ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[AdamFirst]

What a tease.

I suspect percentages for development will go down at 2 AM.

[Macrocane]

This will interest you:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Ivan

Thanks, I actually thought about Ivan and about Katrina too, Katrina developed from the interaction of a former TD and a tropical wave I guess that's why it was re-numbered but Emily's case may be closer to Ivan, if it redevelops of course.

[JonathanBelles]

Just looked at IR. There is a clear spin just off the southern tip of Andros.

[AdamFirst]

Dropped to 60%.

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM EMILY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. IN ADDITION...THE SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION HAS
BECOME LESS WELL DEFINED...AND THE SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RELATIVELY
HIGH IN THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

[Sanibel]

Pretty curved with a re-firing center burst.

[Vortex]

Nice blow up this morning just west of andros...

[wzrgirl1]

Nice blow up this morning just west of andros...

have a satellite link?

[boca]

THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY
WILL SLOWLY PROGRESSES WESTWARD TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

Out of the Key West discussion. Key word moving west.

[boca]

Nice blow up this morning just west of andros...

have a satellite link?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html

[Vortex]

Shes appears to be organizing at a good clip this morning west of andros..Per Mia radar a slow wnw/nw movement indicated...Light shear and favorable environmental conditions leads me to beleive this is her day...Radar and close-up shorwave imagery suggest a tightening llc...

[wzrgirl1]

Nice blow up this morning just west of andros...

have a satellite link?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html

Thanks!!

[jlauderdal]

Shes appears to be organizing at a good clip this morning west of andros..Per Mia radar a slow wnw/nw movement indicated...Light shear and favorable environmental conditions leads me to beleive this is her day...Radar and close-up shorwave imagery suggest a tightening llc...

you think we can sound the all clear for anglins pier?

i received a groupon type of deal in email from them yesterday $50 bucks of pier food for $25
Aug 05, 2011
$25 for $50 of Seafood and More from Anglins Beach Cafe in Lauderdale by the Sea
68 bought
Price $25
Value $50
Savings $25

[KWT]

Classic bursting pattern still going on with Ex-Emily I see, nothing is going to get going though at the surface with this sort of constant wax and waning type of convection.

[artist]

water vapor image from ghcc this morning

[caneman]

Run a visible loop and you can't help but notice a serious increase in low level cloud flow/build up. Is today the day??

[artist]

latest Cuban radar
http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... p200Km.gif

[SouthFLTropics]

Emily is nothing but a tease to all of us... I'm about tired of here and ready to

[mutley]

Will the blob be over the gulf stream sometime today?

[artist]

Will the blob be over the gulf stream sometime today?

it is getting real close. Probably this afternoon is my guess.

[KWT]

Run a visible loop and you can't help but notice a serious increase in low level cloud flow/build up. Is today the day??

I'd wait for the true vis imagery to come through before getting a good idea where the low level flow is at...certainly looks better then it did 6hrs ago, but then again its Dmax, what do you expect!