
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
06 GMT 08/20/11 14.3N 53.0W 30 1007 Invest
12 GMT 08/20/11 14.3N 54.9W 30 1007 Invest
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Frank2 wrote:I'm still sticking with yesterday's thoughts about that TUTT/ULL feature to it's west, and as the trough digs southward towards Florida that will tighten up the pressure pattern even more, so not the best environment for development, thankfully...
Looking at it on the WV loop, compared to Harvey, it has not yet established any decent outflow pattern so time will tell (right now more of a bursting seen than anything else), though as with past systems this season if it tracks across the larger islands then there is certainly less chance of it developing...
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
Frank
Ivanhater wrote:WINDSAT would suggest something trying to close off to the south
I don't see evidence of a closed LLC this morning. May not happen until 97L gets closer to the islands later tonight or tomorrow morning, the story so far this season.
Frank2 wrote:The GFDL is usually a dependable model, that's for sure - Dr. Ooyama spent many long days working on it during his lifetime...
Frank
Frank2 wrote:I don't see evidence of a closed LLC this morning. May not happen until 97L gets closer to the islands later tonight or tomorrow morning, the story so far this season.
Yes, I agree - thankfully so far this system is very similar to the past few that had everyone jumping up and down at first glance but were proved to be less than expected...
I was just looking at the WV again, and what still jumps out at me is the TUTT/LLC feature - it's narrowing a bit but has been there for a number of days, and the trough dropping SE into Florida and the Bahamas will only tighten things up even more, so not the best environment for 97L...
Frank
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