ATL : HARVEY - Tropical Depression - Discussion
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 93L - Models
CMC does nothing with it....but a very sharp TW coming in behind it at 144hr...
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-avn.html
convection on the increase but it did this last night also....needs to persist and pop a LLC in the hottest water in the basin....
convection on the increase but it did this last night also....needs to persist and pop a LLC in the hottest water in the basin....
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
South Texas Storms wrote::uarrow: I wouldn't write it off just yet, especially as we are approaching the peak of the season.
I know that. Im not writing it off, its just my hopes are not as high as they were before. Thats all.
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
SouthFloridawx wrote:Growing convection this evening..
yeah i agree its starting to build Convection on it Western Portion, But Holy Goods, i never knew how Gert could look so good!

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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
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HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
Convection is really starting to blow up with ex Invest 93L tonight.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-avn.html
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
You got that right! It ain't over till it's over, folks. I knew something was up because it's darker outside than it should be for this time in the morning at this time of year.South Texas Storms wrote:Convection is really starting to blow up with ex Invest 93L tonight.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-avn.html
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 93L - Models
6z NAM starts to develop Ex Invest 93L once it enters the Caribbean in a few days and really begins to strengthen it just SE of Jamaica in 84 hours.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
Pressure is falling at buoy 41101 east of Martnique, 1009,6 MB now.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN
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For those who lived in Martinica and Guadeloupe ... Yellow alert for strong showers and thunderstorms have been requiered at 6AM.
Looks like wet wetter conditions should spread til Wednesday before an improvement Thursday.
http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/bulletin/vi ... ilance.php
Looks like wet wetter conditions should spread til Wednesday before an improvement Thursday.

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Yet another dual blob presentation I see!
There is enough to this convection to suggest that in the western Caribbean its got a good chance.
There is enough to this convection to suggest that in the western Caribbean its got a good chance.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
OURAGAN wrote:Pressure is falling at buoy 41101 east of Martnique, 1009,6 MB now.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN
24-hour plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 1010.6 mb it say pressure up by 1
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 93L - Models
ROCK wrote:the GFS kills it into CA again....but does develope something behind it into a super cane....
Probably a reasonable solution, wouldn't shock me if it does make a run at development before it hits CA but we'll have to see!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion
floridasun78 wrote:let see if nhc bring back invest 93l
Probably not enough organisation with it to come back with 93L, convection has increased but still got a way to go yet!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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000
AXNT20 KNHC 150553
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0515 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 51W/52W FROM 10N T0
17N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 50W AND 56W.
$$
MT
AXNT20 KNHC 150553
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0515 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 51W/52W FROM 10N T0
17N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 50W AND 56W.
$$
MT
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Re: ATL : Ex INVEST 93L - Discussion

Deserves a 10% Yellow polygon at 8am, IMO!

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