ATL: IRENE - Models

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Vortex
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#521 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:10 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#522 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:11 pm

weatherguy2 wrote:78 hour about 150 miles south of Puerto Rico:
Image



its going to be hot in Texas on that day...sheesh.... :lol:
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#523 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:12 pm

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#524 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:12 pm

Vortex wrote:H72 w/wnw well SE of PR

I know it's only 1 run, but I'm sure Luis is probably happy about this ;)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#525 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:13 pm

84hr 500mb

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#526 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:14 pm

Rock, even though it's starting out further south, it seems to be gaining latitude still as the hours increase...
Last edited by ConvergenceZone on Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#527 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:15 pm

the consistancy at this point(H+78) and location has been spot on for 15+ runs-remarkable!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#528 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:16 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Rock, even though it's starting out further south, it seems to be gaining latitude quickly as the hours increase...


its moving wnw now..might miss DR all together....that ridge is robust...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#529 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:17 pm

ROCK wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Rock, even though it's starting out further south, it seems to be gaining latitude quickly as the hours increase...


its moving wnw now..might miss DR all together....that ridge is robust...


Miss it from which direction north or south?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#530 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:17 pm

84 well south of PR....but they would get some bad rains for sure....


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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#531 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:18 pm

ROCK wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Rock, even though it's starting out further south, it seems to be gaining latitude quickly as the hours increase...


its moving wnw now..might miss DR all together....that ridge is robust...



I guess that's good and bad. It's great for the islands, but could mean an even POTENTIALLY stronger hurricane forecasted for the gulf states.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#532 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:18 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:
ROCK wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Rock, even though it's starting out further south, it seems to be gaining latitude quickly as the hours increase...


its moving wnw now..might miss DR all together....that ridge is robust...


Miss it from which direction north or south?



might not travel over much of Hispa....from the south..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#533 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:20 pm

Thank you Rock.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#534 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:20 pm

102hr under DR

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#535 Postby Blown Away » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:21 pm

This is the point when the trough is digging a little, looks to shallow to pull 97L N, if it misses 97L it will go west IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#536 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:21 pm

might not travel over much of Hispa....from the south..



I think Cuba will still get hit though...
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#537 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:21 pm

very slow in updating and NCEP appears to be having issues...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#538 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:21 pm

It looks like it will pass just north of Jamaica on this run.
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#539 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:23 pm

looks like this may be a carribean runner throught the channel..Rock this may have your number on it....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models

#540 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:23 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:It looks like it will pass just north of Jamaica on this run.



yep....misses DR all together...hmmmm...120hr

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