Next mission:
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 19/1200Z,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0308A CYCLONE
C. 19/0800Z
D. 15.0N 82.50W
E. 19/1130Z TO 19/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
ATL : HARVEY - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re:
HURAKAN wrote:Next mission:
FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 19/1200Z,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0308A CYCLONE
C. 19/0800Z
D. 15.0N 82.50W
E. 19/1130Z TO 19/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
By then it may be already inland...
0 likes
-
ozonepete
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4743
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
- Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY
Re:
HURAKAN wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc11/ATL/08L.EIGHT/tc_ssmis/color/2degreeticks/20110819.0134.f18.x.colorpct_91h_91v.93LINVEST.30kts-1006mb-154N-815W.88pc.jpg
Latest SSMIS
Oh, wow, Sandy. That is awesome. You are the man when it comes to finding the right image. Look at the donut. If this gains even a little bit more latitude than forecast, watch out.
0 likes
-
ozonepete
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4743
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
- Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY
Re: ATL : EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion
BTW, this is a really tough forecast and I love what the NHC decided on. Those guys always make the best decisions no matter how tough the forecast gets.
Like I said before, if the center goes on a track just north of Honduras, or even the official NHC track, the northeast to eventually northwest winds along the Honduras coast will push up against the mountains that are slightly inland and this can actually give a boost to vorticity. The same thing happens to storms moving just south of Hispaniola. I think that aspect contributes to the fact that the center could be slightly inland tomorrow morning and yet it could still intensify into a TS, especially because all of the other needed factors for intensification are so positive.
Also, that donut ring at the center must have made them realize this is a strong circulation and it will be tough to dissipate it. (See their discussion.)
Like I said before, if the center goes on a track just north of Honduras, or even the official NHC track, the northeast to eventually northwest winds along the Honduras coast will push up against the mountains that are slightly inland and this can actually give a boost to vorticity. The same thing happens to storms moving just south of Hispaniola. I think that aspect contributes to the fact that the center could be slightly inland tomorrow morning and yet it could still intensify into a TS, especially because all of the other needed factors for intensification are so positive.
Also, that donut ring at the center must have made them realize this is a strong circulation and it will be tough to dissipate it. (See their discussion.)
0 likes
-
ozonepete
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4743
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
- Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY
Re:
HurrMark wrote:A recentering of the storm by even a few ticks of latitude northward could mean a world of difference...
Yup. This will be a real learning experience.
0 likes
Re: ATL : EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion
IR is one of the worst tools to locate the center especially in weak systems but if the looks aren't deceiving I agree that the center will pass far enough from the coast to prevent much weakening and may allow a little more strengthening, but again it's difficult to locate the center with IR imagery. This is an unofficial and amateur opinion.
0 likes
WTNT43 KNHC 190841
TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT BEEN EASY TO LOCATE THIS
MORNING. BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM EARLIER MICROWAVE DATA...THE
CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A SMALL
CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS.
THIS YIELDS AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 270/10. THE DEPRESSION
IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A MORE-OR-LESS WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE
REMAINDER OF ITS EXISTENCE WHILE BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND LIES AT THE SOUTHERN
EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...NEAR THE GFS...ECMWF...AND THE
SIMPLER BAM MODELS. ALTHOUGH A 72 HOUR FORECAST POINT IS
PROVIDED...IT IS LIKELY THAT THE HIGH TERRAIN OF GUATEMALA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO WILL HAVE ANNIHILATED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BY
THAT TIME.
DVORAK NUMBERS ARE T2.0 FROM TAFB AND T2.5 FROM SAB...AND THE
INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 30 KT. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER THIS
MORNING AND SHOULD PROVIDE MORE CERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY...NOT TO
MENTION THE CENTER LOCATION...IF IT EXISTS AT ALL. LITTLE TO NO
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS SINCE THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SKIRT ALONG THE COAST OF...OR MOVE INLAND
OVER...HONDURAS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE
INTENSITY CONSENSUS...BUT IF THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER WATER FOR A
LONGER PERIOD OF TIME IT COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE AS SHOWN BY
THE STATISTICAL SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS. IT COULD ALSO JUST AS
EASILY MOVE OVER LAND AND NEVER RE-EMERGE OVER WATER...WHICH MAY
PRECLUDE ANY INTENSIFICATION AT ALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0900Z 15.5N 83.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 15.6N 84.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 20/0600Z 15.8N 86.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 20/1800Z 16.1N 87.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 21/0600Z 16.4N 89.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 22/0600Z 17.0N 94.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT BEEN EASY TO LOCATE THIS
MORNING. BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM EARLIER MICROWAVE DATA...THE
CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A SMALL
CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS.
THIS YIELDS AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 270/10. THE DEPRESSION
IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A MORE-OR-LESS WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE
REMAINDER OF ITS EXISTENCE WHILE BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND LIES AT THE SOUTHERN
EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...NEAR THE GFS...ECMWF...AND THE
SIMPLER BAM MODELS. ALTHOUGH A 72 HOUR FORECAST POINT IS
PROVIDED...IT IS LIKELY THAT THE HIGH TERRAIN OF GUATEMALA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO WILL HAVE ANNIHILATED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BY
THAT TIME.
DVORAK NUMBERS ARE T2.0 FROM TAFB AND T2.5 FROM SAB...AND THE
INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 30 KT. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER THIS
MORNING AND SHOULD PROVIDE MORE CERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY...NOT TO
MENTION THE CENTER LOCATION...IF IT EXISTS AT ALL. LITTLE TO NO
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS SINCE THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SKIRT ALONG THE COAST OF...OR MOVE INLAND
OVER...HONDURAS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE
INTENSITY CONSENSUS...BUT IF THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER WATER FOR A
LONGER PERIOD OF TIME IT COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE AS SHOWN BY
THE STATISTICAL SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS. IT COULD ALSO JUST AS
EASILY MOVE OVER LAND AND NEVER RE-EMERGE OVER WATER...WHICH MAY
PRECLUDE ANY INTENSIFICATION AT ALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0900Z 15.5N 83.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 15.6N 84.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 20/0600Z 15.8N 86.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 20/1800Z 16.1N 87.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 21/0600Z 16.4N 89.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 22/0600Z 17.0N 94.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
Plane is on route. Hopefully nothing mechanical interrupts this mission.
URNT15 KNHC 191028
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 16 20110819
101830 1512N 07426W 3928 07699 0388 -175 -254 030011 012 /// /// 03
101900 1512N 07429W 3927 07700 0387 -175 -246 030011 011 /// /// 03
101930 1511N 07431W 3926 07704 0388 -173 -225 028009 010 /// /// 03
102000 1511N 07434W 3927 07700 0389 -174 -254 039008 009 /// /// 03
102030 1510N 07437W 3926 07701 0388 -173 -253 029008 008 /// /// 03
102100 1510N 07440W 3929 07698 0387 -175 -251 049007 008 /// /// 03
102130 1509N 07443W 3925 07705 0387 -179 -251 050005 006 /// /// 03
102200 1509N 07446W 3930 07694 0386 -173 -264 041006 007 /// /// 03
102230 1509N 07449W 3927 07699 0386 -173 -254 038008 009 /// /// 03
102300 1508N 07451W 3927 07699 0386 -170 -284 045009 009 /// /// 03
102330 1508N 07454W 3926 07701 0387 -170 -280 044010 010 /// /// 03
102400 1507N 07457W 3927 07700 0387 -172 -271 051009 010 /// /// 03
102430 1507N 07500W 3926 07701 0387 -173 -269 049008 008 /// /// 03
102500 1507N 07503W 3927 07700 0387 -168 -287 042008 010 /// /// 03
102530 1506N 07506W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -314 039009 010 /// /// 03
102600 1506N 07508W 3927 07702 0388 -165 -314 034008 008 /// /// 03
102630 1505N 07511W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -309 037007 008 /// /// 03
102700 1505N 07514W 3926 07702 0388 -165 -312 031006 006 021 000 03
102730 1504N 07517W 3927 07700 0388 -165 -315 029007 008 023 000 00
102800 1504N 07520W 3927 07700 0387 -165 -316 039006 007 022 000 00
$$
URNT15 KNHC 191028
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 16 20110819
101830 1512N 07426W 3928 07699 0388 -175 -254 030011 012 /// /// 03
101900 1512N 07429W 3927 07700 0387 -175 -246 030011 011 /// /// 03
101930 1511N 07431W 3926 07704 0388 -173 -225 028009 010 /// /// 03
102000 1511N 07434W 3927 07700 0389 -174 -254 039008 009 /// /// 03
102030 1510N 07437W 3926 07701 0388 -173 -253 029008 008 /// /// 03
102100 1510N 07440W 3929 07698 0387 -175 -251 049007 008 /// /// 03
102130 1509N 07443W 3925 07705 0387 -179 -251 050005 006 /// /// 03
102200 1509N 07446W 3930 07694 0386 -173 -264 041006 007 /// /// 03
102230 1509N 07449W 3927 07699 0386 -173 -254 038008 009 /// /// 03
102300 1508N 07451W 3927 07699 0386 -170 -284 045009 009 /// /// 03
102330 1508N 07454W 3926 07701 0387 -170 -280 044010 010 /// /// 03
102400 1507N 07457W 3927 07700 0387 -172 -271 051009 010 /// /// 03
102430 1507N 07500W 3926 07701 0387 -173 -269 049008 008 /// /// 03
102500 1507N 07503W 3927 07700 0387 -168 -287 042008 010 /// /// 03
102530 1506N 07506W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -314 039009 010 /// /// 03
102600 1506N 07508W 3927 07702 0388 -165 -314 034008 008 /// /// 03
102630 1505N 07511W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -309 037007 008 /// /// 03
102700 1505N 07514W 3926 07702 0388 -165 -312 031006 006 021 000 03
102730 1504N 07517W 3927 07700 0388 -165 -315 029007 008 023 000 00
102800 1504N 07520W 3927 07700 0387 -165 -316 039006 007 022 000 00
$$
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 191038
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 17 20110819
102830 1504N 07523W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -319 039007 008 022 000 00
102900 1503N 07526W 3926 07702 0389 -165 -326 040007 008 021 000 00
102930 1503N 07528W 3928 07700 0388 -169 -321 056005 005 020 000 00
103000 1502N 07531W 3927 07701 0387 -170 -303 071003 004 021 000 00
103030 1502N 07534W 3926 07702 0388 -170 -333 076004 004 021 000 00
103100 1502N 07537W 3927 07701 0388 -170 -325 076003 004 021 000 00
103130 1501N 07540W 3927 07699 0387 -167 -325 082003 003 021 000 00
103200 1501N 07542W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -332 089004 004 022 000 00
103230 1500N 07545W 3927 07700 0388 -169 -336 065005 005 027 000 00
103300 1500N 07548W 3926 07702 0388 -170 -368 064006 006 023 000 00
103330 1500N 07551W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -394 061007 007 021 001 00
103400 1500N 07554W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -394 065008 008 023 000 00
103430 1500N 07557W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -404 075007 007 022 000 00
103500 1500N 07600W 3927 07701 0387 -172 -410 078008 009 021 000 00
103530 1500N 07603W 3926 07702 0387 -173 -323 078009 010 020 000 00
103600 1500N 07605W 3929 07698 0387 -170 -383 078008 008 020 000 00
103630 1500N 07608W 3928 07699 0387 -170 -439 077009 009 020 000 00
103700 1500N 07611W 3926 07701 0387 -170 -404 078008 009 021 000 00
103730 1500N 07614W 3927 07699 0386 -170 -387 077008 008 023 000 00
103800 1500N 07617W 3927 07698 0386 -170 -392 080008 008 020 000 00
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 17 20110819
102830 1504N 07523W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -319 039007 008 022 000 00
102900 1503N 07526W 3926 07702 0389 -165 -326 040007 008 021 000 00
102930 1503N 07528W 3928 07700 0388 -169 -321 056005 005 020 000 00
103000 1502N 07531W 3927 07701 0387 -170 -303 071003 004 021 000 00
103030 1502N 07534W 3926 07702 0388 -170 -333 076004 004 021 000 00
103100 1502N 07537W 3927 07701 0388 -170 -325 076003 004 021 000 00
103130 1501N 07540W 3927 07699 0387 -167 -325 082003 003 021 000 00
103200 1501N 07542W 3927 07701 0388 -165 -332 089004 004 022 000 00
103230 1500N 07545W 3927 07700 0388 -169 -336 065005 005 027 000 00
103300 1500N 07548W 3926 07702 0388 -170 -368 064006 006 023 000 00
103330 1500N 07551W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -394 061007 007 021 001 00
103400 1500N 07554W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -394 065008 008 023 000 00
103430 1500N 07557W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -404 075007 007 022 000 00
103500 1500N 07600W 3927 07701 0387 -172 -410 078008 009 021 000 00
103530 1500N 07603W 3926 07702 0387 -173 -323 078009 010 020 000 00
103600 1500N 07605W 3929 07698 0387 -170 -383 078008 008 020 000 00
103630 1500N 07608W 3928 07699 0387 -170 -439 077009 009 020 000 00
103700 1500N 07611W 3926 07701 0387 -170 -404 078008 009 021 000 00
103730 1500N 07614W 3927 07699 0386 -170 -387 077008 008 023 000 00
103800 1500N 07617W 3927 07698 0386 -170 -392 080008 008 020 000 00
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 191048
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 18 20110819
103830 1500N 07620W 3927 07699 0386 -168 -387 079008 008 018 000 00
103900 1500N 07623W 3927 07701 0387 -165 -400 083007 008 019 000 00
103930 1500N 07626W 3926 07701 0387 -165 -418 089007 007 021 000 00
104000 1500N 07629W 3926 07702 0388 -168 -422 086007 007 022 000 00
104030 1500N 07631W 3929 07698 0386 -167 -385 089008 009 021 000 03
104100 1500N 07634W 3926 07701 0386 -165 -406 088007 008 021 000 00
104130 1500N 07637W 3926 07700 0386 -168 -425 083006 006 022 000 00
104200 1500N 07640W 3928 07698 0385 -165 -400 076007 007 021 001 00
104230 1500N 07643W 3927 07699 0386 -165 -410 083007 008 022 000 00
104300 1500N 07646W 3926 07700 0386 -165 -424 080006 007 022 000 00
104330 1500N 07649W 3927 07699 0386 -165 -422 082007 008 022 000 00
104400 1500N 07652W 3927 07699 0387 -165 -418 079007 007 022 000 00
104430 1500N 07655W 3926 07702 0388 -165 -421 079005 006 022 000 03
104500 1500N 07657W 3927 07700 0388 -165 -423 078005 005 021 000 00
104530 1500N 07700W 3927 07701 0388 -166 -420 077006 007 022 000 03
104600 1500N 07703W 3927 07700 0387 -166 -413 074006 007 022 000 00
104630 1500N 07706W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -407 091007 007 022 000 00
104700 1500N 07709W 3926 07702 0387 -170 -389 100006 006 022 000 00
104730 1500N 07712W 3927 07700 0388 -170 -389 097006 006 021 000 00
104800 1500N 07715W 3929 07699 0387 -171 -400 093006 007 021 000 00
$$
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 18 20110819
103830 1500N 07620W 3927 07699 0386 -168 -387 079008 008 018 000 00
103900 1500N 07623W 3927 07701 0387 -165 -400 083007 008 019 000 00
103930 1500N 07626W 3926 07701 0387 -165 -418 089007 007 021 000 00
104000 1500N 07629W 3926 07702 0388 -168 -422 086007 007 022 000 00
104030 1500N 07631W 3929 07698 0386 -167 -385 089008 009 021 000 03
104100 1500N 07634W 3926 07701 0386 -165 -406 088007 008 021 000 00
104130 1500N 07637W 3926 07700 0386 -168 -425 083006 006 022 000 00
104200 1500N 07640W 3928 07698 0385 -165 -400 076007 007 021 001 00
104230 1500N 07643W 3927 07699 0386 -165 -410 083007 008 022 000 00
104300 1500N 07646W 3926 07700 0386 -165 -424 080006 007 022 000 00
104330 1500N 07649W 3927 07699 0386 -165 -422 082007 008 022 000 00
104400 1500N 07652W 3927 07699 0387 -165 -418 079007 007 022 000 00
104430 1500N 07655W 3926 07702 0388 -165 -421 079005 006 022 000 03
104500 1500N 07657W 3927 07700 0388 -165 -423 078005 005 021 000 00
104530 1500N 07700W 3927 07701 0388 -166 -420 077006 007 022 000 03
104600 1500N 07703W 3927 07700 0387 -166 -413 074006 007 022 000 00
104630 1500N 07706W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -407 091007 007 022 000 00
104700 1500N 07709W 3926 07702 0387 -170 -389 100006 006 022 000 00
104730 1500N 07712W 3927 07700 0388 -170 -389 097006 006 021 000 00
104800 1500N 07715W 3929 07699 0387 -171 -400 093006 007 021 000 00
$$
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Sounds like a tough call for the NHC given it really doesn't take much of a difference in the track could either keep it inland or it could go over water for much of the way...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 191058
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 19 20110819
104830 1500N 07718W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -400 096006 006 022 000 00
104900 1500N 07720W 3927 07701 0388 -170 -402 101006 006 022 000 00
104930 1500N 07723W 3926 07702 0389 -171 -405 102005 006 021 000 00
105000 1500N 07726W 3927 07707 0393 -174 -402 104005 005 021 000 00
105030 1500N 07729W 3928 07706 0395 -175 -383 092004 004 022 000 00
105100 1500N 07732W 3925 07712 0396 -175 -353 067004 005 021 000 00
105130 1500N 07735W 3930 07704 0395 -175 -337 082005 006 019 000 00
105200 1500N 07738W 3926 07711 0396 -174 -314 096006 006 018 000 00
105230 1500N 07741W 3926 07710 0395 -173 -328 094006 006 018 000 00
105300 1500N 07744W 3927 07707 0395 -175 -312 097006 006 020 000 00
105330 1500N 07746W 3926 07710 0396 -175 -304 103005 006 020 000 00
105400 1500N 07749W 3927 07709 0397 -175 -303 110006 006 019 000 00
105430 1459N 07752W 3927 07711 0397 -175 -305 114005 005 018 000 00
105500 1459N 07755W 3927 07711 0398 -174 -312 115004 005 017 000 03
105530 1459N 07758W 3929 07707 0397 -170 -320 103006 007 017 000 00
105600 1459N 07801W 3929 07707 0396 -170 -332 103006 006 017 000 00
105630 1459N 07804W 3923 07716 0397 -173 -327 137004 004 015 000 00
105700 1458N 07807W 3930 07704 0396 -172 -317 124005 006 015 000 00
105730 1458N 07809W 3929 07710 0398 -175 -319 138005 006 015 000 00
105800 1458N 07812W 3926 07711 0398 -175 -295 143004 004 016 000 00
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 19 20110819
104830 1500N 07718W 3927 07700 0387 -170 -400 096006 006 022 000 00
104900 1500N 07720W 3927 07701 0388 -170 -402 101006 006 022 000 00
104930 1500N 07723W 3926 07702 0389 -171 -405 102005 006 021 000 00
105000 1500N 07726W 3927 07707 0393 -174 -402 104005 005 021 000 00
105030 1500N 07729W 3928 07706 0395 -175 -383 092004 004 022 000 00
105100 1500N 07732W 3925 07712 0396 -175 -353 067004 005 021 000 00
105130 1500N 07735W 3930 07704 0395 -175 -337 082005 006 019 000 00
105200 1500N 07738W 3926 07711 0396 -174 -314 096006 006 018 000 00
105230 1500N 07741W 3926 07710 0395 -173 -328 094006 006 018 000 00
105300 1500N 07744W 3927 07707 0395 -175 -312 097006 006 020 000 00
105330 1500N 07746W 3926 07710 0396 -175 -304 103005 006 020 000 00
105400 1500N 07749W 3927 07709 0397 -175 -303 110006 006 019 000 00
105430 1459N 07752W 3927 07711 0397 -175 -305 114005 005 018 000 00
105500 1459N 07755W 3927 07711 0398 -174 -312 115004 005 017 000 03
105530 1459N 07758W 3929 07707 0397 -170 -320 103006 007 017 000 00
105600 1459N 07801W 3929 07707 0396 -170 -332 103006 006 017 000 00
105630 1459N 07804W 3923 07716 0397 -173 -327 137004 004 015 000 00
105700 1458N 07807W 3930 07704 0396 -172 -317 124005 006 015 000 00
105730 1458N 07809W 3929 07710 0398 -175 -319 138005 006 015 000 00
105800 1458N 07812W 3926 07711 0398 -175 -295 143004 004 016 000 00
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 191118
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 21 20110819
110830 1454N 07912W 3929 07711 0400 -170 -258 142006 006 020 000 00
110900 1454N 07915W 3927 07713 0400 -170 -304 152006 006 022 001 00
110930 1454N 07918W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -276 145004 005 021 000 00
111000 1454N 07921W 3926 07716 0402 -171 -295 162003 004 021 000 00
111030 1453N 07924W 3930 07711 0402 -170 -281 158003 004 021 000 00
111100 1453N 07927W 3927 07716 0403 -170 -319 153003 004 021 000 00
111130 1453N 07930W 3926 07717 0403 -170 -272 158005 005 022 000 00
111200 1453N 07932W 3927 07716 0403 -170 -284 151006 006 022 000 00
111230 1453N 07935W 3927 07715 0402 -174 -237 163007 008 022 000 00
111300 1452N 07938W 3927 07715 0402 -170 -257 166006 008 022 000 00
111330 1452N 07941W 3927 07713 0401 -169 -258 166005 006 023 000 00
111400 1452N 07944W 3928 07713 0401 -165 -301 123006 007 023 000 00
111430 1452N 07947W 3927 07715 0401 -168 -277 115007 007 022 000 00
111500 1452N 07950W 3927 07713 0401 -169 -242 134008 008 020 001 00
111530 1451N 07952W 3927 07712 0400 -170 -277 133008 008 019 000 00
111600 1451N 07955W 3926 07715 0400 -171 -263 140008 009 020 000 00
111630 1451N 07958W 3927 07715 0401 -170 -267 139008 008 020 000 00
111700 1451N 08001W 3929 07712 0401 -170 -278 133008 009 019 000 00
111730 1450N 08004W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -266 141007 008 019 000 00
111800 1450N 08007W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -273 145007 008 019 000 00
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 21 20110819
110830 1454N 07912W 3929 07711 0400 -170 -258 142006 006 020 000 00
110900 1454N 07915W 3927 07713 0400 -170 -304 152006 006 022 001 00
110930 1454N 07918W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -276 145004 005 021 000 00
111000 1454N 07921W 3926 07716 0402 -171 -295 162003 004 021 000 00
111030 1453N 07924W 3930 07711 0402 -170 -281 158003 004 021 000 00
111100 1453N 07927W 3927 07716 0403 -170 -319 153003 004 021 000 00
111130 1453N 07930W 3926 07717 0403 -170 -272 158005 005 022 000 00
111200 1453N 07932W 3927 07716 0403 -170 -284 151006 006 022 000 00
111230 1453N 07935W 3927 07715 0402 -174 -237 163007 008 022 000 00
111300 1452N 07938W 3927 07715 0402 -170 -257 166006 008 022 000 00
111330 1452N 07941W 3927 07713 0401 -169 -258 166005 006 023 000 00
111400 1452N 07944W 3928 07713 0401 -165 -301 123006 007 023 000 00
111430 1452N 07947W 3927 07715 0401 -168 -277 115007 007 022 000 00
111500 1452N 07950W 3927 07713 0401 -169 -242 134008 008 020 001 00
111530 1451N 07952W 3927 07712 0400 -170 -277 133008 008 019 000 00
111600 1451N 07955W 3926 07715 0400 -171 -263 140008 009 020 000 00
111630 1451N 07958W 3927 07715 0401 -170 -267 139008 008 020 000 00
111700 1451N 08001W 3929 07712 0401 -170 -278 133008 009 019 000 00
111730 1450N 08004W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -266 141007 008 019 000 00
111800 1450N 08007W 3926 07716 0401 -170 -273 145007 008 019 000 00
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 191128
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 22 20110819
111830 1450N 08010W 3929 07712 0401 -169 -240 137008 008 019 000 00
111900 1450N 08012W 3926 07717 0400 -170 -244 131007 008 019 000 00
111930 1450N 08015W 3927 07713 0400 -166 -246 131008 008 019 000 00
112000 1449N 08018W 3927 07713 0400 -165 -265 128008 008 020 000 00
112030 1449N 08021W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -257 119008 008 020 000 00
112100 1449N 08024W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -303 114009 009 021 000 00
112130 1449N 08027W 3927 07715 0402 -165 -251 114009 010 020 000 00
112200 1449N 08030W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -245 120010 010 020 000 00
112230 1448N 08032W 3926 07716 0402 -165 -234 121010 010 020 000 00
112300 1448N 08035W 3926 07718 0404 -165 -263 116011 011 020 000 03
112330 1448N 08038W 3927 07716 0403 -165 -247 118010 010 023 001 00
112400 1448N 08041W 3927 07717 0403 -165 -225 119011 011 020 000 00
112430 1448N 08044W 3926 07718 0403 -163 -211 112010 010 015 000 00
112500 1447N 08047W 3929 07712 0401 -165 -204 103012 012 017 000 00
112530 1447N 08050W 3926 07717 0400 -161 -245 098010 010 016 000 00
112600 1447N 08053W 3927 07712 0400 -163 -230 098011 012 017 000 00
112630 1447N 08056W 3926 07713 0400 -165 -226 101011 012 016 000 00
112700 1446N 08059W 3927 07713 0400 -164 -229 109010 010 018 000 03
112730 1446N 08101W 3927 07713 0401 -166 -213 115008 010 017 000 00
112800 1446N 08104W 3927 07713 0401 -166 -222 118007 008 020 001 00
I have to go very soon so who wants to continue?
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 22 20110819
111830 1450N 08010W 3929 07712 0401 -169 -240 137008 008 019 000 00
111900 1450N 08012W 3926 07717 0400 -170 -244 131007 008 019 000 00
111930 1450N 08015W 3927 07713 0400 -166 -246 131008 008 019 000 00
112000 1449N 08018W 3927 07713 0400 -165 -265 128008 008 020 000 00
112030 1449N 08021W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -257 119008 008 020 000 00
112100 1449N 08024W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -303 114009 009 021 000 00
112130 1449N 08027W 3927 07715 0402 -165 -251 114009 010 020 000 00
112200 1449N 08030W 3927 07715 0401 -165 -245 120010 010 020 000 00
112230 1448N 08032W 3926 07716 0402 -165 -234 121010 010 020 000 00
112300 1448N 08035W 3926 07718 0404 -165 -263 116011 011 020 000 03
112330 1448N 08038W 3927 07716 0403 -165 -247 118010 010 023 001 00
112400 1448N 08041W 3927 07717 0403 -165 -225 119011 011 020 000 00
112430 1448N 08044W 3926 07718 0403 -163 -211 112010 010 015 000 00
112500 1447N 08047W 3929 07712 0401 -165 -204 103012 012 017 000 00
112530 1447N 08050W 3926 07717 0400 -161 -245 098010 010 016 000 00
112600 1447N 08053W 3927 07712 0400 -163 -230 098011 012 017 000 00
112630 1447N 08056W 3926 07713 0400 -165 -226 101011 012 016 000 00
112700 1446N 08059W 3927 07713 0400 -164 -229 109010 010 018 000 03
112730 1446N 08101W 3927 07713 0401 -166 -213 115008 010 017 000 00
112800 1446N 08104W 3927 07713 0401 -166 -222 118007 008 020 001 00
I have to go very soon so who wants to continue?
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145303
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon Discussion
Who wants to continue the posting of the obs?
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
I can cover for a little bit. Plane is starting to descend now.
URNT15 KNHC 191138
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 23 20110819
112830 1446N 08107W 3926 07717 0401 -170 -216 124008 009 019 001 00
112900 1446N 08110W 3929 07712 0402 -166 -218 123009 010 016 001 00
112930 1445N 08113W 3934 07707 0407 -164 -213 122010 010 010 000 00
113000 1445N 08115W 3928 07722 0410 -165 -209 119012 012 003 000 00
113030 1445N 08118W 3923 07732 0409 -165 -229 116012 013 005 001 00
113100 1445N 08120W 3926 07722 0407 -167 -207 111012 012 007 000 00
113130 1445N 08122W 3926 07722 0407 -165 -257 110013 013 010 000 00
113200 1444N 08125W 3926 07721 0407 -165 -222 112014 014 013 000 00
113230 1444N 08127W 3925 07724 0408 -165 -216 113014 015 010 000 00
113300 1444N 08130W 3927 07721 0408 -165 -217 113015 016 013 001 00
113330 1444N 08132W 3925 07727 0408 -165 -218 115014 014 014 001 00
113400 1444N 08135W 3927 07723 0409 -165 -213 120014 015 017 002 03
113430 1444N 08137W 3925 07727 0408 -164 -222 126016 016 006 000 03
113500 1445N 08139W 3925 07725 0408 -160 -226 123015 015 006 000 00
113530 1446N 08141W 3926 07723 0409 -160 -226 122016 017 009 001 00
113600 1447N 08144W 3927 07722 0408 -162 -229 116017 017 008 000 00
113630 1448N 08146W 3926 07725 0410 -162 -251 115018 019 007 000 00
113700 1449N 08148W 3991 07608 0407 -158 -219 128018 019 003 001 03
113730 1450N 08151W 4436 06796 0355 -114 -199 140012 014 /// /// 03
113800 1451N 08153W 4672 06391 0328 -083 -126 141010 011 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 191138
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 23 20110819
112830 1446N 08107W 3926 07717 0401 -170 -216 124008 009 019 001 00
112900 1446N 08110W 3929 07712 0402 -166 -218 123009 010 016 001 00
112930 1445N 08113W 3934 07707 0407 -164 -213 122010 010 010 000 00
113000 1445N 08115W 3928 07722 0410 -165 -209 119012 012 003 000 00
113030 1445N 08118W 3923 07732 0409 -165 -229 116012 013 005 001 00
113100 1445N 08120W 3926 07722 0407 -167 -207 111012 012 007 000 00
113130 1445N 08122W 3926 07722 0407 -165 -257 110013 013 010 000 00
113200 1444N 08125W 3926 07721 0407 -165 -222 112014 014 013 000 00
113230 1444N 08127W 3925 07724 0408 -165 -216 113014 015 010 000 00
113300 1444N 08130W 3927 07721 0408 -165 -217 113015 016 013 001 00
113330 1444N 08132W 3925 07727 0408 -165 -218 115014 014 014 001 00
113400 1444N 08135W 3927 07723 0409 -165 -213 120014 015 017 002 03
113430 1444N 08137W 3925 07727 0408 -164 -222 126016 016 006 000 03
113500 1445N 08139W 3925 07725 0408 -160 -226 123015 015 006 000 00
113530 1446N 08141W 3926 07723 0409 -160 -226 122016 017 009 001 00
113600 1447N 08144W 3927 07722 0408 -162 -229 116017 017 008 000 00
113630 1448N 08146W 3926 07725 0410 -162 -251 115018 019 007 000 00
113700 1449N 08148W 3991 07608 0407 -158 -219 128018 019 003 001 03
113730 1450N 08151W 4436 06796 0355 -114 -199 140012 014 /// /// 03
113800 1451N 08153W 4672 06391 0328 -083 -126 141010 011 /// /// 03
$$
;
0 likes
Re: ATL: EIGHT - Recon
At operational altitude, approaching the presumed center from the southeast.
URNT15 KNHC 191148
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 24 20110819
113830 1453N 08156W 4991 05877 0297 -055 -085 183009 010 /// /// 03
113900 1454N 08158W 5237 05487 0267 -038 -053 198009 010 /// /// 03
113930 1455N 08201W 5576 04997 0086 -013 -030 183013 015 /// /// 03
114000 1458N 08200W 6058 04336 0117 +014 -006 183021 023 /// /// 03
114030 1458N 08157W 6346 03962 0118 +038 +008 204022 023 /// /// 03
114100 1456N 08156W 6712 03522 0119 +067 +021 217020 022 /// /// 03
114130 1454N 08157W 7129 03024 0118 +103 +043 224016 018 /// /// 03
114200 1454N 08159W 7617 02464 0116 +128 +087 200012 013 /// /// 03
114230 1455N 08201W 7903 02140 0112 +140 +113 173010 011 /// /// 03
114300 1456N 08203W 8267 01753 0110 +164 +119 183009 010 /// /// 03
114330 1457N 08205W 8428 01574 0095 +175 +136 189009 010 016 001 00
114400 1458N 08207W 8448 01544 0086 +176 +139 190010 010 013 001 00
114430 1458N 08208W 8423 01568 0084 +171 +157 204008 009 013 001 00
114500 1459N 08210W 8432 01557 0084 +169 +160 204008 010 012 001 00
114530 1500N 08212W 8431 01562 0088 +166 +165 189008 009 011 002 00
114600 1501N 08213W 8430 01551 0080 +165 +160 191008 008 012 001 00
114630 1501N 08215W 8430 01549 0076 +168 +149 197009 009 008 001 00
114700 1502N 08216W 8430 01560 0085 +170 +147 186009 010 006 001 00
114730 1503N 08218W 8430 01562 0086 +173 +138 186009 009 010 001 00
114800 1503N 08219W 8428 01563 0084 +179 +134 182010 011 007 001 00
$$
URNT15 KNHC 191148
AF302 0308A CYCLONE HDOB 24 20110819
113830 1453N 08156W 4991 05877 0297 -055 -085 183009 010 /// /// 03
113900 1454N 08158W 5237 05487 0267 -038 -053 198009 010 /// /// 03
113930 1455N 08201W 5576 04997 0086 -013 -030 183013 015 /// /// 03
114000 1458N 08200W 6058 04336 0117 +014 -006 183021 023 /// /// 03
114030 1458N 08157W 6346 03962 0118 +038 +008 204022 023 /// /// 03
114100 1456N 08156W 6712 03522 0119 +067 +021 217020 022 /// /// 03
114130 1454N 08157W 7129 03024 0118 +103 +043 224016 018 /// /// 03
114200 1454N 08159W 7617 02464 0116 +128 +087 200012 013 /// /// 03
114230 1455N 08201W 7903 02140 0112 +140 +113 173010 011 /// /// 03
114300 1456N 08203W 8267 01753 0110 +164 +119 183009 010 /// /// 03
114330 1457N 08205W 8428 01574 0095 +175 +136 189009 010 016 001 00
114400 1458N 08207W 8448 01544 0086 +176 +139 190010 010 013 001 00
114430 1458N 08208W 8423 01568 0084 +171 +157 204008 009 013 001 00
114500 1459N 08210W 8432 01557 0084 +169 +160 204008 010 012 001 00
114530 1500N 08212W 8431 01562 0088 +166 +165 189008 009 011 002 00
114600 1501N 08213W 8430 01551 0080 +165 +160 191008 008 012 001 00
114630 1501N 08215W 8430 01549 0076 +168 +149 197009 009 008 001 00
114700 1502N 08216W 8430 01560 0085 +170 +147 186009 010 006 001 00
114730 1503N 08218W 8430 01562 0086 +173 +138 186009 009 010 001 00
114800 1503N 08219W 8428 01563 0084 +179 +134 182010 011 007 001 00
$$
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 31 guests