WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Tropical Depression

[artist]

there are some incredible pictures there of the flooding.
http://www.facebook.com/Wave89#!/photo. ... =1&theater

[StormingB81]

Talked to one of my friends down south..alot of flooding and cars damaged from floods down there...The water I think was the problem in this one

[StormingB81]

Also the one Expressway is closed...dunno why!

[artist]

thanks for the update Storming! Those pictures you posted earlier, were they near you?

[Chacor]

Chinese authorities have evacuated more than 200,000 people from its east coast as the region braces for its most powerful typhoon in years.

More than 7,000 fishing vessels have been called to harbour, with Typhoon Muifa's winds reaching 162km/h (100mph) and generating 36ft (11m) waves at sea.

At least 140 flights have been cancelled and rail services disrupted.

State meteorologists say the storm may intensify as it nears coastal Zhejiang and Jiangsu provinces, near Shanghai.

China's National Marine Environmental Forecasting Centre has upgraded its warning to a red alert - the highest possible - for shipping in the East China sea.

Muifa is likely to skim the coast as it heads north, says the Central Meteorological Administration.

It has already battered the Philippines - where it caused flooding - Taiwan and Japan's southern island of Okinawa, which was hit by blackouts.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-14420501

[Chacor]

And some rare news from North Korea on storms...

Typhoon-9 Likely to Bring Much Rain to DPRK

Pyongyang, August 5 (KCNA) -- A weather forecast of the DPRK Central Meteorological Research Institute shows that the DPRK will have much rain in some areas between Monday and Tuesday.

Vice-director of the institute Choe Kwang Guk, told KCNA:

Typhoon-9, Muifa, located over the sea south of Okinawa, Japan, as of 3 p.m. Friday will head northwest to reach the sea off Zhejiang Province, China, at around 9 a.m. Sunday.

The typhoon will pass the Shandong peninsula on Monday and get to the northern part of Palhae Bay at around 9 a.m. Tuesday. It will be weakened into extratropical cyclone and move northeast to affect the DPRK.

The typhoon will bring strong winds of over 10 m/s to western coastal areas and 40-70mm rain to many areas, over 100mm to some areas.

Between Monday and Wednesday, the West Sea of Korea is likely to see 13-18 m/s southeast winds and 3-5m waves.

http://www.kcna.co.jp/index-e.htm

[Chacor]

Down to a marginal typhoon now...

WTPQ21 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1109 MUIFA (1109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 29.3N 124.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 220NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 34.0N 123.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 081200UTC 39.4N 122.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 091200UTC 43.7N 123.9E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[artist]

Chacor thanks for the updates.

[StormingB81]

I think I am off to bed early I am beat!

[artist]

I think I am off to bed early I am beat!

hope you cn actually rest tonight! Thanks for all your info Storming.

[dexterlabio]

If the weakening trend continues, this will finally become a TS after a long period of being a TY in the Pacific. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think Muifa was first upgraded into a typhoon last Saturday...so 1 week being a typhoon! I am quite amazed, are there any TC's which remained a typhoon longer than a week?

[Chacor]

Typhoon Ioke (0612) crossed the date-line from the CPAC as a strong typhoon on August 27, 2006 and was held at typhoon strength until it transitioned on September 6, 2006; that's 10 days 6 hours.

By 1-minute standards, that same storm was a cat 4 or stronger for over 8 days, counting both CPAC and WPAC.

At 19 days 0 hours above TD strength, Rita (7207) is the longest TS ever warned on by the JMA, but the JMA does not include winds in best-track for older storms, only pressure. If we compare to modern day and do a bit of original research, JMA usually takes 970 - 975 hPa to equate to 65-70 kt based on their own wind-pressure relationship. Rita reached 970 hPa on 8 July, 1972, 1200 UTC, and appears to have maintained that pressure or lower all the way until landfall at 1200 UTC, 26 July — a total of 18 days.

[artist]

If the weakening trend continues, this will finally become a TS after a long period of being a TY in the Pacific. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think Muifa was first upgraded into a typhoon last Saturday...so 1 week being a typhoon! I am quite amazed, are there any TC's which remained a typhoon longer than a week?

Hurricane John is the longest-lasting tropical cyclone on record, lasting 31 days in 1994

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone

[Chacor]

John lasted a month, but spent only 294 hours of those (12.25 days) as a hurricane/typhoon according to the JTWC.

Ioke spent six days as a hurricane in the CPAC and two less days as a typhoon in the WPAC according to the JTWC/CPHC, that would mean Ioke was a hurricane/typhoon (1-min) longer than John was by about two days.

[artist]

John lasted a month, but spent only 294 hours of those (12.25 days) as a hurricane/typhoon according to the JTWC.

Ioke spent six days as a hurricane in the CPAC and two less days as a typhoon in the WPAC according to the JTWC/CPHC, that would mean Ioke was a hurricane/typhoon (1-min) longer than John was by about two days.

interesting, thanks

[KWT]

Ioke was an isane system, it was sorta like the storm that wouldn't die, very powerful system as well!

[Typhoon Hunter]

Ioke was an isane system, it was sorta like the storm that wouldn't die, very powerful system as well!

Would love to have been on Wake Island with scuba gear and water proof cameras during Ioke!

Safely back in Hong Kong - Muifa's been one of the more memorable storms despite not being the most intense!

[KWT]

turns out that Muifa really was like Ike with regards to its multiple eyewalls and its very large size...

[RobWESTPACWX]

I think I am off to bed early I am beat!

Well Deserved rest, have a good one.

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1109 MUIFA (1109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 29.8N 124.8E GOOD
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 220NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 34.7N 123.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 081200UTC 39.4N 122.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 091200UTC 43.7N 123.9E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =