +162 +063 173023 024 018 000 00
174800 1708N 07233W 8433 01589 0133 +164 +064 175022 023 018 000 00
174830 1708N 07235W 8429 01593 0131 +165 +064 168019 021 017 000 00
174900 1708N 07237W 8428 01593 0129 +170 +065 162019 020 018 000 03
174930 1708N 07238W 8429 01595 0127 +172 +066 175016 018 019 000 03
175000 1708N 07240W 8426 01593 0126 +171 +067 187016 016 021 001 03
$$

[KWT]

There might be a very weak little circulation just about to head into W.Haiti (almost on the coast now), can see some weak west winds with it...whether or not thats an eddy I don't know but the wind zone is pretty small...I can't see anything else that would suggest it has a clsoed circulation.

[ozonepete]

Actually, I see "her nakedness" now, approaching Pot-au-Prince from the SE. A definite ring on the 1731 vis image.

Could post a picture or a link? I have yet to find a satellite loop that shows a LLC.

This shows it best, Kory. Yellow clouds are low, white mid-level and bluish high level.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

[jonj2040]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[KWT]

This loop here, note towards the end the cloud motion about a 1/3rd way down Haiti from the western tip, I'm pretty sure thats a weak circulation there:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=20

Might be too close to land for recon to have an proper nosey...

[ozonepete]

I'd be shocked if they found an LLC now. IMHO only the MLC will survive now and should get out over the water NW of Haiti later today. It could then drill down a new LLC. That's the only scenario I could see where this survives. Otherwise it's curtains.

[lebron23]

...MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA TAKING A TOLL ON EMILY...CYCLONE COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY...

[RL3AO]

...MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA TAKING A TOLL ON EMILY...CYCLONE COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY...

Translated to English: "Its dead at 5pm"

[KWT]

Still should watch it however, it'd be no different from an invest moving towards the Bahamas....if that was the case we'd be all posting with fury about it!

[SouthDadeFish]

Still should watch it however, it'd be no different from an invest moving towards the Bahamas....if that was the case we'd be all posting with fury about it!

Very true!

[artist]

didn't most of the models actually have her somewhat falling apart as crossing then regenerating again?

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041800
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 13 20110804
175030 1707N 07242W 8433 01589 0126 +175 +067 185017 017 020 000 00
175100 1707N 07243W 8429 01594 0125 +175 +067 180017 017 020 000 00
175130 1707N 07245W 8430 01591 0121 +178 +068 167018 018 017 000 03
175200 1707N 07247W 8430 01590 0121 +179 +068 172018 019 017 000 00
175230 1707N 07249W 8429 01592 0119 +180 +069 173019 019 018 000 03
175300 1707N 07250W 8430 01588 0118 +182 +069 174018 019 017 000 03
175330 1707N 07250W 8430 01588 0117 +183 +069 165019 019 018 000 00
175400 1707N 07254W 8429 01593 0116 +185 +069 159019 019 019 001 03
175430 1706N 07255W 8428 01593 0118 +182 +070 153019 020 016 000 00
175500 1706N 07257W 8435 01583 0116 +184 +070 155019 020 015 000 00
175530 1706N 07259W 8425 01591 0114 +180 +070 152020 020 014 000 03
175600 1705N 07301W 8434 01581 0114 +181 +070 155021 022 016 000 03
175630 1705N 07302W 8457 01559 0116 +181 +070 149020 021 015 000 00
175700 1704N 07304W 8587 01429 0118 +187 +070 150017 018 016 000 03
175730 1704N 07306W 8747 01267 0116 +196 +072 161015 016 014 000 03
175800 1704N 07308W 8926 01091 0118 +199 +075 156011 012 014 000 00
175830 1703N 07309W 9112 00904 0107 +208 +079 152007 008 015 000 03
175900 1703N 07311W 9271 00752 0105 +217 +083 147007 007 012 000 03
175930 1702N 07312W 9397 00627 0098 +224 +088 161008 008 017 000 00
180000 1702N 07314W 9421 00605 0096 +223 +092 141006 007 017 000 03
$$

[Fyzn94]

I'm wondering if she could redevelop after moving over Hispaniola.

[jonj2040]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[ConvergenceZone]

Regardless of if there' an LLC or not, downgrade should be coming out from the NHC before too long.