ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[canes04]

Per MIA radar, center looks just west of Andros and not moving North.

[caneman]

I agree West of Andros but believe movement to be NW or NNW and not due North

[artist]

Per MIA radar, center looks just west of Andros and not moving North.

remember the angles are distorted on radar, particularly that far out.

[mutley]

I wake up today STILL watching this! This system continues to do nothing it was forecasted to do. Its really annoying and yet I still track it. Amazing!

That's just confirmation that you belong here.

[cpdaman]

Definitely looks to be moving West according to Radar. Looks like after all it could make it to the Gulf. Just great headed for the Keys in a couple of days.

If you look at this animated loop, and the last couple frames, it seems like a part Emily's moisture will be heading NE and out to sea. But it also looks like it left some moisture and some spin behind, backing up what is seen on radar.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/main.html

great loop. i wonder if the whole thing will be pulled north then northeast and nothing much will really be left behind. isn't that what's forecast anyway

[mutley]

Definitely looks to be moving West according to Radar. Looks like after all it could make it to the Gulf. Just great headed for the Keys in a couple of days.

If you look at this animated loop, and the last couple frames, it seems like a part Emily's moisture will be heading NE and out to sea. But it also looks like it left some moisture and some spin behind, backing up what is seen on radar.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/main.html

great loop. i wonder if the whole thing will be pulled north then northeast and nothing much will really be left behind. isn't that what's forecast anyway

Probably. Darn you wxman57...right again.

[cinlfla]

I wake up today STILL watching this! This system continues to do nothing it was forecasted to do. Its really annoying and yet I still track it. Amazing!

Don't feel bad I do it to. I was up at 4:00 checking the board and checking the satellite to see if she's still alive.

[boca]

We wont even get a rainshower out of this storm here in S Florida,its amazing how close it is and we wont get affected by her.

[cpdaman]

well to me it looks like last nite's euro run take x emily right off Fort Lauderdale coast say in the gulf stream around 7pm TONITE

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ECMWF_0z/ecmwfloop.html

[maxx9512]

You mean it's gonna due what it's supposed to do? Ya right! lol

[KWT]

vis. loops makes it pretty clear any circulation at the lower levels is north of Andros Islands.

Ciculation to the west of Andros is at the mid-level.

[robbielyn]

wnw motion 79w and 23.9n way actually looks west now if this cont. it could get into the gulf its nt headed towards miami not yet but if steering currents change then it could still go east i guess.

Ok well i guess i was talking about the mlc vs the llc. man sometimes i get them confused when looking at them. how does one tell by looking at vis what is mlc vs llc? please educate me. thank you

[mutley]

We wont even get a rainshower out of this storm here in S Florida,its amazing how close it is and we wont get affected by her.

It is amazing, isn't it? I've been hoping all week that Emiy's moisture would even make it as far as north florida. We're not as bad off as Texas, not even close, but we could really still use the rain. Rivers are very low.

[maxx9512]

Off topic..... real quick..is that something to watch, the blob approaching the Islands?

[cpdaman]

if this baby went RI and buzzed the coast this board would get kooky today

shear is low.....so is it just a matter of time before the MLC and LLC allign themselves

it's sitting over bathwater

wouldn't be shocked to see this thing REALLY RAMP up as it heads off to the NNE then NE late tonite/sunday

[cpdaman]

looks like pretty HIGH NE shear lies a hundred or more miles to the NE of her

[artist]

recon right now is a go for this afternoon.

[caneman]

Running a long loop on NASA (30 frames) it is pretty clear to me the whole system has pushed NW in the last several hours.

[wxman57]

I can see a weak low center about 90 miles due east of Miami near 25.5N/78.2W, which is about 30 miles NW of Andros Island. Very, very weak rotation evident in surface obs, less than 10 kts. It's moving northward just as forecast. Most squalls should pass east of Florida today. It will turn out to sea to the NE tomorrow.

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080612, , BEST, 0, 256N, 780W, 30, 1011, LO

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest