ATL: IRENE - Models

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2321 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 am

Saved Image, GFS 66H

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Re: Re:

#2322 Postby jabman98 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 am

Tireman4 wrote:
fci wrote:Funny how people's predictions quite often are for a storm to end up where they live.
Just sayin.........
Personally, I invite any of you to take Irene off the track the models have been showing! 8-)


We would surely take the rain off your hands, but not the wind. LOL

Agreed. A nice soaking from a tropical storm would be most welcome. But the wind can stay away. With all the dead trees from the drought, high winds would be a disaster.
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Re: Re:

#2323 Postby northtxboy » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:06 am

Tireman4 wrote:
fci wrote:Funny how people's predictions quite often are for a storm to end up where they live.
Just sayin.........
Personally, I invite any of you to take Irene off the track the models have been showing! 8-)


We would surely take the rain off your hands, but not the wind. LOL


ya they can keep the wind but I will take 10+ inches of rain. Dont worry buddy it will rain one day :roll:
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#2324 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:07 am

H+78 stronger this run...just N of E cuban coast


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal078.gif
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Re: Re:

#2325 Postby jabman98 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:07 am

northtxboy wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
fci wrote:Funny how people's predictions quite often are for a storm to end up where they live.
Just sayin.........
Personally, I invite any of you to take Irene off the track the models have been showing! 8-)


We would surely take the rain off your hands, but not the wind. LOL


ya they can keep the wind but I will take 10+ inches of rain. Dont worry buddy it will rain one day :roll:

I'm afraid it's going to come in the form of a strong, damaging hurricane. Don't want one of those.
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Re: Re:

#2326 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:07 am

northtxboy wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
fci wrote:Funny how people's predictions quite often are for a storm to end up where they live.
Just sayin.........
Personally, I invite any of you to take Irene off the track the models have been showing! 8-)


We would surely take the rain off your hands, but not the wind. LOL


ya they can keep the wind but I will take 10+ inches of rain. Dont worry buddy it will rain one day :roll:


Yeah, that is what the Elders keep saying....OT...Back on topic...
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Scorpion

#2327 Postby Scorpion » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:07 am

Alot of hot water to traverse :eek:

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#2328 Postby USTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:09 am

84 hours misses Cuba, really strengthening SE of Florida:

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Last edited by USTropics on Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2329 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:09 am

H+84 heading WNW, SE of Andros and intensifying


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal084.gif
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2330 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:11 am

Saved Image, GFS 84H

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2331 Postby blp » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:11 am

90hr bombing out 986mb

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfstropical850mbVortSLP090.gif
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#2332 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:11 am

looks like a florida miss to the east.. unless it stays the NW motiong

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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#2333 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 am

H+96 central bahamas bombing out wnw may turn into weakness and head for carolinas..gonna be a close call


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal096.gif
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#2334 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:12 am

In this run, a slower movement would allow the shortwave trough axis to lift NE and permit the ridge to prevent recurvature. The exact speed and strength of Irene would make the difference between a landfall near Savannah and a landfall between Miami-Cape Canaveral. A faster, stronger solution would intimate a track toward the coast of Georgia (NNW movement). A slower, weaker solution would favor Miami-Cape Canaveral. The relatively progressive vortex over Canada suggests the ridge axis may encapsulate Irene and force it to move ashore in east-central FL.
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#2335 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:14 am

It's been over 100 years since Georgia last really got slammed, if I remember my history right.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2336 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:14 am

saved image, GFS 96H. Florida miss?

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#2337 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:15 am

over western bahamas, due east of west palm beach, continues to deepen,




http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal102.gif
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#2338 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:15 am

looks like it COULD miss the weakness if it doesn't speed up it will.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2339 Postby blp » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:15 am

Looks like a miss on Florida to the east. Look out carolinas.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfstropical850mbVortSLP102.gif
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#2340 Postby USTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:15 am

102 hours, extremely deep system. Also east of Florida, no landfall in south Florida.

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