WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Tropical Depression

#801 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:36 am

I have a feeling right as we go to cook tonight the power will go out!

#802 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:36 am

I have a feeling right as we go to cook tonight the power will go out!

Infdidoll · #803 Postby **Infdidoll** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:36 am

StormingB81 wrote:LOL!! Atleast you didn't eat it..lol! did you?

I was kind of running in and out of the house (because at this point, I am going stir crazy). Bizarre. Could hear that gust coming long before I felt it...No, I didn't eat it - I made it around the corner before it blasted the building. LOL Like a boss.

I wasn't fully convinced that was the eyewall. Stupid me had a moment of cabin fever insanity and forgot that these storms are, in fact, round!

On Tenki Radar, the eyewall is irregularly shaped and my ears are KILLING me, right now...It's very possible, depending on the way the storm moves and the way it presents on radar that we could be in the eye again. Probably briefly. And this is probably more the true center-of-the-storm eye.

#804 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:39 am

Sorry for the multible post my internet was going crazy..I think I just saw the power flicker..

#805 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:41 am

You know for the last 15 minutes they are reporting win gust over 75..shouldnt they just put thats what the sustained widns are? I mean if it is a constant maybe thats what the winds are..I dont see how these wings can contanty blow near 80 but they call them gusts..

Infdidoll · #806 Postby **Infdidoll** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:43 am

Yeah, right now people are going nuts on the Kadena Facebook pages. Sounded like it was over. Now it's like one big, long, constant gust. I know what you mean.

#807 Postby **ManilaTC** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:45 am

based on experience,

Infdidoll wrote:Yeah, right now people are going nuts on the Kadena Facebook pages. Sounded like it was over. Now it's like one big, long, constant gust. I know what you mean.

Its the real thing now guys! Stay safe!

Infdidoll · #808 Postby **Infdidoll** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:51 am

My ears are REALLY hurting...Husband is trying to find some gum for me. I am SO regretting that I wasn't filming! After 24 hours of this stuff and little sleep, I blame stupidity for not realizing it was the eye. Would have been a great contrast to what it's doing out there now. WOW!

Chacor · #809 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:51 am

WTPQ21 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1109 MUIFA (1109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 25.7N 127.3E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
30KT 300NM EAST 200NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 27.9N 124.8E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 070600UTC 31.4N 122.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 080600UTC 36.4N 121.1E 210NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

That position is roughly 70 km SW of Naha.

Chacor · #810 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:52 am

Looks like a rough feeder band coming through...

Might even be the inner eyewall.

#811 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:53 am

look it the radar all those bands coming up...I think we in for a long few hours now..I am thinking this will be worse the this morning...

#812 Postby **Typhoon Hunter** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:55 am

It would appear Miyagijima station, just east of Okinawa is now dead!

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/amedas_h/today-91166.html?groupCode=65&areaCode=000

Chacor · #813 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:56 am

Based on that radar and doing some simple mathematics, it's not difficult to see why Kadena Weather is calling for 12-16 inches of rain.

Assuming an average rainfall of 15 mm/h (green is 10 and yellow is 20); assuming total duration of rain to be 24 hours; 15 mm/h * 24 h / 25.4 ≈ 14 inches.

Chacor · #814 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 1:56 am

Typhoon Hunter wrote:It would appear Miyagijima station, just east of Okinawa is now dead!

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/amedas_h/today-91166.html?groupCode=65&areaCode=000

Yep, that station reported the highest gust from the storm in the wee hours of the morning at over 49 m/s. Definitely taking a beating.

That's the second station we've lost to Muifa, since Kitahara (Kumejima Airport) station went down earlier too.

Infdidoll · #815 Postby **Infdidoll** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:03 am

Yeah, this says something:

#816 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:14 am

Wind gust have been steady for about 15 minutes here at 70 mph

rdhdstpchld · #817 Postby **rdhdstpchld** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:16 am

I'm chuckling at all the people saying "oh, it's over now...phewsh!" -- even the navy guy "stormy" "we're on the downside now!!" -- yes, that might be true, the downside, as in "second half of the really really strong storm" -- I turned the water on to take a shower and was just waiting for the power to go out...now I'm getting ready to put dinner in and I'm sure...well, I won't say it out loud...

Infdidoll · #818 Postby **Infdidoll** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:21 am

rdhdstpchld wrote:I'm chuckling at all the people saying "oh, it's over now...phewsh!" -- even the navy guy "stormy" "we're on the downside now!!" -- yes, that might be true, the downside, as in "second half of the really really strong storm" -- I turned the water on to take a shower and was just waiting for the power to go out...now I'm getting ready to put dinner in and I'm sure...well, I won't say it out loud...

LOL...Yeah, after seeing the radar and the wind analysis chart, I'm pretty sure we're in for a long night. Those few calmer hours were just a nice little intermission. Grab your popcorn! She's not done with us yet! haha...Yeah, I should have sent the husband down the street for some McDonald's while we were in the eye. I'm starving and really don't want to start cooking because...well...you know...

#819 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:26 am

Infdidoll wrote:
rdhdstpchld wrote:I'm chuckling at all the people saying "oh, it's over now...phewsh!" -- even the navy guy "stormy" "we're on the downside now!!" -- yes, that might be true, the downside, as in "second half of the really really strong storm" -- I turned the water on to take a shower and was just waiting for the power to go out...now I'm getting ready to put dinner in and I'm sure...well, I won't say it out loud...

LOL...Yeah, after seeing the radar and the wind analysis chart, I'm pretty sure we're in for a long night. Those few calmer hours were just a nice little intermission. Grab your popcorn! She's not done with us yet! haha...Yeah, I should have sent the husband down the street for some McDonald's while we were in the eye. I'm starving and really don't want to start cooking because...well...you know...

because that line comming toward us..like I said I have a feeling as soon as I start cooking the power will go out.

dexterlabio · #820 Postby **dexterlabio** » Fri Aug 05, 2011 2:29 am

That must be a long period of wind event. Those winds are strong! Though after watching both video footages Songda and Muifa made by James, I must say the footage on Songda shows more intense wind gusts and sea waves. I guess the strongest of winds from Muifa has been scattered outward but creating a wide area of windfield. The winds that Okinawa experienced from Songda were much concentrated to the center as it passes through the island with occurence of mesoscale vorticity in the eye. Nevertheless, Muifa brought an intense weather for Okinawa.

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