ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[tolakram]

[ronjon]

Got a vortex message: 14.5N/57.7W. 1006mb 45 kts

Looks like we have Irene!

[Tampa_God]

I expect this thing to start tightening up in the next couple hours around where Ivan plotted the suspected center. I wouldn't be surprise if this is upgraded to TS Irene at the 11 pm advisory.

[Evil Jeremy]

At the very least, we should be getting a Special TWO soon.

[madinina]

Yours forcast for Martinique please. Because here, weather report is very late, the last one was at six in the morning and we are only in yellow alert. Thanks a lot.

[plasticup]

I said it earlier this year, "Irene" sounds like a monster! Get ready for the show!

[Aric Dunn]

well Alrighty then.. could be the forward motion that is causing the lack of a solid west wind. but should be Irene anytime now.

[SouthDadeFish]

With the proximity to the islands I would guess we see a special advisory. No reason to wait.

[NDG]

I think they may eventually upgrade, if not at 7 PM AST, definitely at 11 PM.
The circulation just closed and is getting better defined by the minute. Those westerly winds were not there 3 hrs ago.
And with tropical force winds found, that is enough, IMO, to upgrade.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Afternoon everyone,

Started cleaning my garage yesterday so I could get to my shutters if needed. Most of the afternoon on visable the whole south section of this invest was open. I leave for a couple hours and it has filled in nicely. So it would appear it is going to start to get going tonght and tomorrow, wondering what that may do to the track long term if anything.

[brunota2003]

000
URNT15 KNHC 202123
AF300 01GGA INVEST HDOB 28 20110820
211330 1350N 05812W 9594 00420 0068 +226 +087 174002 003 017 001 00
211400 1350N 05810W 9594 00420 0068 +228 +088 191003 003 018 001 00
211430 1350N 05808W 9594 00421 0068 +227 +089 199003 003 016 000 03
211500 1350N 05806W 9594 00420 0068 +228 +090 194004 004 017 000 00
211530 1350N 05804W 9593 00422 0069 +228 +091 193004 005 014 001 00
211600 1350N 05802W 9595 00422 0070 +227 +092 185005 005 016 000 00
211630 1349N 05800W 9594 00423 0071 +227 +091 185005 005 017 001 00
211700 1349N 05758W 9594 00423 0071 +227 +092 184005 006 017 000 00
211730 1349N 05756W 9593 00424 0072 +225 +092 197006 006 018 000 00
211800 1349N 05754W 9597 00421 0072 +229 +092 189007 009 017 000 00
211830 1349N 05752W 9593 00426 0073 +230 +093 183008 009 024 000 00
211900 1349N 05750W 9594 00425 0073 +230 +092 176009 010 012 000 03
211930 1350N 05748W 9594 00425 0072 +235 +093 175013 014 010 002 03
212000 1351N 05747W 9592 00426 0072 +233 +093 163013 014 /// /// 03
212030 1353N 05747W 9604 00416 0073 +230 +093 154011 012 014 000 00
212100 1355N 05747W 9591 00428 0073 +229 +093 155010 011 014 000 00
212130 1357N 05747W 9594 00425 0073 +230 +093 158010 010 010 001 00
212200 1359N 05747W 9593 00425 0072 +230 +092 158009 010 013 000 00
212230 1401N 05747W 9594 00424 0072 +230 +091 160010 010 014 000 00
212300 1403N 05747W 9594 00423 0071 +228 +092 160010 010 012 000 00
$$
;

[Macrocane]

Edit: LOL Ok you can do them brunota2003, that's what I like form storm2k everybody wants to help.

[SouthDadeFish]

Convection continues to expand north of the center. So much for d-min.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_2

[Aric Dunn]

I think they may eventually upgrade, if not at 7 PM AST, definitely at 11 PM.
The circulation just closed and is getting better defined by the minute. Those westerly winds were not there 3 hrs ago.
And with tropical force winds found, that is enough, IMO, to upgrade.

Oh if they just closed a surface circ and there 50kt winds.. upgrade will come very soon.

[Zampanò]

After 2005 I never thought I would see another Greek-letter year, at least not for decades. Looks like we're on track for it at this rate, though.

And yet Irene is probably going to be the first hurricane from all of this. What a bizarre season.

[Brent]

VDM is pretty official IMO(they've upgraded things without VDM's before!). Irene advisory before 8, no way they dont

[johngaltfla]

Just ugh. Now let's watch the next 24 hours of model runs and see where she goes.

[hurricanebuoy]

WU graphic indicated 50 MPH winds but still shows Invest Status http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

Not sure how to post that graphically.

[tolakram]

[brunota2003]

Looks like we'll see one more pass from recon. This one from S to N.