ATL: IRENE - Models

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2961 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:51 pm

Moving kind of slow
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#2962 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:52 pm

GFS strengthens Irene over Hispaniola... Fail.
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#2963 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:53 pm

H+36 NW tip of Hisp..basically skirts northern 1/3 of hispanolia..holding steady


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal036.gif
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2964 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:53 pm

yeah that isn't going to happen :)
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2965 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:54 pm

Sorry if this was posted earlier.

From JB this eve:

I am further west in the Bahamas BUT EAST OF FLA without FLA landfall.

My track is just east of FLA with strongest hit in the Carolinas since Isabel in 2003. System looking more like Floyd to me.
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Re:

#2966 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:55 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:GFS strengthens Irene over Hispaniola... Fail.


It doesnt matter. Lets see if it shows stronger ridging or not.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2967 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:55 pm

Ridge still looks pretty strong
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#2968 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:55 pm

H+42 about to move into se bahamas..looks primed for strengthening


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal042.gif
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Re: Re:

#2969 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:55 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:GFS strengthens Irene over Hispaniola... Fail.


It doesnt matter. Lets see if it shows stronger ridging or not.


It does matter. A stronger storm would be more readily influenced by troughs.
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#2970 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:57 pm

48 hours, south of previous run, ridge stronger:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal048.gif
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2971 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:00 pm

At 54hrs by eastern Cuba
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#2972 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:01 pm

H+54 near eastern cuba..ridge looks stronger this run



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif
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Re:

#2973 Postby jpigott » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:02 pm

Vortex wrote:H+54 near eastern cuba..ridge looks stronger this run



http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif


Not going anywhere fast is she
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#2974 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:02 pm

GFDL may be on to something...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2975 Postby PTPatrick » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:03 pm

The 54 hr position is the exact same as the 60 hr position on the 18z...so no big change yet.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2976 Postby S2K1 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:03 pm

:uarrow: yep
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Re:

#2977 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:03 pm

Vortex wrote:GFDL may be on to something...


Might as well throw the NAM in there too...It may be onto something as well. Figured I'd throw some love towards the NAM since it normally gets treated like the tropical model stepchild.

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2978 Postby bigdan35 » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:04 pm

just north of eastern Cuba at 60 hrs
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#2979 Postby hurricaneCW » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:04 pm

You Floridians almost seem like you want Irene to make landfall in Florida with all of these posts lol. Honestly I wouldn't be surprised if it does, all it takes is a little nudge to the left and who knows exactly where it will be in three days.
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#2980 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 21, 2011 11:04 pm

H+60 strengthening slowly wnw just N or E Cuba


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal060.gif
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