ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[caneman]

Many of the models have dropped Emily at one point or another. First Euro had it going West and then East. Hardly a success for any of the models. If could be argued that the CMC, UKMET abd BAMS were most accurate in depicting the Western motion.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah shes done...... finally lol

[Dave]

Here you go Artist...rest your eyes for awhile.

000
URNT15 KNHC 041920
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 21 20110804
191030 1755N 07242W 9600 00442 0106 +209 +098 125029 030 037 003 00
191100 1755N 07241W 9590 00450 0100 +213 +093 122029 030 037 001 00
191130 1755N 07239W 9596 00445 0101 +214 +090 120027 028 035 003 00
191200 1755N 07238W 9597 00446 0102 +214 +088 120027 028 034 002 03
191230 1755N 07237W 9593 00451 0103 +215 +087 121026 027 033 000 00
191300 1755N 07235W 9593 00451 0104 +214 +088 118027 028 031 003 00
191330 1755N 07234W 9597 00447 0104 +212 +091 113025 026 032 001 00
191400 1755N 07232W 9599 00445 0104 +215 +092 118027 028 031 001 00
191430 1755N 07231W 9593 00451 0105 +214 +094 114025 027 029 001 00
191500 1755N 07229W 9594 00451 0106 +213 +096 112024 025 028 001 00
191530 1755N 07228W 9594 00453 0107 +212 +097 112021 023 026 002 00
191600 1755N 07226W 9595 00452 0107 +213 +096 110020 021 028 001 00
191630 1755N 07225W 9596 00451 0107 +211 +095 100020 022 028 001 00
191700 1755N 07223W 9589 00457 0108 +208 +094 092021 023 026 000 00
191730 1755N 07222W 9600 00446 0106 +211 +095 084017 019 029 000 00
191800 1755N 07220W 9593 00454 0108 +206 +095 084020 021 028 001 00
191830 1755N 07219W 9591 00454 0107 +207 +096 082022 023 027 001 00
191900 1755N 07218W 9593 00454 0108 +206 +097 087022 023 028 002 00
191930 1755N 07216W 9597 00450 0108 +204 +097 088024 025 030 002 00
192000 1755N 07215W 9592 00454 0108 +209 +096 096024 025 028 003 00
$$
;

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041930
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 22 20110804
192030 1755N 07213W 9598 00449 0108 +206 +096 089022 024 029 003 00
192100 1755N 07212W 9601 00447 0107 +212 +096 100020 021 029 002 00
192130 1755N 07210W 9591 00455 0108 +211 +097 103019 020 027 001 00
192200 1755N 07209W 9591 00456 0109 +206 +096 105017 019 027 003 00
192230 1755N 07207W 9592 00456 0109 +214 +094 108016 018 027 002 03
192300 1754N 07206W 9592 00457 0110 +213 +092 097013 014 /// /// 03
192330 1753N 07207W 9588 00460 0109 +212 +092 099015 018 /// /// 03
192400 1753N 07209W 9594 00452 0108 +210 +093 102018 019 028 001 03
192430 1753N 07210W 9596 00453 0108 +210 +093 101019 020 027 000 00
192500 1752N 07212W 9595 00451 0107 +213 +091 102020 021 027 001 00
192530 1752N 07214W 9595 00450 0106 +212 +092 097021 022 027 000 00
192600 1751N 07215W 9595 00451 0106 +211 +094 083019 021 028 002 00
192630 1750N 07217W 9591 00454 0107 +210 +095 085022 022 026 000 00
192700 1750N 07219W 9597 00450 0107 +210 +096 080019 020 026 002 00
192730 1749N 07220W 9590 00455 0107 +210 +097 082022 024 028 002 03
192800 1749N 07222W 9592 00453 0105 +213 +097 084024 025 029 001 00
192830 1748N 07224W 9596 00449 0105 +214 +098 090023 024 029 001 00
192900 1747N 07225W 9593 00451 0104 +214 +099 091024 025 030 001 00
192930 1747N 07227W 9593 00453 0105 +215 +099 092023 024 029 002 00
193000 1746N 07229W 9593 00451 0104 +219 +100 102021 023 029 001 00
$$
;

[Aric Dunn]

Looks to me like the HWRF is abit in lala land right now, I'd be mighty surprised if this system was where it says it'll be by06z tomorrow, its going to need the MLC to relocate and develop a new LLC for that to happen.

haha thats about the only thing that could bring her back alive...

[jonj2040]

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[sphelps8681]

The best thing that could have happened to her with hundreds of thousands of people living in tents in Haiti since the recent earthquake.

[UpTheCreek]

yeah shes done...... finally lol

Ahhh, I can walk away from the computer for a while now!

You did great with this storm, Aric Dunn! Kudos to you! Do you EVER sleep?

[Sanibel]

The Low could jump over and re-form. The rain is still there.

[Kory]

The Low could jump over and re-form. The rain is still there.

Give it up...

[cycloneye]

Note= For those members who have joined us recently,you may notice that the title of thread still says Emily - Tropical Storm, despite the Best Track downgrade to a tropical wave. That is because we always wait for the official advisories from NHC and after that comes,then we change the titles accordinly.

[Aric Dunn]

The Low could jump over and re-form. The rain is still there.

Give it up...

well it really technically could there still is a lot of vorticity... but chances are low.... but you just never know in the tropics..

[Blown Away]

Emily has turned into the famous roach, how many roaches has this board tracked over the years?

[SouthFLTropics]

yeah shes done...... finally lol

Finally is right...Maybe I can actually sleep tonight without model watching.

I kinda look at it this way...Don and Emily were kinda like preseason football games. They are just getting us warmed up for the real deal which is just around the corner. Rest while you can because soon we'll all be here putting in all nighters before too long.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah shes done...... finally lol

Ahhh, I can walk away from the computer for a while now!

You did great with this storm, Aric Dunn! Kudos to you! Do you EVER sleep?

Thank you and everyone on here did a good job !
haha I do sleep actually just in shifts between recon and model runs.. so I get like 4 to 5 hours a night like that ..

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 041940
AF306 1205A EMILY HDOB 23 20110804
193030 1745N 07230W 9593 00450 0103 +217 +101 107022 024 030 000 00
193100 1745N 07232W 9596 00448 0102 +221 +102 111020 022 029 001 03
193130 1744N 07234W 9590 00453 0102 +220 +103 110022 023 028 000 00
193200 1744N 07235W 9596 00449 0102 +222 +104 111021 022 029 001 00
193230 1743N 07237W 9592 00451 0102 +219 +104 103021 022 028 002 00
193300 1742N 07239W 9598 00445 0102 +225 +103 119018 019 029 002 03
193330 1742N 07240W 9600 00443 0101 +225 +102 115016 016 028 002 00
193400 1741N 07242W 9597 00448 0101 +229 +102 108018 019 021 003 00
193430 1741N 07244W 9593 00450 0100 +231 +101 115018 018 021 002 00
193500 1740N 07245W 9597 00446 0100 +231 +102 112017 017 018 000 03
193530 1739N 07247W 9593 00450 0099 +233 +104 116016 017 019 001 00
193600 1739N 07248W 9593 00449 0098 +234 +106 118016 016 022 000 00
193630 1738N 07250W 9596 00447 0099 +231 +107 117017 018 019 001 03
193700 1737N 07251W 9398 00635 0105 +224 +108 139017 017 /// /// 03
193730 1736N 07250W 9057 00963 0115 +206 +104 152022 023 /// /// 03
193800 1736N 07249W 8641 01378 0125 +182 +095 165022 023 /// /// 03
193830 1735N 07247W 8215 01811 0131 +152 +084 166025 026 /// /// 03
193900 1735N 07246W 7878 02168 0124 +138 +073 175019 021 /// /// 03
193930 1734N 07244W 7570 02498 0115 +120 +065 190016 017 /// /// 03
194000 1734N 07243W 7315 02786 0110 +107 +057 221019 022 /// /// 03
$$
;

[petit_bois]

where is Scotty? Who's at the controls!

[cycloneye]

without model watching

Maybe out attention may be turned very soon to the other part of the world.

[jonj2040]

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[ConvergenceZone]

Thanks everyone for all of the contributions on this thread! I learn quite a bit everytime...this was a fun, but very frustrating ride....

I'm sure we will have many more storms to track this season.