ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[SouthDadeFish]

Beautiful storm:

[painkillerr]

Lights out in St. Thomas.... heavy downpour and winds! "Showtime"!

[bevgo]

Cycloneye appears to be missing.

I had a feeling this could impact Puerto Rico last night when I was looking at the SAT loops.

I am still here. I clocked 35 mph in a gust with a strong outer band an hour ago. I am ready for anything,but mother nature has the last word.

Stay safe!

[KWT]

the lack of core in this instance might not knock her down to much...

I wouldn't be shocked to see some sort of proto core trying to develop before it comes towards PR, its wrapping up very neatly looking at the current loops...

[ozonepete]

Lights out in St. Thomas.... heavy downpour and winds! "Showtime"!

Be careful. But I have to ask: is anyone taking video?

[ozonepete]

Cycloneye appears to be missing.

I had a feeling this could impact Puerto Rico last night when I was looking at the SAT loops.

I am still here. I clocked 35 mph in a gust with a strong outer band an hour ago. I am ready for anything,but mother nature has the last word.

Stay safe!

Good luck and be safe, Luis.

[Rainband]

Cycloneye appears to be missing.

I had a feeling this could impact Puerto Rico last night when I was looking at the SAT loops.

I am still here. I clocked 35 mph in a gust with a strong outer band an hour ago. I am ready for anything,but mother nature has the last word.

be safe man.

[Aric Dunn]

the lack of core in this instance might not knock her down to much...

I wouldn't be shocked to see some sort of proto core trying to develop before it comes towards PR, its wrapping up very neatly looking at the current loops...

well there is already a strong curved band that has wrapped around the SE side. just need to wrap to the NE and we could see a hurricane before tomorrow.

[stormhunter7]

anyone notice when recon last passed the COC was only 85Miles SE of the airport there flying out of in St. Croix. and that the center jumped more north but also droped 8MB in a short time to 999mb

[cycloneye]

St Croix.

[Meteorcane]

Sorry amateur here, but this system does not look much more impressive than Emily so I am curious as to why everyone thinks it is strengthening.

[hurricanefloyd5]

aric where do you think irene will be headed and you think a possible major hurricane for central florida?

[Sanibel]

Way right of trop points and showing a big "eye" on PR radar that should go right over the center of Puerto Rico.

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[TwisterFanatic]

Sorry amateur here, but this system does not look much more impressive than Emily so I am curious as to why everyone thinks it is strengthening.

Irene is much more impressive than Emily ever was up to this point, and you can really start to see Irene tightening up in the latest radar and sat loops.

[Aric Dunn]

aric where do you think irene will be headed and you think a possible major hurricane for central florida?

anywhere from the keys to SC is what im thinking.. angle of approach is such that any wobble would bring it ashore somewhere along florida or GA or SC

[jlauderdal]

the lack of core in this instance might not knock her down to much...

I wouldn't be shocked to see some sort of proto core trying to develop before it comes towards PR, its wrapping up very neatly looking at the current loops...

proto core

that deserves a Wikipedia entry

[KWT]

Whilst its still not that strong overall, convective coverage is increasing and starting to look like a true CDO.

Also worth noting the north side only really has a small spine of high mountions, whilst its still very hilly, its not as bad aqs the southern/SW side of the island.

[SouthDadeFish]

Eyewall is now almost finished:

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ightning=0

[Blown Away]

Hugo & Floyd were way N of Irene's position, so really not good comparison. Frances was to be a Carolinas system until recon went out and found a stronger HP resulting in a big track change from NE FL/Ga to SFL. I expect the 5pm track to skim the FL coast w/ a landfall somewhere in N FL. I won't buy any landfall from Vero to Savannah. It will come down to recon going out in a few days to sample the HP again, stronger than expected Vero to the south, weaker than expected it's a Carolinas storm. Don't think Irene can escape w/o hitting CONUS.

[CronkPSU]

Sorry amateur here, but this system does not look much more impressive than Emily so I am curious as to why everyone thinks it is strengthening.

has a much more favorable environment plus the whole system is wrapping up so much tighter and has the good outflows that a strengthening storm needs than emily ever did