ATL: IRENE - Models

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#501 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:01 pm

There's definitely something jacked up about this run...Something henke... :yayaya:

SFT
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boca
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#502 Postby boca » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:03 pm

I 'd say just south of the south coast of Cuba.
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Vortex
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#503 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:03 pm

H60 tightening up just east of domica...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#504 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:03 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:There's definitely something jacked up about this run...Something henke... :yayaya:

SFT


I remember WXMAN saying earlier today that if it stays weak, it could just cruise the Carib and go right into CA or Mexico...Hmmm, perhaps it's not strengthening it near as much this run? Can't wait to see further out....
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#505 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:04 pm

my guess is given initilization may be a carribean runner and shoot the channel..well see..
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Re:

#506 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:04 pm

Vortex wrote:H60 tightening up just east of domica...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif



Okay, so it does look like it's strenghtening still....So it should be East of Texas Mexico border....
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ROCK
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Re:

#507 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:05 pm

Vortex wrote:H60 tightening up just east of domica...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif



did you refresh....its crossing the islands a lot further south than all of its previous runs combined....so much for consistency.....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#508 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:06 pm

looks like at 60 it corrects itself some and looks closer to correct, the GFS was down near 12.5N at the 48hr mark and at 60 its near 14
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#509 Postby weatherguy2 » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:06 pm

moving slightly NW now at 66 hr:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal066.gif
Last edited by weatherguy2 on Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#510 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:06 pm

Maybe this run takes it into Mexico?
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#511 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:06 pm

H60 over martinque just a touch south of prior runs...



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal060.gif
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#512 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:07 pm

H+66 w/wnw now as it enter carribean...


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal066.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#513 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:07 pm

weatherguy2 wrote:moving slightly NW now at 66 hr:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal066.gif


dont think so with the ridge on top of it like that at its only showing 1007 reflection....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#514 Postby weatherguy2 » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:07 pm

72 hr:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal072.gif
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HurricaneMaster_PR
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#515 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:08 pm

Look at that monster ridge!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#516 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:09 pm

It looks a little weaker and a little further south so far this run through 72 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#517 Postby weatherguy2 » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:09 pm

78 hour about 150 miles south of Puerto Rico:
Image
Last edited by weatherguy2 on Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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boca
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#518 Postby boca » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:09 pm

Yucatan bound
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#519 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:10 pm

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:Look at that monster ridge!



Yep, regardless of what becomes of it, there's no way I can see this recurving out to Sea with a High Pressure looking like that!
I think the recurve possibility is off the table...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#520 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:10 pm




Let Vortex post these runs since he started please.....thanks
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